Powerful-Schema — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6.53K

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

65.4%

Resolved

277

Trades

3,880

lifetime

Volume

$422.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$109

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-27

last 10-12 14:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 60 days

Categories

Politics

54% 47% +$7,105

Other

33% 55% -$1,822

Tech

10% 64% +$3,570

Crypto

2% 33% -$708

Sports

1% 29% -$1,611

Pop-Culture

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes		+0	$0	9¢	$0	$0	06-14 10:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	35	$30.6K	89,045	89,045	+0	Yes	+$2,267	06-12 15:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	62	$29.6K	27,887	27,886	+0	No	+$379	06-12 15:15
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	46	$22.4K	94,896	94,896	+0	No	-$1,677	08-10 22:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	46	$17.7K	24,785	24,785	+0	Yes	+$1,063	06-12 15:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	39	$13.9K	22,848	22,848	+0	No	+$526	06-12 15:13
will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by december 31 2026 20260715004553752	9	$13.5K	12,339	12,339	+0	Yes	+$777	07-27 18:28
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	70	$13.2K	12,181	12,181	+0	Yes	-$421	06-12 15:14
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	31	$12.3K	11,814	11,814	+0	Yes	+$284	06-12 15:15
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	52	$12.1K	32,559	32,540	+19	No	+$1,690	05-29 18:35
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	30	$11.7K	16,639	16,639	+0	Yes	+$760	06-12 15:20
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	53	$11.1K	25,859	25,859	+0	No	-$531	08-25 23:53
us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	31	$10.9K	9,664	9,664	+0	Yes	-$48	06-12 04:17
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	2	$10.8K	11,999	0	+11,999	Yes	+$1,175	07-01 19:28
us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	32	$10.3K	12,654	12,654	+0	Yes	-$599	06-12 07:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	41	$9.2K	38,060	38,060	+0	No	+$1,516	05-20 16:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	60	$8.5K	28,325	28,325	+0	No	+$827	05-28 14:23
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	28	$8.4K	12,173	12,173	+0	No	+$88	08-16 10:25
us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	43	$7.8K	16,637	9,765	+6,872	No	-$1,043	08-17 18:12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	21	$7.3K	31,675	31,675	+0	No	+$186	06-01 16:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	19	$7.1K	44,563	44,563	+0	No	+$650	06-01 15:54
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	42	$7.0K	18,378	18,378	+0	No	+$2,829	05-07 21:35
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	53	$6.8K	28,306	28,306	+0	No	+$937	05-20 20:32
us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	8	$6.3K	21,568	21,568	+0	No	-$1,179	07-29 21:10
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	12	$6.2K	8,193	8,193	+0	No	-$137	05-28 14:30
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	36	$5.5K	13,163	13,163	+0	No	+$1,259	05-07 21:47
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	8	$5.4K	6,657	6,657	+0	open	—	09-01 16:48
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	20	$5.3K	9,309	7,984	+1,324	No	-$210	08-14 22:29
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	11	$4.8K	3,861	3,861	+0	Yes	-$82	08-02 15:42
will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	1	$4.7K	6,843	0	+6,843	Yes	+$2,166	07-12 17:01
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	22	$4.3K	7,978	7,978	+0	No	-$67	05-22 19:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-12 14:00:06	Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?	Yes	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0xbb6a1c…
09-23 13:14:55	Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?	Yes	SELL	12	21¢	$3	0x44266f…
09-23 13:13:41	Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?	Yes	SELL	40	21¢	$8	0x5d9606…
09-23 07:30:59	Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?	Yes	SELL	57	21¢	$12	0xa71180…
09-23 07:30:59	Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?	Yes	SELL	50	21¢	$10	0x6e7607…
09-01 16:49:18	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	470	12¢	$54	0xc695ab…
09-01 16:48:37	Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,566	5¢	$135	0xd599c6…
09-01 16:42:12	Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,350	24¢	$320	0xaa14e0…
09-01 16:41:46	Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	Yes	SELL	8,806	9¢	$753	0xf649bf…
09-01 16:33:03	Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	652	11¢	$72	0xc3f643…
09-01 16:31:39	Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?	Yes	SELL	659	36¢	$237	0x2afd41…
08-25 23:53:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	SELL	1,035	13¢	$135	0x84e51f…
08-25 23:52:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0xe62368…
08-18 18:54:03	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	77	26¢	$20	0x5e4121…
08-18 18:54:03	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	500	26¢	$130	0x5401d9…
08-18 18:54:01	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	500	26¢	$130	0xedb972…
08-18 18:54:00	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	500	26¢	$130	0xc56b4a…
08-18 17:50:15	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	35	26¢	$9	0xa98f5f…
08-18 00:49:01	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x762076…
08-18 00:48:51	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	23	31¢	$7	0x0c2287…
08-17 18:23:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x239111…
08-17 18:12:01	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	19	10¢	$2	0x15e8f8…
08-17 18:00:09	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	17	10¢	$2	0x246f51…
08-17 17:43:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0xc0367c…
08-17 17:43:13	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	24	31¢	$7	0xe881e4…
08-17 17:43:13	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	25	31¢	$8	0xd0a030…
08-17 17:02:00	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0x27fd0e…
08-17 17:01:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0xeed2a4…
