Hospitable-Touch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11.1K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

15.7%

Resolved

Trades

925

lifetime

Volume

$234.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$253

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 07-31 22:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

45% 60% $-126

Other

42% 50% $-10,947

Tech

5% — —

Crypto

5% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	13	$18.2K	10,799	7,894	+2,905	open	—	05-01 03:45
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	51	$12.1K	12,026	499	+11,527	Yes	$-11,188	05-01 06:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	10	$10.0K	5,546	5,546	-0	open	—	04-26 21:27
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	7	$9.2K	5,100	5,100	+0	open	—	05-11 04:30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	7	$9.0K	6,200	6,200	+0	open	—	05-06 22:39
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	4	$8.7K	4,359	4,357	+3	open	—	04-25 18:59
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	8	$7.9K	4,008	4,008	+0	open	—	04-26 23:12
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	5	$7.9K	6,177	6,177	+0	open	—	04-28 22:39
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	12	$7.4K	3,840	3,840	+0	open	—	04-27 16:03
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	20	$5.6K	0	7,970	-7,970	open	—	07-18 22:19
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	7	$5.4K	4,100	2,050	+2,050	open	—	05-01 10:40
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$5.1K	2,587	2,587	+0	open	—	04-27 15:45
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	35	$4.9K	4,536	4,536	+0	open	—	04-27 19:18
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by May 31?	18	$4.7K	3,585	2,602	+983	open	—	05-11 23:47
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?	9	$4.5K	3,774	921	+2,853	open	—	04-29 16:00
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?	6	$4.4K	4,480	0	+4,480	open	—	04-24 18:38
trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	13	$4.2K	4,798	0	+4,798	open	—	04-30 03:16
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	16	$4.0K	2,267	1,984	+283	open	—	05-13 10:56
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	8	$3.9K	2,038	2,038	-0	open	—	05-25 01:18
deepseek v4 released by april 24	23	$3.9K	4,145	0	+4,145	open	—	04-24 04:59
will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	25	$3.9K	4,300	0	+4,300	open	—	07-20 19:15
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	14	$3.8K	2,468	1,571	+897	open	—	04-30 01:26
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	4	$3.5K	3,702	0	+3,702	open	—	04-30 22:48
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	5	$3.1K	1,624	1,624	+0	open	—	04-29 16:06
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	3	$3.1K	3,241	0	+3,241	open	—	04-26 21:52
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	4	$2.8K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	05-06 19:05
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	2	$2.2K	1,300	1,300	+0	open	—	05-07 03:28
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	5	$2.2K	1,253	1,253	+0	open	—	04-27 19:17
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	9	$2.2K	1,655	1,277	+378	open	—	04-23 18:22
Iran Nuke before 2027?	31	$2.1K	0	2,200	-2,200	open	—	07-31 22:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-31 22:11:47	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	41	95¢	$39	0x45d3b9…
07-31 21:45:56	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xb59629…
07-31 13:04:11	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x26e7f4…
07-31 11:41:18	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x6c6ad9…
07-31 11:23:35	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x8548d7…
07-31 05:55:02	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x305ad7…
07-31 05:26:32	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xeb2254…
07-31 01:44:44	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x8a6347…
07-31 01:44:42	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xb1dfd1…
07-31 01:44:39	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x0f2db4…
07-31 01:44:38	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xd55de9…
07-31 01:44:36	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xeca595…
07-30 22:46:20	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	284	95¢	$270	0x599a37…
07-30 22:04:14	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x50270a…
07-30 21:47:51	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x38b5af…
07-30 21:46:20	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	420	95¢	$399	0xc3b37e…
07-30 21:20:17	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x58c4db…
07-30 21:15:02	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xf8421c…
07-30 19:24:15	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x36e06d…
07-30 18:19:02	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xb2fa3a…
07-30 15:27:48	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x158402…
07-30 15:23:38	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x2fe459…
07-30 11:43:20	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x41e273…
07-30 10:38:12	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x1cea38…
07-30 08:41:06	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x1724b1…
07-30 05:05:44	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x930f80…
07-30 02:52:14	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x325343…
07-30 01:41:36	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	800	95¢	$760	0xd676b3…
07-30 01:23:42	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xc9909d…
07-29 21:46:53	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	500	95¢	$475	0x16c05a…
07-29 20:18:08	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	44	95¢	$42	0xbabcdc…
07-27 15:27:19	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	85¢	$425	0x082fbd…
