Realized P&L
-$837
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
74.2%
Resolved
202
Trades
7,991
lifetime
Volume
$174.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$24
20 positions
First seen
2026-04-06
last 06-30 10:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Crypto
99% 74% $-837
Other
1%
Politics
0%
Sports
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 798 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? No +3 $2 100¢ $3 +$1 06-17 16:59
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +10 $4 31¢ $3 $-1 06-29 23:15
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +3 $2 92¢ $2 $-0 06-29 21:48
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $1 46¢ $1 +$0 06-29 03:08
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 06-15 04:48
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +1 $1 81¢ $1 +$0 06-28 21:05
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 $-0 06-28 21:11
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 $-0 06-28 15:04
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? No +1 $1 89¢ $1 $-0 06-16 06:24
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +1 $1 89¢ $1 $-0 06-30 09:44
US military draft authorized in 2026? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 $-0 06-30 03:41
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No -1 $-1 94¢ $-1 +$0 06-15 17:16
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 74¢ $1 $-0 06-20 10:39
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 $-0 06-28 16:58
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? No +1 $1 72¢ $1 $-0 06-17 20:17
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +2 $1 34¢ $1 $-0 06-30 07:15
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 06-29 15:09
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO? Yes +0 $0 96¢ $0 $-0 06-30 05:57
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30? Yes -10 $-1 $-0 +$1 06-03 11:57
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 $-0 06-20 11:19