Surprised-Ingredient 0x06ab44…36ee5c
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$3.59K
Unrealized P&L
-$564
Hit rate
82.2%
Resolved
76
Trades
2,870
lifetime
Volume
$444.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$155
Open exposure
$20.1K
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-11
last 10-29 19:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 43 days
Categories
Politics
70% 67% +$2,891
Other
29% 79% +$980
Sports
1% 36% -$286
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 152 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +7,075 $6,261 92¢ $6.5K +$283 10-29 19:04
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +4,400 $2,812 68¢ $3.0K +$158 10-28 23:19
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +3,000 $1,911 70¢ $2.1K +$174 10-25 05:53
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No -1,888 -$2,135 98¢ $-1852 +$283 10-20 05:43
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -1,581 -$1,281 96¢ $-1519 -$239 04-29 17:03
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,750 $1,204 86¢ $1.5K +$296 10-29 09:28
Trump out as President before 2027? No -1,390 -$1,315 96¢ $-1336 -$21 10-26 20:43
US military draft authorized in 2026? No +654 $433 97¢ $633 +$200 10-05 17:40
will turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026 No +662 $340 93¢ $616 +$275 10-26 15:17
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? No -500 -$440 98¢ $-489 -$49 04-30 03:42
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -1,536 $17 20¢ $-300 -$316 05-28 11:24
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +200 $514 57¢ $114 -$400 10-28 11:59
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +100 -$336 99¢ $99 +$435 10-28 06:07
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +20 $46 72¢ $14 -$32 10-28 20:16
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No +10 -$354 97¢ $10 +$364 10-27 05:56
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +10 -$116 94¢ $9 +$125 10-28 20:31
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +10 -$44 90¢ $9 +$53 07-04 09:24
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -10 $774 78¢ $-8 -$782 09-21 03:46
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +10 $8 72¢ $7 -$1 10-26 22:51
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? No -210 $54 2¢ $-5 -$59 10-29 06:46
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +20 $1,117 1¢ $0 -$1,117 10-27 20:19
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? Yes +10 $277 0¢ $0 -$277 10-24 05:54
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +0 -$82 1¢ $0 +$82 10-27 18:56