07-27 14:57:18	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	No	SELL	22	90¢	$20	0xa9532c…
07-26 18:27:12	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	No	SELL	91	90¢	$83	0xbe33d1…
07-20 19:15:25	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	1,000	90¢	$900	0x80dbc9…
07-20 19:15:25	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	1,000	87¢	$870	0x43d58c…
07-20 07:53:06	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	523	90¢	$470	0x3eed6a…
07-20 07:43:33	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	477	90¢	$430	0x5cb7bd…
07-18 22:19:03	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	605	71¢	$429	0x18efd7…
07-18 22:13:33	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	62	71¢	$44	0x340f21…
07-18 22:11:09	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	75	71¢	$53	0x45ad63…
07-18 22:05:07	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	14	71¢	$10	0x39ee1a…
07-18 21:50:46	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1,000	71¢	$710	0xcaf0cc…
07-18 21:41:01	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0x73346a…
07-18 21:26:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	38	71¢	$27	0xa84ef3…
07-18 21:17:31	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	100	71¢	$71	0x222d49…
07-18 21:12:46	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	4	71¢	$2	0x7ce3e3…
07-18 20:10:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	3,808	70¢	$2,666	0xcfac9d…
07-18 20:03:03	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1,904	69¢	$1,314	0xbfb102…
07-18 18:54:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0xd4a0de…
07-18 18:54:31	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	219	71¢	$156	0xa52184…
07-18 18:54:31	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x81c1dd…
07-18 18:54:31	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0x29b833…
07-18 18:54:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	17	71¢	$12	0x340328…
07-18 18:54:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	35	71¢	$25	0x086649…
07-18 18:54:28	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	45	71¢	$32	0x5fa1de…
07-18 18:54:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	11	71¢	$8	0xd207b6…
07-18 18:54:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	14	71¢	$10	0x0a212a…
07-18 09:17:49	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	49	93¢	$46	0x3bfad0…
07-18 05:37:10	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x6a880b…
07-18 05:18:39	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xf96a8b…
07-18 00:26:55	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0x3c2a25…
07-17 23:53:42	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x70d427…
07-17 22:52:36	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x5daeec…
07-17 22:52:30	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	71	93¢	$66	0xb00715…
07-17 18:39:39	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0x31e714…
07-17 18:08:09	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	20	93¢	$18	0xf4f3ee…
07-17 18:08:07	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x9ccf8f…
07-17 18:08:07	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	214	93¢	$199	0x462d2d…
07-17 18:08:06	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0x4d6397…
07-17 14:26:31	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x4ab235…
07-17 14:26:30	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0x295e88…
07-17 14:18:49	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	440	85¢	$374	0x22cff4…
07-17 09:31:07	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	101	85¢	$86	0x0d915e…
07-17 07:08:25	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0x854da7…
07-16 22:10:56	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	357	85¢	$304	0xa0d1b5…
07-16 13:32:13	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	85¢	$34	0xa9a19f…
07-16 12:15:26	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	44	85¢	$38	0xbc8bf6…
07-14 21:46:35	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	941	88¢	$828	0x3ea3a9…
07-14 17:57:07	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xf50367…
07-14 17:40:59	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x72e183…
07-14 17:35:46	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0xadb4bf…
07-14 17:24:25	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0xf15702…
07-14 17:08:20	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x6115c7…
07-14 17:08:16	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	22	88¢	$20	0x505a71…
06-20 09:44:49	Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	No	SELL	237	92¢	$218	0x2715f8…
06-17 21:05:02	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	90¢	$900	0x62ac7b…
05-27 07:05:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	70	2¢	$1	0x6d1324…
05-27 06:33:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	260	2¢	$4	0xc76f7d…
05-27 06:33:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	21	2¢	$0	0x1f5fff…
05-27 06:29:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	449	2¢	$7	0x0ea8f4…
05-25 01:18:45	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	77	98¢	$75	0x14e198…
05-25 01:17:54	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	46	98¢	$46	0x8f72dd…
05-25 00:57:43	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xcb2251…
05-25 00:56:42	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0x7b97b7…
05-25 00:56:12	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	839	98¢	$823	0xb6eaca…
05-25 00:10:30	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	1,019	97¢	$989	0xef983f…
05-23 04:16:38	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	632	4¢	$27	0xc25b14…
05-18 16:54:11	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	957	1¢	$6	0xdea88a…
05-18 16:53:08	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	168	12¢	$20	0x487432…