Hospitable-Touch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11.1K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

15.7%

Resolved

Trades

835

lifetime

Volume

$218.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$262

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 05-27 07:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

45% 60% $-126

Other

42% 50% $-10,947

Tech

6% — —

Crypto

6% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 97 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	13	$18.2K	10,799	7,894	+2,905	open	—	05-01 03:45
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	51	$12.1K	12,026	499	+11,527	Yes	$-11,188	05-01 06:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	10	$10.0K	5,546	5,546	-0	open	—	04-26 21:27
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	7	$9.2K	5,100	5,100	+0	open	—	05-11 04:30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	7	$9.0K	6,200	6,200	+0	open	—	05-06 22:39
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	4	$8.7K	4,359	4,357	+3	open	—	04-25 18:59
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	8	$7.9K	4,008	4,008	+0	open	—	04-26 23:12
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	5	$7.9K	6,177	6,177	+0	open	—	04-28 22:39
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	12	$7.4K	3,840	3,840	+0	open	—	04-27 16:03
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	7	$5.4K	4,100	2,050	+2,050	open	—	05-01 10:40
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$5.1K	2,587	2,587	+0	open	—	04-27 15:45
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	35	$4.9K	4,536	4,536	+0	open	—	04-27 19:18
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by May 31?	18	$4.7K	3,585	2,602	+983	open	—	05-11 23:47
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?	9	$4.5K	3,774	921	+2,853	open	—	04-29 16:00
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?	6	$4.4K	4,480	0	+4,480	open	—	04-24 18:38
trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	13	$4.2K	4,798	0	+4,798	open	—	04-30 03:16
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	16	$4.0K	2,267	1,984	+283	open	—	05-13 10:56
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	8	$3.9K	2,038	2,038	-0	open	—	05-25 01:18
deepseek v4 released by april 24	23	$3.9K	4,145	0	+4,145	open	—	04-24 04:59
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	14	$3.8K	2,468	1,571	+897	open	—	04-30 01:26
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	4	$3.5K	3,702	0	+3,702	open	—	04-30 22:48
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	5	$3.1K	1,624	1,624	+0	open	—	04-29 16:06
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	3	$3.1K	3,241	0	+3,241	open	—	04-26 21:52
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	4	$2.8K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	05-06 19:05
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	2	$2.2K	1,300	1,300	+0	open	—	05-07 03:28
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	5	$2.2K	1,253	1,253	+0	open	—	04-27 19:17
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	9	$2.2K	1,655	1,277	+378	open	—	04-23 18:22
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by less than 3%?	6	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-27 02:20
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	6	$2.0K	1,000	999	+1	open	—	04-24 22:06
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	3	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-27 19:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-27 07:05:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	70	2¢	$1	0x6d1324…
05-27 06:33:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	260	2¢	$4	0xc76f7d…
05-27 06:33:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	21	2¢	$0	0x1f5fff…
05-27 06:29:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	449	2¢	$7	0x0ea8f4…
05-25 01:18:45	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	77	98¢	$75	0x14e198…
05-25 01:17:54	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	46	98¢	$46	0x8f72dd…
05-25 00:57:43	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xcb2251…
05-25 00:56:42	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0x7b97b7…
05-25 00:56:12	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	839	98¢	$823	0xb6eaca…
05-25 00:10:30	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	1,019	97¢	$989	0xef983f…
05-23 04:16:38	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	632	4¢	$27	0xc25b14…
05-18 16:54:11	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	957	1¢	$6	0xdea88a…
05-18 16:53:08	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	168	12¢	$20	0x487432…
05-18 06:44:38	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	800	29¢	$230	0xd2d420…
05-18 01:22:53	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	956	11¢	$106	0x5bd5d2…
05-18 00:16:50	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x0a9534…
05-15 17:01:13	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	215	97¢	$209	0x75c855…
05-15 17:00:31	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	215	93¢	$200	0xe267e0…
05-13 10:56:29	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	373	92¢	$343	0x1c59de…
05-13 10:56:29	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	530	92¢	$488	0x068da8…
05-13 10:43:44	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	230	92¢	$212	0xf271ef…
05-13 09:13:11	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	684	90¢	$615	0x0c839b…
05-13 09:07:56	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0xf46a44…
05-13 09:02:55	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0x02e0ee…
05-13 08:22:19	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	66	90¢	$60	0xeb3ff9…
05-13 02:53:52	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	SELL	12	14¢	$2	0x89d27c…
05-11 23:47:04	Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by May 31?	No	SELL	145	88¢	$128	0x7675fe…
05-11 04:30:10	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	974	96¢	$931	0xf5d283…
05-11 04:24:52	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	26	96¢	$25	0xdeae22…
05-08 23:36:52	Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by May 31?	No	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x380c54…
