Productive-Brooch 0x34af3a…f4bd55 Create alert
whale hot 20W streak
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Realized P&L (7d)
+$1.15K
Unrealized P&L
+$862
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (7d)
94
Trades (7d)
206
6,748 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$12.1K
$753.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$112
Open exposure
$5.68K
22 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-03 13:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 170 days
Categories
Other
60% 94% +$1,071
Politics
23% 82% -$456
Crypto
10% 94% +$494
Tech
6% 79% +$1,004
Sports
1% 85% +$154
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 84 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -1,990 -$2,007 97¢ $-1921 +$86 10-28 05:22
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +1,000 $905 94¢ $945 +$40 10-04 04:27
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +834 $633 86¢ $717 +$84 10-16 18:01
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? No +400 $352 96¢ $385 +$33 10-18 10:28
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -301 -$492 98¢ $-293 +$199 09-13 02:03
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +291 $185 88¢ $254 +$69 10-25 22:29
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +200 $190 96¢ $191 +$1 11-02 14:45
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +200 $160 95¢ $190 +$30 10-01 17:29
us x china agree to pace the ai frontier in 2026 No +151 $136 94¢ $142 +$7 09-28 15:17
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30? No +142 $129 93¢ $132 +$3 10-21 19:14
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? No +117 $88 97¢ $113 +$25 10-15 22:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +100 $99 100¢ $100 +$1 10-20 11:49
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +100 $97 100¢ $100 +$3 10-19 16:35
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +100 $89 93¢ $93 +$4 07-22 21:17
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +50 $36 72¢ $36 -$1 09-25 07:01
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +20 $17 88¢ $18 +$1 10-19 22:37
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +20 $15 84¢ $17 +$1 10-25 10:53
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -16 -$242 96¢ $-15 +$226 10-25 07:16
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? No -15 -$14 99¢ $-15 -$1 05-19 18:23
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? No -1 -$1 100¢ $-1 $0 05-27 07:58
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? No +0 -$2 97¢ $0 +$2 09-01 06:23
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +0 -$49 72¢ $0 +$49 08-03 15:06