Realized P&L
-$9
Unrealized P&L
+$16
Hit rate
0.9%
Resolved
14
Trades
11,818
lifetime
Volume
$810.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$69
Open exposure
$890
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-10
last 07-20 17:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Other
45% 82% $-10
Politics
41% 100% +$1
Tech
8%
Crypto
5% 100% +$0
Sports
1% 0% $-0
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 121 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? No -250 $-186 80¢ $-200 $-14 05-30 19:10
Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +200 $194 97¢ $194 $-0 07-14 13:02
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No -200 $-178 88¢ $-177 +$1 07-15 09:53
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? No +101 $100 98¢ $100 $-0 07-17 19:29
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +100 $84 72¢ $72 $-12 06-14 14:22
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +80 $65 88¢ $70 +$5 07-02 12:12
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes -500 $-78 $-40 +$38 05-28 13:29
Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026? No +41 $35 89¢ $36 +$2 06-24 15:08
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $4 12¢ $2 $-2 07-10 09:32
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? No -0 $-0 96¢ $-0 +$0 07-17 11:55
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +0 $0 90¢ $0 $-0 07-14 12:03