Powerful-Schema — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$79

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.5%

Resolved

Trades

3,349

lifetime

Volume

$348.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$104

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-27

last 08-10 18:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

56% 67% +$94

Other

29% 0% $-15

Tech

12% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 785 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	43	$22.7K	20,426	20,466	-40	open	—	06-12 15:15
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	45	$22.4K	94,896	93,950	+946	open	—	08-09 10:10
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	15	$19.3K	76,163	46,334	+29,829	open	—	06-12 15:13
will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by december 31 2026 20260715004553752	9	$13.5K	12,339	12,339	+0	open	—	07-27 18:28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	31	$13.0K	18,501	18,501	+0	open	—	06-12 15:14
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	31	$12.3K	11,814	11,814	+0	open	—	06-12 15:15
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	51	$11.8K	31,713	32,540	-827	open	—	05-29 18:35
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	30	$11.7K	16,639	16,639	+0	open	—	06-12 15:20
us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	31	$10.9K	9,664	9,664	+0	open	—	06-12 04:17
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	2	$10.8K	11,999	0	+11,999	open	—	07-01 19:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	21	$10.3K	17,505	17,505	+0	open	—	06-12 15:13
us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	32	$10.3K	12,654	12,654	+0	open	—	06-12 07:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	41	$9.2K	38,060	38,060	+0	open	—	05-20 16:01
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	18	$9.0K	18,207	18,171	+36	open	—	08-06 14:30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	54	$7.4K	25,633	26,438	-805	open	—	05-28 14:23
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	21	$7.3K	31,675	31,675	+0	open	—	06-01 16:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	19	$7.1K	44,563	44,563	+0	open	—	06-01 15:54
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	42	$7.0K	18,378	18,378	+0	open	—	05-07 21:35
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	47	$6.8K	5,715	5,728	-13	open	—	06-12 15:14
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	47	$6.7K	28,306	28,051	+256	open	—	05-20 20:32
us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	18	$6.6K	7,756	7,736	+19	open	—	08-05 20:01
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	26	$6.4K	6,923	6,923	+0	open	—	08-02 13:29
us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	8	$6.3K	21,568	21,568	+0	open	—	07-29 21:10
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	36	$5.5K	13,163	13,163	+0	open	—	05-07 21:47
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	19	$5.3K	8,074	7,984	+90	open	—	08-09 19:00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	7	$5.0K	6,943	6,943	-0	open	—	05-28 14:30
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	11	$4.8K	3,861	3,861	+0	open	—	08-02 15:42
will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	1	$4.7K	6,843	0	+6,843	open	—	07-12 17:01
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	21	$4.2K	7,920	7,978	-58	open	—	05-22 19:22
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	88	$4.1K	12,645	12,050	+595	open	—	04-30 20:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 18:59:34	iran full airspace closure by september 30 20260727170320670	Yes	SELL	448	17¢	$76	0xabfa19…
08-10 18:57:55	iran full airspace closure by september 30 20260727170320670	Yes	SELL	59	17¢	$10	0x242159…
08-10 18:55:36	kharg island no longer under iranian control by december 31 20260730004337418	Yes	SELL	1,414	11¢	$156	0xfdf8ff…
08-10 18:52:36	iran full airspace closure by september 30 20260727170320670	Yes	SELL	588	17¢	$100	0xc53124…
08-10 17:18:12	iran full airspace closure by september 30 20260727170320670	Yes	SELL	200	17¢	$34	0xbff367…
08-10 17:11:51	will the highest score achieved by an anthropic claude model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723190836287	Yes	SELL	784	53¢	$415	0x7e209a…
08-10 17:10:36	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	SELL	288	11¢	$32	0xc34d51…
08-10 10:37:28	iran full airspace closure by september 30 20260727170320670	Yes	SELL	1,647	17¢	$280	0x864a37…
08-10 10:04:01	iran full airspace closure by september 30 20260727170320670	Yes	SELL	588	17¢	$100	0x9d4bbb…
