Fitting-Clearing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$26.6K

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

81.4%

Resolved

266

Trades

11,657

lifetime

Volume

$701.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$60

Open exposure

$262

1 position

First seen

2026-02-05

last 11-01 14:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 94 days

Categories

Politics

79% 58% +$19,490

Other

12% 49% +$6,679

Crypto

5% 52% +$455

Sports

4% 36% +$94

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$105

Tech

0% 100% +$21

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes		+500	$265	52¢	$262	-$2	11-01 14:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	432	$31.2K	60,033	60,033	+0	No	+$2,387	04-21 19:39
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	345	$29.8K	85,359	89,777	-4,419	No	+$1,472	04-23 18:18
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	236	$25.4K	35,901	35,901	+0	No	+$1,371	04-21 13:32
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	60	$20.9K	23,475	23,475	+0	No	-$182	05-24 16:22
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	179	$18.9K	30,709	30,709	+0	Yes	+$204	04-15 14:05
will iran strike israel on march 10	251	$18.6K	101,881	101,881	+0	Yes	+$513	03-16 19:43
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	118	$17.9K	27,766	27,766	+0	No	+$864	04-25 16:26
will uae strike iran by march 31	276	$16.5K	41,067	41,067	+0	No	+$549	03-28 14:44
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	86	$14.5K	21,120	21,120	+0	No	+$479	05-31 21:30
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	149	$14.1K	39,444	39,444	+0	No	+$213	05-02 13:30
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	192	$13.7K	35,062	35,062	+0	No	+$20	03-27 22:29
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	155	$12.8K	24,796	24,796	+0	No	+$675	04-26 14:09
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	136	$12.4K	31,940	32,857	-917	No	+$776	05-29 23:23
will qatar strike iran by march 31	134	$12.3K	23,368	22,235	+1,133	No	+$480	03-30 20:25
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	119	$12.2K	76,262	53,497	+22,765	No	+$422	05-27 00:25
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	96	$11.9K	81,730	80,244	+1,486	No	+$114	03-31 14:37
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	151	$11.0K	27,565	27,686	-121	No	+$752	04-16 16:34
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?	61	$10.5K	36,900	36,900	+0	Yes	+$789	02-27 21:37
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	117	$10.4K	17,483	17,483	+0	No	+$151	04-26 20:37
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	75	$10.1K	85,361	85,361	+0	No	+$860	07-05 20:12
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	263	$9.3K	150,843	149,664	+1,178	No	+$1,229	05-21 06:45
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	140	$9.2K	21,818	21,818	+0	No	+$620	04-20 14:02
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	112	$9.1K	17,353	17,353	+0	Yes	+$25	06-14 22:46
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	104	$9.0K	11,573	11,236	+336	No	+$286	05-06 11:07
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	120	$9.0K	15,486	15,486	+0	No	+$601	04-21 22:27
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	82	$8.8K	11,307	11,307	+0	No	+$320	04-26 00:38
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	106	$8.6K	105,842	73,061	+32,781	Yes	+$1,162	04-30 10:33
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	47	$8.5K	12,795	12,795	+0	Yes	+$195	05-24 15:02
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	89	$8.5K	28,248	28,248	+0	No	-$489	05-30 19:57
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 9 795	57	$8.0K	8,043	8,043	+0	Yes	+$411	03-08 19:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 14:52:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0xf979c6…
11-01 14:51:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	400	53¢	$212	0x9078a1…
10-30 16:08:07	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	Yes	SELL	701	100¢	$700	0x197265…
10-30 15:52:31	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0x44e245…
10-30 15:50:52	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0x38e460…
10-30 15:48:57	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0xd4755c…
10-30 15:46:52	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	Yes	BUY	79	9¢	$7	0x49dde3…
10-30 15:46:42	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	Yes	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0x24e5f4…
10-30 15:46:36	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	Yes	BUY	82	10¢	$8	0xcb3c6e…
10-30 15:42:30	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?	Yes	SELL	100	74¢	$74	0x60dd3c…
10-30 15:39:13	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?	Yes	BUY	49	63¢	$31	0xf9066d…
10-30 15:36:36	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?	Yes	BUY	51	75¢	$39	0x3b31ae…
10-27 16:16:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	821	2¢	$21	0xf576cc…
10-27 16:07:17	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner	MOUZ	SELL	210	84¢	$176	0x5969ad…
10-27 16:07:14	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner	MOUZ	SELL	3	84¢	$3	0xe95cc7…
10-27 16:05:03	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner	MOUZ	BUY	213	68¢	$145	0x9702f2…
10-27 16:03:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	3,180	2¢	$80	0xe0ebac…
10-27 15:40:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	1,523	3¢	$46	0x21fb33…
10-27 03:18:53	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	477	3¢	$14	0x730d32…
10-26 15:44:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	1,069	6¢	$64	0x93ff17…
10-26 15:40:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	54	6¢	$3	0x7eacec…
10-26 15:11:26	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	1,980	7¢	$139	0x752cbf…
10-26 05:51:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	548	7¢	$38	0xeeb840…
10-26 05:50:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x7ec75c…
10-26 05:40:02	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	395	7¢	$28	0xf14cfc…
10-26 05:25:11	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	206	7¢	$14	0xfe7a3c…
10-26 05:22:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	215	7¢	$15	0x853d31…
10-26 05:21:02	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	103	7¢	$7	0x53280e…
