Embarrassed-Juggernaut — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$28.5K

Unrealized P&L

-$5.54K

Hit rate

59.1%

Resolved

Trades

7,690

lifetime

Volume

$1.28M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$166

Open exposure

$5.74K

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-27 14:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 58 days

Categories

Politics

74% 57% +$24,655

Other

26% 44% -$52,265

Sports

0% 0% -$903

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	-5,188	-$4,247	82¢	$-4280	-$33	06-08 02:49
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	Yes	+39,365	$6,977	3¢	$1.1K	-$5,915	10-27 14:25
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	-2,541	-$782	14¢	$-361	+$421	06-10 19:58
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	-5,000	-$25	1¢	$-38	-$12	10-25 16:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	601	$169.1K	334,432	328,520	+5,911	Yes	+$4,049	03-07 00:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1,462	$161.7K	377,567	405,636	-28,069	No	-$12,177	05-03 13:37
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	80	$92.5K	55,757	55,757	+0	No	+$13,368	04-02 01:21
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	92	$79.3K	125,149	20,047	+105,102	Yes	-$62,349	04-08 00:59
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	435	$68.4K	328,060	393,403	-65,343	No	+$5,266	02-01 02:36
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	295	$64.6K	54,388	49,388	+5,000	Yes	+$10,751	04-05 03:24
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	113	$50.9K	61,322	60,310	+1,012	Yes	-$5,116	02-28 06:29
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	71	$46.7K	51,914	55,802	-3,888	No	+$2,330	01-14 22:11
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	41	$39.3K	31,934	15,934	+16,000	No	+$7,827	03-28 20:24
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	14	$37.9K	20,037	20,037	+0	No	+$1,482	03-23 05:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	102	$31.4K	92,888	93,569	-681	No	-$19,840	06-01 18:01
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	63	$28.1K	20,457	21,471	-1,014	No	-$297	01-15 08:24
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	75	$26.8K	16,679	16,679	+0	Yes	+$5,351	03-23 19:19
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	113	$22.2K	117,356	97,392	+19,964	No	-$846	01-16 05:41
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	124	$22.1K	64,483	20,607	+43,876	Yes	+$30,235	02-28 09:11
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	99	$18.1K	66,934	0	+66,934	No	-$18,130	06-28 03:02
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	1	$17.4K	17,661	0	+17,661	No	+$301	02-10 00:01
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	326	$16.6K	161,163	127,705	+33,458	No	-$1,371	02-01 07:40
houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	27	$15.0K	13,018	6,832	+6,186	No	+$4,807	04-01 22:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	67	$14.8K	34,441	0	+34,441	No	-$14,799	06-28 03:00
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	61	$13.4K	63,993	44,001	+19,992	No	+$1,135	01-16 22:27
houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	16	$13.3K	20,034	0	+20,034	No	+$6,707	03-12 02:16
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	22	$13.0K	28,554	28,554	+0	Yes	-$4,781	03-07 01:07
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	23	$12.1K	15,823	0	+15,823	No	+$3,714	03-09 14:53
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	307	$11.3K	174,105	200,134	-26,029	No	+$853	02-13 19:05
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	32	$10.5K	10,088	10,000	+88	Yes	+$3,080	01-30 13:23
israel strikes iran by january 16 2026 418	42	$10.3K	8,727	8,727	+0	No	-$49	01-15 06:19
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	20	$9.8K	14,509	800	+13,709	Yes	+$5,533	06-07 18:36
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	152	$9.3K	20,991	0	+20,991	Yes	+$11,699	02-07 01:44
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	18	$8.6K	49,868	10,504	+39,365	open	—	10-27 14:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 14:25:33	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	Yes	SELL	63	3¢	$2	0x107560…
10-27 14:24:03	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	3¢	$1	0xd70dc9…
10-25 21:50:30	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,079	3¢	$36	0xb6f0bd…
10-25 16:12:08	Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	359	0¢	$2	0xa778d7…
10-25 16:11:47	Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,641	0¢	$23	0x795beb…
10-22 06:05:44	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5,237	2¢	$89	0xfa7e4c…
07-04 13:45:49	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,571	15¢	$233	0x16721e…
07-04 02:46:37	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,509	17¢	$437	0xe2fa8a…
06-28 03:12:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	3,291	1¢	$43	0xabe78f…
06-28 03:02:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	3,566	14¢	$499	0xf7fa5e…
06-28 03:01:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	5,322	14¢	$745	0x53729c…
06-28 03:00:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	1,287	36¢	$463	0xb010dc…
06-28 03:00:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xe3e140…
06-28 02:57:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	1,460	36¢	$526	0x06000a…
06-28 02:57:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x7cbd2a…
06-28 02:57:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	4,454	14¢	$624	0xe167fd…
06-28 02:56:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x1a9e1c…
06-28 02:55:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	26	2¢	$0	0x801171…
06-28 02:55:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4,678	2¢	$71	0x2dff0e…
06-28 02:51:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	305	36¢	$110	0x5b04bb…
06-28 02:39:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	1,500	36¢	$540	0xf2092b…
06-28 02:39:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	195	36¢	$70	0x4d0d1f…
06-28 02:35:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	21	36¢	$7	0xfdb9e6…
06-28 02:33:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	96	36¢	$35	0x6a89f2…
06-28 02:23:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	31	36¢	$11	0x47b3f6…
