Each-Sea — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$361

Unrealized P&L

+$308

Hit rate

1.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.80K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

$310

1 position

First seen

2026-01-23

last 10-12 13:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 8% -$97

Politics

9% 0% -$102

Other

8% 0% -$163

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes		-11,264	-$618	3¢	$-310	+$308	10-12 13:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	16	$2.2K	14,274	25,537	-11,264	open	—	10-12 13:43
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?	3	$157	1,717	1,717	-0	No	-$15	05-17 09:22
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	5	$64	1,476	1,476	+0	No	-$31	06-04 21:46
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	3	$41	494	494	+0	No	-$29	05-30 19:19
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	5	$40	4,444	0	+4,444	No	-$40	06-04 21:46
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on May 17?	2	$30	86	0	+86	No	-$30	05-17 09:33
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$25	8,270	0	+8,270	Yes	-$25	03-10 16:26
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on May 18?	1	$20	98	0	+98	No	-$20	05-17 09:33
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	2	$20	3,125	0	+3,125	No	-$20	05-14 05:43
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	1	$20	222	0	+222	No	-$20	05-13 23:07
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	1	$10	125	0	+125	No	-$10	03-10 16:20
ethereum above 2100 on april 3	1	$10	67	0	+67	No	-$10	04-03 07:01
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?	1	$10	100	0	+100	No	-$10	04-03 06:59
ethereum above 2200 on march 11	1	$10	139	0	+139	No	-$10	03-10 16:23
Base FDV above $10B one day after launch?	1	$9	0	56	-56	open	—	05-12 22:14
will ethereum reach 3800 in march 2026	2	$9	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$1	03-17 08:59
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on May 17?	2	$8	10	8	+2	Yes	$0	05-17 09:56
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?	2	$7	4,429	0	+4,429	No	-$7	05-13 13:18
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C or higher on May 17?	2	$7	84	0	+84	No	-$7	05-17 09:56
will ethereum reach 3600 in january 2026	1	$6	261	0	+261	No	-$6	01-23 20:59
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 22:00 UTC	3	$6	239	8	+231	Up	-$5	01-23 22:10
ethereum all time high by march 31 2026	2	$6	67	67	+0	No	+$0	01-24 06:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	Down	-$5	05-13 23:15
ethereum above 2200 on april 3	1	$5	500	0	+500	No	-$5	04-03 07:00
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?	1	$5	100	0	+100	No	-$5	05-13 23:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 06:50 UTC	1	$5	250	0	+250	Down	-$5	04-03 06:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	1	$5	36	0	+36	No	-$5	04-03 06:54
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	1	$5	400	0	+400	Yes	-$5	05-12 22:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 07:10 UTC	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	-$5	04-03 07:05
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?	1	$5	114	0	+114	No	-$5	04-03 09:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-12 13:43:17	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10,207	3¢	$302	0x393347…
10-03 12:05:56	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,284	3¢	$39	0x454e73…
08-29 10:36:51	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	927	5¢	$44	0x5fd358…
08-28 22:33:09	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,731	5¢	$80	0x4d09db…
08-28 22:30:36	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,158	5¢	$53	0x2a9d78…
08-24 23:45:49	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,375	5¢	$65	0x2713d3…
08-17 19:18:58	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8,185	5¢	$400	0x282f71…
06-04 21:46:18	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	778	1¢	$7	0xb9438b…
06-04 21:46:00	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	SELL	738	1¢	$7	0x95f5d6…
06-04 21:44:37	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,111	1¢	$10	0x3df339…
06-04 21:44:25	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,111	1¢	$10	0x5bf9e9…
06-04 21:43:51	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	SELL	313	7¢	$23	0xad93e9…
05-30 19:22:14	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	889	1¢	$8	0x33d235…
05-30 19:21:29	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	556	1¢	$5	0x2df7da…
05-30 19:19:28	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	Yes	SELL	494	1¢	$6	0x812555…
05-30 19:18:22	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	SELL	738	1¢	$9	0x7c3d46…
05-27 10:49:00	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	BUY	373	3¢	$12	0x5e09bd…
05-27 10:48:20	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	Yes	BUY	421	7¢	$30	0x58afa9…
05-27 10:48:06	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	BUY	918	3¢	$30	0x6a7e4e…
05-27 10:47:19	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,070	8¢	$81	0x4e00a6…
05-27 10:46:16	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	Yes	BUY	74	7¢	$5	0x012993…
05-27 10:46:02	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	BUY	185	3¢	$5	0xdb313b…
05-27 06:39:08	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6,666	8¢	$518	0x5ec5c1…
05-25 22:29:57	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,379	8¢	$194	0x7adde6…
05-25 22:29:57	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,493	8¢	$119	0x6651d8…