10-26 05:15:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0x350af1…
10-26 05:15:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	3	7¢	$0	0xaa51df…
10-26 05:00:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	1,359	7¢	$95	0xdfb81b…
10-24 07:43:26	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	1,155	23¢	$266	0x8333cb…
10-23 22:49:50	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	1,124	26¢	$292	0xbedfcb…
10-23 22:38:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	13	26¢	$3	0x5da163…
10-23 22:38:26	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	18	26¢	$5	0xd182a9…
10-23 22:09:12	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	0	26¢	$0	0xff0d80…
10-23 21:34:26	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	468	26¢	$122	0xdc452c…
10-23 21:34:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	744	26¢	$193	0x246bdd…
10-23 21:33:50	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	56	27¢	$15	0x62171e…
10-23 21:29:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	432	30¢	$130	0xd6f34d…
10-23 17:07:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	700	24¢	$168	0x7137c4…
10-23 09:35:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	194	23¢	$45	0x1a7aad…
10-22 13:55:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	1,111	5¢	$54	0xd818ae…
10-22 13:17:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	299	7¢	$22	0xc10d76…
10-22 13:11:26	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	39	7¢	$3	0x5ed25a…
10-22 13:10:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xb6b244…
10-22 13:07:11	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	763	7¢	$55	0x05735e…
10-22 12:54:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	SELL	129	41¢	$53	0x872330…
10-22 12:07:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	525	9¢	$49	0x8e7f73…
10-22 00:42:44	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	700	25¢	$175	0xa53667…
10-21 23:47:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	502	13¢	$65	0x3dea00…
10-21 23:47:12	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	18	13¢	$2	0x017f69…
10-21 23:46:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	501	17¢	$85	0x3af7d0…
10-21 23:26:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	124	18¢	$22	0xba1ae3…
10-21 23:17:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	107	33¢	$35	0xd8d883…
10-21 23:15:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	377	18¢	$68	0xd5f831…
10-21 23:09:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	129	44¢	$57	0x0ba6bc…
10-21 23:03:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	1,744	29¢	$506	0x6bd2e3…
10-21 23:02:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	320	13¢	$43	0x80bee4…
10-21 22:54:44	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	28	13¢	$4	0x2fbd72…
10-21 22:53:23	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	1,999	19¢	$380	0x1f60c4…
10-21 22:50:29	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	297	13¢	$38	0x7d3c82…
10-21 22:42:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	200	28¢	$56	0x7457dc…
10-21 22:42:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	200	28¢	$56	0x4c9ad2…
10-21 22:39:17	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	500	18¢	$90	0x5d2e0f…
10-21 22:32:32	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	230	21¢	$48	0x7424ea…
10-21 22:16:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	210	24¢	$50	0x947fa7…
10-21 22:15:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	385	23¢	$89	0x1d16e3…
10-21 22:13:47	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	206	23¢	$47	0x931f34…
10-21 22:13:11	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	32	24¢	$8	0xe0dfb8…
10-21 22:10:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	600	24¢	$144	0x12264f…
10-21 22:09:41	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	268	16¢	$43	0xea00b1…
10-21 22:06:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	1,000	13¢	$129	0x93ad8a…
10-21 21:56:59	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	1,000	14¢	$143	0x5ee560…
10-21 21:54:12	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	1,056	16¢	$174	0x8021dc…
10-21 21:51:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x828ed8…
10-21 21:49:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	56	17¢	$9	0xf78ec4…
10-21 21:48:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	500	17¢	$83	0x5d5d27…
10-21 21:46:44	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	SELL	230	44¢	$101	0x362b9a…
10-21 21:46:05	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	81	16¢	$13	0xedc309…
10-21 21:45:41	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	544	30¢	$163	0xa43160…
10-21 21:45:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	200	30¢	$60	0xf8e235…
10-21 21:43:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	41	16¢	$7	0x52e389…
10-21 21:41:26	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0xac3b09…
10-21 21:41:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	205	24¢	$49	0x407e81…
10-21 21:38:35	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x118d1c…
10-21 21:36:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0xef5520…
10-21 21:30:50	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0xfa0c02…
10-21 21:30:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	75	16¢	$12	0x6e20eb…
10-21 21:30:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	71	16¢	$12	0x4c8f45…
10-21 21:27:29	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	25	29¢	$7	0x5ec7cf…
10-21 21:27:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	225	29¢	$65	0xa9a578…
10-21 21:18:35	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	229	13¢	$30	0xb12506…
10-21 21:07:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	230	42¢	$97	0x9046f5…
10-21 20:59:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	256	30¢	$77	0xff3c37…
10-21 20:33:53	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	256	22¢	$56	0x289312…
10-21 20:00:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	925	30¢	$277	0xdfe71f…
10-21 20:00:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	134	30¢	$40	0x7b4c80…
10-21 19:59:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	11	30¢	$3	0x1c301a…
10-21 19:59:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	30	30¢	$9	0x53376c…