08-10 08:05:24	will the highest score achieved by an anthropic claude model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723190836287	Yes	SELL	1	53¢	$1	0xe6673f…
08-09 23:38:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	No	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x9d4823…
08-09 21:09:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	No	BUY	549	39¢	$215	0xd7b2e8…
08-09 21:09:09	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	4,577	10¢	$453	0x92f7e5…
08-09 21:09:09	iran full airspace closure by september 30 20260727170320670	Yes	BUY	3,530	16¢	$548	0x68e151…
08-09 21:09:09	kharg island no longer under iranian control by december 31 20260730004337418	Yes	BUY	5,401	11¢	$591	0x3689d0…
08-09 21:09:07	israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 31	No	BUY	1,031	47¢	$490	0x2b43c3…
08-09 19:00:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	90	12¢	$11	0x88cab9…
08-09 16:09:49	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	Yes	BUY	240	5¢	$12	0x6e9c79…
08-09 10:10:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	162	7¢	$11	0x6fda75…
08-07 03:23:39	Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	692	13¢	$93	0x34ba5d…
08-07 01:13:10	will the highest score achieved on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723190142923	Yes	BUY	1,553	64¢	$1,000	0x69acd6…
08-07 01:13:09	will the highest score achieved by an anthropic claude model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723190836287	Yes	BUY	785	55¢	$431	0xdc18cd…
08-07 01:13:09	will the highest score achieved on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 70 or higher 20260723190142925	Yes	BUY	162	22¢	$36	0xd86799…
08-07 01:13:09	will the highest score achieved by an anthropic claude model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 65 or higher 20260723190836288	Yes	BUY	860	15¢	$132	0x97e8d5…
08-07 01:13:06	will the next claude opus model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 40 or higher 20260723184439894	Yes	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x979c46…
08-06 14:30:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	32	32¢	$10	0xc4f565…
08-06 11:55:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	66	16¢	$11	0xadb2a8…
08-05 21:39:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	70	15¢	$11	0xe3b17e…
08-05 20:01:11	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x9b8361…
08-05 13:42:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	56	19¢	$11	0xf85be2…
08-05 13:40:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	61	17¢	$10	0x40972b…
08-05 12:26:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	66	16¢	$11	0x47f381…
08-04 12:50:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	66	16¢	$11	0x93dffb…
08-04 10:18:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	82	13¢	$11	0x0ba701…
08-04 10:05:57	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	Yes	BUY	51	20¢	$10	0x007db2…
08-03 22:06:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	76	14¢	$11	0x28f17b…
08-03 19:34:54	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	76	14¢	$11	0x1bbb41…
08-03 17:44:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	82	13¢	$11	0xa47ce1…
08-03 15:30:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	82	13¢	$11	0xb51739…
08-03 07:07:44	will a chinese company have one of the top 5 ai models by december 31	Yes	SELL	603	100¢	$602	0xda478a…
08-03 02:20:15	will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31	Yes	BUY	1,605	24¢	$382	0x46c3f4…
08-03 02:20:14	will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31	Yes	BUY	214	25¢	$53	0xbc12e0…
08-03 02:20:14	will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31	Yes	BUY	190	24¢	$46	0xa31f81…
08-03 02:20:12	will a chinese company have one of the top 5 ai models by december 31	Yes	BUY	603	88¢	$529	0xa80415…
08-03 02:20:12	Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	Yes	BUY	8,806	12¢	$1,057	0x9e57dc…
08-02 21:44:11	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	2,312	42¢	$971	0xa71b58…
08-02 20:00:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	201	42¢	$84	0x5d6a42…
08-02 19:15:27	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	351	42¢	$147	0xce7740…
08-02 18:22:30	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	35	42¢	$15	0x74c3db…
08-02 16:55:42	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	48	42¢	$20	0x6fa1c8…
08-02 16:37:32	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	2,260	41¢	$927	0x54aa07…
