Realized P&L
+$17.3K
Unrealized P&L
+$7.08K
Hit rate
64.0%
Resolved
670
Trades
12,415
lifetime
Volume
$1.53M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$123
Open exposure
$13.3K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 00:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 188 days
Categories
Politics
62% 43% +$21,980
Other
32% 51% -$1,045
Tech
3% 46% +$263
Sports
1% 40% +$7
Pop-Culture
1% 31% -$5,029
Crypto
0% 50% +$1,154
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +5,000 $2,770 87¢ $4.3K +$1,573 10-25 14:14
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +4,001 $1,634 61¢ $2.4K +$803 09-22 01:57
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +3,558 $1,830 68¢ $2.4K +$572 09-22 17:37
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -10,000 -$3,100 18¢ $-1850 +$1,250 05-04 16:07
Kash Patel out by December 31? No -1,730 -$3,602 80¢ $-1393 +$2,209 09-12 09:19
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -500 -$415 86¢ $-428 -$12 10-20 00:48
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +251 $199 74¢ $184 -$14 10-27 00:56
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +200 $134 66¢ $131 -$3 10-24 16:39
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +250 $97 38¢ $94 -$3 10-25 19:06
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -50 -$38 74¢ $-37 +$1 07-13 13:14
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +6,463 $306 0¢ $16 -$290 10-09 16:32
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +0 -$995 72¢ $0 +$995 09-24 02:29