05-17 09:56:33	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C or higher on May 17?	Yes	BUY	56	5¢	$3	0x3e3c07…
05-17 09:56:12	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on May 17?	Yes	SELL	8	38¢	$3	0x728cc7…
05-17 09:33:27	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x7c109d…
05-17 09:33:01	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on May 18?	Yes	BUY	98	20¢	$20	0xf534b4…
05-17 09:31:46	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	SELL	521	8¢	$44	0x9a5bf2…
05-17 09:24:11	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C or higher on May 17?	Yes	BUY	28	14¢	$4	0x7c3a02…
05-17 09:23:46	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0d5020…
05-17 09:23:27	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x33085d…
05-17 09:22:47	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?	Yes	SELL	618	3¢	$19	0xa0a22d…
05-14 05:43:03	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	1,250	0¢	$5	0x3f51ba…
05-13 23:18:38	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x034d95…
05-13 23:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xaf9707…
05-13 23:08:43	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	1,875	1¢	$15	0xcb414a…
05-13 23:07:59	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	BUY	222	9¢	$20	0x507c83…
05-13 23:07:14	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?	Yes	SELL	1,099	5¢	$52	0xe89be0…
05-13 13:18:56	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,000	0¢	$4	0x5609e0…
05-12 22:15:47	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	429	1¢	$3	0xa462b5…
05-12 22:15:09	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	400	1¢	$5	0x3e40a6…
05-12 22:14:32	Base FDV above $10B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	56	17¢	$9	0x238edd…
05-12 22:09:47	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?	Yes	BUY	1,717	5¢	$86	0x1fb20a…
05-03 19:10:46	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	484	10¢	$49	0x803866…
05-03 19:10:26	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	996	10¢	$100	0xc708de…
05-03 19:10:16	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,023	10¢	$100	0x6ab3b6…
04-04 12:52:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 12:50 UTC	Down	BUY	7	21¢	$1	0xf8d301…
04-04 12:50:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x27e465…
04-04 12:49:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x1aecff…
04-03 09:56:53	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	114	4¢	$5	0x76af26…
04-03 07:05:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 07:10 UTC	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x8c9100…
04-03 07:04:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 07:05 UTC	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x00f6cb…
04-03 07:01:25	ethereum above 2100 on april 3	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x3f07b0…
04-03 07:00:57	ethereum above 2200 on april 3	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x236577…
04-03 06:59:25	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x0dc417…
04-03 06:56:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 06:55 UTC	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xcf31a6…
04-03 06:54:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x81d92a…
04-03 06:54:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x3fc1f2…
03-17 09:00:07	will ethereum reach 3000 in march 2026	Yes	BUY	57	7¢	$4	0x90a7f8…
03-17 08:59:41	will ethereum reach 3800 in march 2026	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$4	0x2c3ec0…
03-10 16:26:47	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	4,937	0¢	$15	0x69fe6c…
03-10 16:24:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 16:20 UTC	Down	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x5d3be4…
03-10 16:24:25	will ethereum reach 3800 in march 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$5	0xa31acd…
03-10 16:23:53	ethereum above 2200 on march 11	Yes	BUY	139	7¢	$10	0xc7c74f…
03-10 16:21:15	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	3,333	0¢	$10	0x6afb7a…
03-10 16:20:21	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0xc28e26…
01-24 06:53:52	ethereum all time high by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	67	4¢	$3	0x8fc61d…
01-23 22:10:28	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	230	2¢	$5	0xe8b6e7…
01-23 22:10:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x926c7e…
01-23 22:09:02	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 22:00 UTC	Down	SELL	8	7¢	$1	0x272ce9…
01-23 22:07:50	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x22b6d4…
01-23 22:06:26	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xfea04f…
01-23 22:01:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7b9014…
01-23 21:57:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x915328…
01-23 21:44:32	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x70760f…
01-23 21:42:46	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x8110f3…
01-23 21:42:20	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x078b78…
01-23 21:41:18	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xc5c124…
01-23 21:40:00	will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 24	Yes	BUY	182	1¢	$2	0xa6e026…
01-23 21:38:38	will ethereum reach 3300 january 19 25	Yes	BUY	254	1¢	$3	0x2b6aca…
01-23 21:35:06	ethereum all time high by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	67	4¢	$3	0xf24687…
01-23 20:59:04	will ethereum reach 3600 in january 2026	Yes	BUY	261	2¢	$6	0x567c53…