Realized P&L
-$179
Unrealized P&L
+$506
Hit rate
86.1%
Resolved
3
Trades
1,081
lifetime
Volume
$147.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$136
Open exposure
$13.3K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-11
last 06-30 20:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
69% 50% +$149
Other
31%
Sports
1% 0% $-328
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 108 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +4,600 $4,012 86¢ $4.0K $-33 06-30 20:17
Netanyahu out by June 30? No -3,556 $-3,530 100¢ $-3552 $-22 06-16 04:35
US military draft authorized in 2026? No +2,116 $1,842 92¢ $1.9K +$104 06-27 02:04
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30? No -1,022 $-1,015 100¢ $-1020 $-5 06-16 09:24
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? No +1,011 $949 99¢ $1.0K +$56 06-29 03:40
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +700 $589 86¢ $606 +$16 06-28 12:59
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No -407 $-408 89¢ $-362 +$46 06-30 09:44
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? No +461 $82 70¢ $323 +$241 06-28 20:31
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31? No +269 $201 96¢ $258 +$58 06-29 20:31
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +304 $185 70¢ $213 +$28 06-24 20:37
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes -43 $-59 100¢ $-43 +$16 06-29 18:59
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -15 $-3 15¢ $-2 +$1 05-28 11:24