Unusual-Plugin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$48.2K

Unrealized P&L

-$2.26K

Hit rate

95.9%

Resolved

Trades

2,284

lifetime

Volume

$903.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$396

Open exposure

$41.6K

6 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 11-06 18:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Politics

93% 79% +$48,323

Other

7% 75% -$198

Crypto

0% 100% +$110

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 72 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	+23,247	$20,505	86¢	$20.1K	-$397	10-28 20:25
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	No	+11,048	$9,960	98¢	$10.8K	+$840	11-03 18:49
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+11,766	$3,010	45¢	$5.3K	+$2,303	11-06 18:05
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	+4,845	$4,612	98¢	$4.8K	+$150	08-31 12:11
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+26,607	$5,841	2¢	$572	-$5,269	06-24 17:26
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	+0	-$112	98¢	$0	+$112	05-15 10:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	685	$258.7K	227,577	227,577	+0	No	+$24,504	10-25 21:16
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	83	$97.2K	58,696	58,696	+0	Yes	+$5,421	10-26 00:10
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	49	$96.0K	49,921	49,921	+0	No	+$1,021	06-04 21:48
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	42	$37.6K	22,953	22,953	+0	No	+$528	06-20 19:16
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	58	$35.3K	23,694	18,542	+5,152	No	+$1,360	06-10 17:13
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	152	$32.7K	47,832	36,065	+11,766	open	—	11-06 18:05
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	52	$31.2K	29,247	6,000	+23,247	open	—	10-28 20:25
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	58	$27.0K	21,451	21,451	+0	No	+$1,131	06-30 23:18
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	51	$25.5K	16,715	10,000	+6,715	Yes	+$427	10-25 23:40
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	27	$24.1K	18,355	16,555	+1,800	Yes	+$1,857	11-04 04:26
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	28	$19.9K	19,635	1,680	+17,955	No	+$1,247	07-27 18:11
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	71	$19.6K	11,392	11,392	+0	No	+$362	07-01 10:18
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	84	$18.5K	13,364	13,364	+0	No	+$1,293	10-29 21:32
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	21	$15.5K	9,918	9,918	+0	open	—	06-11 17:06
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	17	$15.2K	10,116	10,116	+0	Yes	-$234	06-30 23:15
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	69	$12.1K	6,600	6,600	+0	open	—	05-15 10:16
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	212	$11.9K	37,607	11,000	+26,607	open	—	06-24 17:26
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	8	$10.0K	11,048	0	+11,048	open	—	11-03 18:49
nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	19	$9.6K	6,946	6,946	+0	open	—	07-07 13:37
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	19	$9.4K	10,450	0	+10,450	No	+$1,014	05-23 23:44
Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	12	$9.0K	7,856	2,121	+5,735	No	+$568	06-22 16:54
netanyahu out by july 31	8	$8.1K	4,076	4,076	+0	No	+$33	07-25 03:58
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	18	$7.8K	5,034	5,020	+14	Yes	+$1,909	05-26 15:39
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	9	$7.3K	4,162	4,162	+0	No	+$778	05-26 22:03
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	16	$7.0K	15,133	15,133	+0	open	—	10-28 15:45
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 0–5%?	13	$6.7K	5,716	4,524	+1,192	No	-$3,006	06-10 00:04
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	39	$6.2K	8,740	850	+7,890	No	+$3,108	10-01 23:04
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	3	$5.8K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	05-06 08:56
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	29	$5.6K	3,440	3,440	+0	Yes	+$352	06-16 04:18
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	210	$5.3K	16,651	12,036	+4,615	Yes	+$4,919	10-04 15:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 18:05:34	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	976	45¢	$440	0xe3a872…
11-06 18:05:31	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	2,024	45¢	$913	0xfb453e…
11-05 22:26:58	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	116	44¢	$52	0x8a2382…
11-05 22:06:13	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,342	44¢	$584	0xf7ef56…
11-04 04:26:31	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	370	97¢	$359	0x7bf560…
11-04 04:26:30	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	430	97¢	$417	0x30903c…
11-04 02:37:24	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	875	95¢	$834	0xd7a18a…
11-04 02:37:24	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	95¢	$120	0x763142…
11-03 18:49:31	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	No	BUY	164	97¢	$158	0xe9fe5c…
11-03 14:18:21	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	No	BUY	1,540	97¢	$1,491	0x242478…
11-03 04:37:28	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	No	BUY	1,248	97¢	$1,208	0x449ebf…
11-01 19:59:18	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x26d5d7…
11-01 19:47:51	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x8c3cd4…
11-01 19:02:37	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	41	40¢	$17	0xca7483…
11-01 18:30:19	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	32	40¢	$13	0x6c42a0…
11-01 18:15:37	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	34	40¢	$14	0xbdd0fe…
11-01 17:44:37	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	650	40¢	$263	0xfedf39…
11-01 17:43:39	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	567	40¢	$229	0x70cd43…
10-30 06:25:51	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	6,000	42¢	$2,496	0x3c3501…
10-30 00:17:16	Will Petr Hlaváček be the next Mayor of Prague?	Yes	BUY	442	96¢	$424	0x7c3de6…
10-29 22:11:46	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,261	43¢	$537	0x80351d…
10-29 21:36:48	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	300	43¢	$128	0x7bcd5d…
10-29 21:32:55	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	90	76¢	$68	0xde09c8…
10-29 21:32:55	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	1,200	75¢	$900	0xb87a8d…
10-29 21:32:55	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	13	75¢	$10	0xa7eedf…
