Realized P&L
+$3.68K
Unrealized P&L
-$762
Hit rate
75.6%
Resolved
91
Trades
657
lifetime
Volume
$160.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$245
Open exposure
$11.7K
15 positions
First seen
2026-07-18
last 10-28 11:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 38 days
Categories
Politics
73% 77% +$6,887
Other
25% 49% -$1,702
Sports
1% 33% -$1,381
Tech
0% 0% -$120
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +3,750 $2,400 68¢ $2.5K +$131 10-26 03:28
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +3,180 $2,854 52¢ $1.6K -$1,216 10-28 11:13
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? Yes +1,362 $1,151 99¢ $1.4K +$204 10-28 06:05
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +1,490 $1,013 80¢ $1.2K +$171 10-26 17:20
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? Yes +1,345 $1,167 83¢ $1.1K -$53 10-28 05:29
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,440 $864 62¢ $900 +$36 10-26 03:23
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +1,115 $854 74¢ $820 -$34 10-27 23:23
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +974 $721 78¢ $755 +$34 10-28 06:13
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,050 $410 40¢ $415 +$5 10-28 00:49
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +547 $339 63¢ $345 +$5 10-27 22:52
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +438 $348 73¢ $320 -$28 10-28 06:13
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? Yes +257 $170 70¢ $180 +$9 10-28 07:28
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +180 $142 68¢ $122 -$20 10-26 08:38
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +43 $35 74¢ $32 -$3 10-28 06:14
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +1,062 $15 1¢ $11 -$4 10-09 09:57