08-17 16:27:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	600	31¢	$186	0xd51630…
08-17 16:27:36	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	700	31¢	$217	0xb30111…
08-17 16:23:43	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0x10f99b…
08-17 15:58:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	12	10¢	$1	0x066eed…
08-17 15:43:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xea7f36…
08-17 15:37:00	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	15	10¢	$2	0x8b02b5…
08-17 15:32:48	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	14	10¢	$1	0x34c7ef…
08-17 15:22:12	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0x329bfe…
08-17 15:22:01	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	15	10¢	$2	0xc3f223…
08-17 15:21:30	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0xea0521…
08-17 15:21:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	15	10¢	$2	0x5b9e6a…
08-17 15:21:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	32	31¢	$10	0xf124b0…
08-17 15:21:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	40	31¢	$12	0x8ece26…
08-17 15:21:21	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x9bcec3…
08-17 15:21:15	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	3	10¢	$0	0xa2f259…
08-17 15:21:13	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0xcaf938…
08-17 15:21:13	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x5c122c…
08-17 15:21:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0xd54514…
08-17 15:21:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0xc88a83…
08-17 15:21:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	30	10¢	$3	0x5e788b…
08-17 15:21:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	3	10¢	$0	0x5008fa…
08-17 15:21:09	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	7	10¢	$1	0xf3830b…
08-17 15:21:09	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0xccea9b…
08-17 15:21:09	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	4	10¢	$0	0xbc2a3e…
08-17 15:21:09	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	40	10¢	$4	0xab6d59…
08-17 15:21:09	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	17	10¢	$2	0x79728b…
08-17 15:21:09	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	30	31¢	$9	0x227941…
08-17 15:21:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	1,750	10¢	$175	0xc792cc…
08-17 15:21:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$1	0xc696c5…
08-17 15:21:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0xbd74ad…
08-17 15:21:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	54	31¢	$17	0x7e278c…
08-17 10:32:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	Yes	SELL	6,955	8¢	$556	0x0b9eb4…
08-17 10:29:45	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804222025507 868 993	Yes	SELL	1,364	35¢	$477	0x54382b…
08-17 10:29:43	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804222025507 868 993	Yes	SELL	1,522	35¢	$533	0x03887d…
08-16 21:56:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	200	13¢	$26	0xccde45…
08-16 21:31:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x64a473…
08-16 21:29:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	35	13¢	$5	0x99e196…
08-16 21:21:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	63	13¢	$8	0x68c0d0…
08-16 20:41:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	200	13¢	$26	0xb7ecf7…
08-16 20:20:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	120	13¢	$16	0x5e469d…
08-16 20:19:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	511	13¢	$66	0x6781bb…
08-16 19:54:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	400	13¢	$52	0xaabd9d…
08-16 19:54:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	13	13¢	$2	0xc89570…
08-16 19:54:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	27	13¢	$4	0xaaa8fe…
08-16 12:48:58	Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0x8f519e…
08-16 11:50:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	1	13¢	$0	0x521502…
08-16 11:45:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x14b6d2…
08-16 10:37:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	11	13¢	$1	0x5725c1…
08-16 10:31:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	59	13¢	$8	0xf0bca2…
08-16 10:25:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	SELL	5,250	18¢	$945	0xf1a45f…
08-16 10:10:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	190	13¢	$25	0x770705…
08-16 10:08:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	38	13¢	$5	0xfd5638…
08-16 10:07:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	32	13¢	$4	0x208db6…
08-16 10:07:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	389	13¢	$51	0xeefe4e…
08-16 10:07:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	60	13¢	$8	0xaa1b62…
08-16 10:07:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	778	13¢	$101	0xfd2c77…
08-16 10:07:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0xa21951…
08-16 10:07:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x02ef0d…
08-16 10:06:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	155	13¢	$20	0xaec037…
08-16 10:06:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	30	13¢	$4	0x95b129…
08-16 10:06:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	1,555	13¢	$202	0x800fa7…
08-16 10:06:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	1	13¢	$0	0x615445…
08-16 10:06:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	27	13¢	$4	0x2ec018…
08-16 09:52:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	50	13¢	$7	0xf0c529…
08-16 09:41:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	300	13¢	$39	0x98147b…
08-16 09:40:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	1,319	13¢	$171	0x8b990e…
08-16 09:39:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	Yes	SELL	2,498	43¢	$1,074	0x314bb9…
08-15 11:03:24	Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0xa2af75…
08-15 07:12:15	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	Yes	BUY	2,498	41¢	$1,024	0xe36371…
08-15 07:12:15	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	6,955	13¢	$874	0x98b147…
08-15 07:12:15	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	Yes	BUY	747	11¢	$85	0x967501…
08-15 07:12:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	7,652	14¢	$1,071	0x8a943d…