10-29 21:32:55	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	4,219	76¢	$3,206	0xa41ff1…
10-29 21:32:55	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	1,005	76¢	$764	0x6033b3…
10-29 21:32:55	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	878	76¢	$667	0x3e17c1…
10-29 21:32:55	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7,161	76¢	$5,442	0x03bf4c…
10-29 21:32:55	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	30	75¢	$22	0x010b2d…
10-29 21:25:48	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	125	43¢	$53	0xd71b7f…
10-29 21:23:27	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	76¢	$13	0xd757b1…
10-29 21:23:27	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	17	75¢	$12	0x8fba86…
10-29 21:20:21	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	6	75¢	$5	0x15bf0b…
10-29 21:20:16	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	75¢	$750	0xe67980…
10-29 20:33:09	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	76¢	$28	0x3e03e9…
10-29 20:30:30	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x0b06f8…
10-29 20:28:57	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0xce3057…
10-29 20:12:25	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	110	76¢	$84	0xf1c594…
10-29 20:04:36	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	130	75¢	$97	0x13ecba…
10-29 20:04:30	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	284	75¢	$213	0x51251a…
10-29 20:04:25	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x313e98…
10-29 20:04:24	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	284	75¢	$213	0xd0b6e2…
10-29 20:04:19	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	284	75¢	$213	0xf72914…
10-29 20:04:12	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	284	75¢	$213	0xf16b21…
10-29 20:04:06	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	284	75¢	$213	0xaf2328…
10-29 19:40:28	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0xb318be…
10-29 19:40:18	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0xa7c1b0…
10-28 22:01:19	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,314	43¢	$560	0x073512…
10-28 20:25:41	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	2,987	88¢	$2,629	0x05ff90…
10-28 20:14:44	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	42	88¢	$37	0xb62745…
10-28 19:19:25	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x7f2c01…
10-28 18:43:31	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x305c14…
10-28 18:21:20	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	42	88¢	$37	0x99a7cb…
10-28 17:47:53	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	140	88¢	$123	0xc20f8a…
10-28 17:41:34	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	167	88¢	$147	0x74c5f5…
10-28 17:29:17	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	150	88¢	$132	0x5f4eab…
10-28 17:25:44	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	622	88¢	$547	0x45928a…
10-28 17:21:56	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1,144	88¢	$1,007	0x1e1140…
10-28 17:20:34	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x15735d…
10-28 17:18:05	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	333	88¢	$293	0x06ea84…
10-28 15:45:11	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	2,143	26¢	$557	0x334998…
10-28 15:44:25	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	751	26¢	$195	0x684cdd…
10-28 15:31:59	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	336	26¢	$87	0x3ac914…
10-28 15:31:53	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	673	26¢	$175	0xc4f8ef…
10-28 15:31:47	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	673	26¢	$175	0x981915…
10-28 15:31:41	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	673	26¢	$175	0x5c3051…
10-28 15:31:35	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	1,752	26¢	$456	0x0426a7…
10-28 13:37:16	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xe2ffeb…
10-28 13:24:29	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0xb5632e…
10-28 13:00:07	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	75	88¢	$66	0xb2a270…
10-28 12:19:28	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	42	88¢	$37	0x9a6a0e…
10-28 11:47:38	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	125	88¢	$110	0xafbea9…
10-28 11:36:44	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	42	88¢	$37	0x2688e9…
10-28 11:30:47	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x780df7…
10-28 04:50:56	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	62	43¢	$27	0xb5df79…
10-28 04:50:53	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	380	43¢	$164	0x7bc364…
10-28 04:50:23	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	351	43¢	$151	0x364a02…
10-28 04:50:08	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	179	43¢	$77	0xfc8919…
10-28 04:21:59	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	819	43¢	$353	0x02ef8d…
10-28 04:17:11	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	615	43¢	$265	0xa207fb…
10-28 04:15:53	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x1e7e11…
10-28 04:15:41	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	125	43¢	$54	0x64416d…
10-28 04:11:47	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	22	43¢	$9	0x683288…
10-28 03:58:23	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xffe0f1…
10-28 03:47:52	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x132b85…
10-28 03:40:06	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xc4f390…
10-28 03:28:13	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x2c391a…
10-28 03:06:54	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xdf184c…
10-28 02:45:11	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x0e0115…
10-28 02:22:06	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x0a71ad…
10-28 02:15:32	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	104	43¢	$45	0x0ee184…
10-28 01:53:15	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x63bb5e…
10-28 01:51:24	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x559c6c…
10-28 00:52:11	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	250	43¢	$108	0xa39b93…
10-28 00:10:14	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	186	43¢	$80	0xfc5c16…
10-28 00:10:14	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,722	43¢	$742	0x9b9d1c…
10-28 00:10:12	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0x4f6f72…
10-27 19:15:48	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	15,000	89¢	$13,350	0x116dc9…
10-26 22:16:33	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	4,132	27¢	$1,116	0x13c192…