Surprised-Ingredient 0x06ab44…36ee5c
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$3.59K
Unrealized P&L
-$808
Hit rate
82.2%
Resolved
76
Trades
2,858
lifetime
Volume
$439.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$154
Open exposure
$18.2K
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-11
last 10-28 14:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 43 days
Categories
Politics
71% 67% +$2,891
Other
29% 79% +$980
Sports
1% 36% -$286
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 152 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +4,075 $3,501 94¢ $3.9K +$349 10-28 14:17
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +3,400 $2,162 66¢ $2.3K +$99 10-25 19:59
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +2,590 $1,931 86¢ $2.2K +$289 10-21 12:48
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +3,000 $1,911 68¢ $2.0K +$114 10-25 05:53
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No -1,888 -$2,135 97¢ $-1838 +$297 10-20 05:43
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -1,581 -$1,281 96¢ $-1518 -$237 04-29 17:03
Trump out as President before 2027? No -1,390 -$1,315 96¢ $-1327 -$13 10-26 20:43
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,000 $762 72¢ $725 -$37 10-28 10:24
US military draft authorized in 2026? No +654 $433 97¢ $635 +$201 10-05 17:40
will turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026 No +662 $340 94¢ $619 +$279 10-26 15:17
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? No -500 -$440 97¢ $-485 -$45 04-30 03:42
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -1,536 $17 20¢ $-307 -$324 05-28 11:24
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +200 $514 56¢ $113 -$401 10-28 11:59
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +100 -$336 99¢ $99 +$435 10-28 06:07
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +100 -$32 92¢ $93 +$125 10-09 08:53
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No +10 -$354 97¢ $10 +$364 10-27 05:56
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +10 -$44 90¢ $9 +$53 07-04 09:24
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -10 $774 78¢ $-8 -$782 09-21 03:46
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +10 $8 74¢ $7 $0 10-26 22:51
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? No +350 $66 2¢ $6 -$60 10-27 01:25
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +20 $1,117 2¢ $0 -$1,117 10-27 20:19
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? Yes +10 $277 2¢ $0 -$277 10-24 05:54
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +10 $202 1¢ $0 -$202 10-27 20:51
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +0 -$82 1¢ $0 +$82 10-27 18:56