05-08 18:40:11	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0x24b694…
05-08 18:35:13	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	620	41¢	$251	0xbccc87…
05-08 18:17:08	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	620	77¢	$474	0x594745…
05-08 18:01:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	142	17¢	$24	0xb6bf7e…
05-08 17:55:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	79	17¢	$13	0xa5e4a2…
05-08 17:55:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	180	17¢	$30	0xebac1e…
05-08 17:44:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	299	17¢	$50	0x328f86…
05-08 05:44:20	Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by May 31?	No	SELL	23	89¢	$21	0x53961e…
05-08 02:49:44	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	No	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x1d2560…
05-07 20:15:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	536	80¢	$426	0xc10dd2…
05-07 16:13:05	Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by May 31?	No	SELL	551	85¢	$468	0xdb8002…
05-07 16:12:51	Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by May 31?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x701626…
05-07 16:12:50	Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by May 31?	No	SELL	600	85¢	$510	0x28c926…
05-07 16:10:07	Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by May 31?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xe63646…
05-07 07:04:19	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	967	97¢	$938	0x1971f9…
05-07 06:46:14	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x89ca3f…
05-07 06:43:47	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0x8115b2…
05-07 06:37:40	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0x92e8e8…
05-07 06:35:37	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	767	97¢	$745	0x75785f…
05-07 05:27:10	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	19	74¢	$14	0xb9633c…
05-07 05:11:27	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0xe6d364…
05-07 04:52:38	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	30	74¢	$22	0xcccaf8…
05-07 04:41:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	3	74¢	$3	0x082b3b…
05-07 03:51:40	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	36	74¢	$26	0x17ea03…
05-07 03:46:50	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	194	5¢	$9	0x404900…
05-07 03:44:39	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xf879ae…
05-07 03:42:59	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x75744e…
05-07 03:40:04	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0x31f604…
05-07 03:38:24	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	709	74¢	$525	0x528a6d…
05-07 03:33:41	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	85¢	$850	0xfc3e98…
05-07 03:28:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	465	96¢	$448	0xf76155…
05-07 03:28:13	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	1,300	88¢	$1,144	0xf29866…
05-07 03:27:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	1,204	72¢	$867	0x2f53ea…
05-07 01:19:32	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	172	97¢	$167	0x6b7f00…
05-06 23:17:46	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xe3b287…
05-06 22:39:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3,000	71¢	$2,130	0x041e0b…
05-06 21:36:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	571	15¢	$89	0x40bb5d…
05-06 21:36:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	128	15¢	$20	0x64083a…
05-06 19:39:12	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0x861328…
05-06 19:05:44	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	1,000	92¢	$920	0xf68765…
05-06 18:32:24	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0x8db36b…
05-06 18:20:49	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	267	97¢	$259	0x2aa931…
05-06 17:55:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	39	87¢	$34	0x83152d…
05-06 17:46:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	372	87¢	$323	0x634333…
05-06 17:46:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	125	87¢	$109	0xcea20b…
05-06 06:30:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	1,000	66¢	$660	0xfca2ce…
05-06 06:29:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	1,300	85¢	$1,105	0x178093…
05-06 03:43:08	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x5bf38e…
05-06 03:43:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xf8c9c4…
05-06 03:43:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x93392e…
05-06 03:43:04	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x32ea4f…
05-06 03:42:58	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xab0853…
05-06 03:41:24	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	467	98¢	$455	0xf0d445…
05-06 03:34:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	134	97¢	$130	0x1f3e20…
05-06 03:30:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	390	95¢	$370	0x0bbc3c…
05-06 03:16:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	201	65¢	$131	0xac5c74…
05-06 02:02:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	350	90¢	$315	0xe06b24…
05-06 02:02:08	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	284	98¢	$277	0xbdb5b1…
05-05 20:30:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	460	85¢	$391	0xbeead2…
05-05 00:59:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x498384…
05-04 21:43:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x396d91…
05-04 17:46:32	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xb55cc4…
05-04 17:46:26	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	500	91¢	$455	0x713116…
05-04 12:28:26	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1,229	96¢	$1,180	0x19b0bb…
05-04 05:31:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	2,875	7¢	$201	0xa62eed…
05-04 01:46:18	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	No	BUY	715	93¢	$665	0x18b0a4…
05-04 01:40:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	81¢	$810	0xfb8d80…
05-04 01:39:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x067ac8…
05-04 01:39:08	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0xf65cea…
05-04 01:28:22	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1,000	91¢	$910	0xe4baa3…