08-02 16:35:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	34,138	11¢	$3,755	0xeae07b…
08-02 16:30:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	270	41¢	$111	0xac3eac…
08-02 16:30:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	37	41¢	$15	0x7736a6…
08-02 16:30:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	404	41¢	$165	0x102ef9…
08-02 15:44:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	2,885	22¢	$635	0x99ddcc…
08-02 15:44:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	36	22¢	$8	0x4dce91…
08-02 15:44:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	117	22¢	$26	0xdf54a3…
08-02 15:44:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	5,853	22¢	$1,288	0x5999e4…
08-02 15:43:21	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	79	42¢	$33	0xf0df60…
08-02 15:42:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	993	63¢	$626	0x2d29bf…
08-02 15:42:17	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	2,475	63¢	$1,559	0x73bb4c…
08-02 15:40:32	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	100	63¢	$63	0xd0e21a…
08-02 15:38:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	45	22¢	$10	0x6264c7…
08-02 14:34:33	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	Yes	SELL	1,652	22¢	$363	0xec11ec…
08-02 13:29:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	SELL	414	52¢	$215	0xa42191…
08-02 13:29:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	SELL	141	52¢	$73	0x49bd0b…
08-02 13:19:23	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	SELL	24	52¢	$13	0x0a660d…
08-02 13:13:54	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	SELL	3,494	52¢	$1,817	0xb15803…
08-02 13:07:38	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	SELL	17	52¢	$9	0x2ea71e…
08-02 13:07:35	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	SELL	17	52¢	$9	0xf260d0…
08-02 04:00:14	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	9,318	11¢	$1,059	0x61c9ec…
08-02 04:00:14	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	BUY	98	55¢	$54	0x430a32…
08-02 04:00:12	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	1,976	51¢	$1,004	0xb2c02c…
08-02 04:00:12	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	Yes	BUY	1,362	30¢	$407	0x6725fc…
08-02 04:00:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	4,536	23¢	$1,043	0x5caa83…
08-02 04:00:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	2,700	38¢	$1,026	0x3992b3…
08-02 04:00:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	1,488	68¢	$1,006	0x35c630…
08-02 03:07:11	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	684	48¢	$330	0x4a5802…
08-02 03:07:11	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	BUY	1,724	52¢	$894	0x0795d9…
08-02 03:07:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	4,340	24¢	$1,041	0x9119b3…
08-02 03:07:09	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	Yes	BUY	215	27¢	$57	0x863516…
08-02 03:07:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	1,462	69¢	$1,004	0x738d0c…
08-02 03:07:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	10,271	10¢	$1,065	0x5f354b…
08-02 02:05:54	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	BUY	2,286	39¢	$892	0xeb8467…
08-02 02:05:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	618	49¢	$302	0xca2c0a…
08-02 02:05:54	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	365	44¢	$160	0x6e599d…
08-02 02:05:54	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	Yes	BUY	75	22¢	$16	0x20f8f0…
08-02 02:05:54	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	270	21¢	$57	0x1e50d8…
08-02 02:05:54	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	14,062	8¢	$1,125	0x09816f…
07-31 21:12:23	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	2,295	20¢	$459	0x2be297…
07-31 18:39:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	162	7¢	$11	0x3c091e…
07-31 18:23:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	61	17¢	$10	0x1000c9…
07-31 18:22:59	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	150	20¢	$30	0x8233b8…
07-31 18:08:56	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	SELL	1,296	33¢	$428	0xa63872…
07-31 13:44:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	162	7¢	$11	0x1d5ac9…
07-31 13:31:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	858	7¢	$60	0x7dd06d…
07-31 13:31:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	1,050	7¢	$74	0xf9b744…
07-31 13:23:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	429	7¢	$30	0x2663db…
07-31 13:01:56	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	8	7¢	$1	0x233217…