06-28 02:23:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	31	36¢	$11	0xa310a2…
06-28 02:23:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	31	36¢	$11	0x960e6e…
06-28 02:23:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	31	36¢	$11	0x12a3ef…
06-28 02:19:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x6eb869…
06-28 02:15:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x7fccf6…
06-28 02:15:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	25	36¢	$9	0xd1457e…
06-28 02:13:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	1,562	36¢	$562	0x3ffbe3…
06-28 02:13:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	260	36¢	$94	0x59919e…
06-28 00:37:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	928	36¢	$334	0x24cdf3…
06-27 20:02:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	225	24¢	$54	0x00a542…
06-27 19:59:23	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	23	24¢	$6	0xe4dad5…
06-27 19:59:23	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x80949d…
06-27 19:56:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	13	24¢	$3	0x2feb1f…
06-27 19:38:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	3,000	24¢	$720	0x0ded1b…
06-27 19:36:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x0e6c39…
06-27 19:25:56	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x93e38e…
06-27 19:17:29	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	2,632	24¢	$632	0xa89943…
06-27 19:17:29	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	132	24¢	$32	0x3db38c…
06-27 19:17:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	445	24¢	$107	0x5ccf13…
06-27 19:17:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	3	24¢	$1	0x78507e…
06-27 19:16:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	371	24¢	$89	0x43121b…
06-26 19:46:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4,000	7¢	$296	0x93ce54…
06-26 02:50:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4,000	5¢	$196	0x31f9e7…
06-25 15:19:56	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x39b832…
06-25 10:37:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1,000	7¢	$68	0xf29ead…
06-25 10:32:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	30	7¢	$2	0x41f432…
06-25 10:31:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x55dbdb…
06-25 10:31:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	300	7¢	$20	0x181ee6…
06-25 10:30:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x235706…
06-25 10:29:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0xd8e8ba…
06-25 10:29:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0xf4cb64…
06-25 10:29:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xf89089…
06-25 10:28:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	46	7¢	$3	0x34ebad…
06-25 10:27:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xaaa83c…
06-25 10:27:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	25	7¢	$2	0xbd126f…
06-25 10:25:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	3,231	7¢	$220	0xb360f0…
06-24 23:59:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	8,999	7¢	$612	0x168866…
06-23 15:38:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	76	21¢	$16	0xcd766c…
06-23 15:38:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	178	21¢	$37	0xc8244a…
06-23 15:38:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	178	21¢	$37	0xa55556…
06-23 15:34:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	77	21¢	$16	0xb7eee8…
06-23 15:34:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	77	21¢	$16	0x847dc1…
06-23 15:34:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	42	21¢	$9	0x1d0285…
06-23 15:34:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	21	21¢	$4	0x37f0f0…
06-23 15:24:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	2	21¢	$0	0xe0cfb2…
06-23 15:24:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	2	21¢	$0	0xbadde2…
06-23 15:22:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	2	21¢	$0	0xa46012…
06-23 15:13:23	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	3	21¢	$1	0xd2baa7…
06-23 15:09:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x189775…
06-23 15:09:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	4,309	21¢	$905	0x2b2202…
06-23 15:08:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	2	21¢	$0	0x5fcb4a…
06-23 15:08:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	2	21¢	$0	0x4b766e…
06-23 15:08:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x43c6dc…
06-23 14:04:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	987	21¢	$207	0x6be18f…
06-23 13:57:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	350	21¢	$74	0x39a7e5…
06-23 13:56:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x0187a7…
06-23 13:55:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	852	21¢	$179	0xbcc236…
06-23 13:55:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	1,500	21¢	$315	0x3e5c65…
06-23 13:55:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	202	21¢	$42	0xcdfe85…
06-22 22:40:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5,000	6¢	$300	0x979ecd…
06-22 22:33:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	53	6¢	$3	0xf18474…
06-22 22:32:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x6bb3c5…
06-22 22:32:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0x3aa0bd…
06-22 22:31:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0xd450c6…
06-22 22:31:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0x77d6b0…
06-22 22:31:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	805	6¢	$48	0x34ac73…
06-22 22:20:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5,049	6¢	$303	0xa010e6…
06-22 22:20:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	246	6¢	$15	0x407217…
06-21 14:06:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	4,140	41¢	$1,698	0xda5532…
06-19 16:41:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xbdc409…
06-19 16:22:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xcfeac7…
06-19 15:56:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	26	41¢	$11	0xb5086d…
06-19 15:52:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	38	41¢	$15	0x248858…
06-19 15:35:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	85	41¢	$35	0xe5ef1a…
06-19 15:28:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2,373	41¢	$973	0xa62b2c…