Productive-Brooch 0x34af3a…f4bd55 Create alert
whale 22W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$725
Unrealized P&L
+$1.18K
Hit rate
95.9%
Resolved
826
Trades
7,034
lifetime
Volume
$776.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$110
Open exposure
$14.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-15 10:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 180 days
Categories
Other
61% 94% -$653
Politics
23% 82% -$274
Crypto
10% 95% +$494
Tech
6% 79% +$1,004
Sports
1% 85% +$154
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 84 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -1,990 -$2,007 98¢ $-1947 +$60 10-28 05:22
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +1,400 $1,319 99¢ $1.4K +$60 11-13 18:38
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +903 $742 92¢ $826 +$84 11-13 15:39
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +857 $653 92¢ $790 +$137 11-06 23:36
Will Meta be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +725 $678 97¢ $704 +$26 11-13 07:05
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? No +608 $597 98¢ $596 $0 11-10 15:37
Will Meta be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026? No +589 $537 96¢ $566 +$29 11-08 08:09
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31? No +565 $527 94¢ $531 +$4 11-10 15:39
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $625B by November 30? No +536 $417 98¢ $528 +$110 11-12 15:46
Will MiniMax be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026? No +502 $492 98¢ $493 +$2 11-10 11:57
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31? No +500 $484 97¢ $486 +$2 11-13 09:06
Trump out as President before 2027? No +400 $266 98¢ $391 +$125 11-05 13:21
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? No +400 $352 97¢ $388 +$37 10-18 10:28
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +400 $368 92¢ $368 +$1 11-11 23:15
Jensen Huang divorce by December 31, 2026? No +400 $357 90¢ $362 +$5 11-11 21:59
Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +341 $317 98¢ $333 +$16 11-08 15:08
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -301 -$492 98¢ $-296 +$197 09-13 02:03
Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026? No +337 $291 86¢ $288 -$3 11-11 16:34
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (LOW) $525B by November 30? No +293 $271 95¢ $277 +$7 11-11 11:39
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +291 $185 88¢ $257 +$72 10-25 22:29
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +280 $113 89¢ $249 +$136 11-13 21:21
Will Alibaba be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +262 $246 95¢ $248 +$2 11-08 08:05
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $130B by December 31? No +242 $232 97¢ $236 +$4 11-11 14:42
us x china agree to pace the ai frontier in 2026 No +245 $227 96¢ $236 +$9 11-09 23:43
Will Anthropic be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +231 $220 95¢ $220 $0 11-09 23:24
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by December 31? No +227 $215 95¢ $216 +$2 11-09 23:58
Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026? No +225 $215 96¢ $215 $0 11-11 11:30
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +200 $160 99¢ $197 +$37 10-01 17:29
Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +193 $170 97¢ $188 +$18 11-08 15:10
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +200 $182 94¢ $187 +$5 11-12 01:11