Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17.7K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.7%

Resolved

Trades

60,447

lifetime

Volume

$16.5M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$273

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 11:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Politics

51% 33% $-14,625

Other

46% 92% $-3,081

Crypto

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 12778 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
netanyahu out by march 31 854	795	$1.21M	666,839	567,954	+98,885	open	—	04-01 04:35
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	1,374	$1.12M	671,250	464,566	+206,685	open	—	03-04 16:27
Netanyahu out by April 30?	2,722	$864.4K	468,326	416,254	+52,072	open	—	04-23 11:06
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	974	$727.5K	447,251	440,857	+6,394	open	—	08-10 11:52
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	703	$645.5K	348,357	328,232	+20,125	open	—	04-23 08:08
trump out as president by march 31	1,533	$603.4K	366,742	307,061	+59,681	open	—	03-27 09:40
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	483	$548.7K	621,083	229,462	+391,622	open	—	04-08 13:52
Trump out as President by April 30?	448	$547.3K	302,703	251,402	+51,301	open	—	04-20 03:14
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	53	$498.9K	395,003	105,000	+290,003	open	—	01-03 18:31
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	21,778	$497.9K	181,021	324,225	-143,204	open	—	06-26 01:07
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	749	$472.1K	329,256	186,829	+142,427	open	—	05-31 18:12
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	314	$395.5K	110,622	294,772	-184,150	open	—	01-28 08:01
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	704	$342.6K	198,705	150,519	+48,187	open	—	06-29 10:11
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	1,002	$338.1K	150,170	275,777	-125,607	open	—	03-04 16:48
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	54	$302.7K	252,700	52,000	+200,700	open	—	06-03 23:52
Netanyahu out by June 30?	1,714	$302.2K	151,128	156,998	-5,871	open	—	06-24 09:40
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	455	$294.8K	238,337	83,290	+155,047	open	—	04-01 00:19
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	795	$199.0K	92,832	109,802	-16,970	open	—	06-24 01:30
will the us invade venezuela by march 31 2026 255	171	$161.5K	90,118	74,498	+15,620	open	—	03-25 01:23
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	224	$142.9K	89,146	87,609	+1,538	open	—	01-27 01:10
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	219	$133.3K	65,726	71,500	-5,773	open	—	05-19 07:00
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	119	$129.9K	76,817	57,033	+19,784	open	—	01-30 21:57
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	151	$113.8K	35,817	80,985	-45,167	open	—	01-30 18:49
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	163	$110.7K	64,032	63,712	+319	open	—	08-05 12:20
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	288	$110.6K	98,768	83,321	+15,447	open	—	04-08 00:01
fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	77	$110.2K	260,000	244,433	+15,567	open	—	01-27 10:35
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	151	$108.8K	62,207	76,851	-14,643	open	—	03-19 17:15
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	380	$107.3K	242,842	236,487	+6,355	open	—	04-06 14:02
Trump out as President by June 30?	114	$100.4K	52,425	49,029	+3,396	open	—	06-11 14:47
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	76	$94.7K	67,834	37,481	+30,353	open	—	03-13 12:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 11:52:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x7488f8…
08-10 10:10:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x3f6012…
08-10 10:05:19	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	12	85¢	$11	0xe74113…
08-10 09:55:33	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x19b73a…
08-10 09:46:28	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x57e101…
08-10 09:26:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	11	85¢	$9	0x0dd0ee…
08-10 09:16:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	9	85¢	$8	0xb311e2…
08-10 09:11:01	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0x73f2a0…
08-10 08:12:01	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	32	85¢	$27	0xb8c446…
08-10 08:10:33	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1,716	85¢	$1,458	0x2f45e4…
08-09 22:38:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1,000	84¢	$840	0x342c23…
08-09 18:13:43	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	500	83¢	$415	0x58de6c…
08-09 12:53:46	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	4,000	84¢	$3,360	0xdf1061…
08-09 12:50:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	60	84¢	$50	0xe3983c…
08-09 12:45:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	30	84¢	$25	0xe2070e…
08-09 11:29:19	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	738	84¢	$620	0x440fd2…
08-09 11:25:36	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0xbbc08e…
08-09 11:15:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	31	84¢	$26	0xdb2cda…
08-09 11:11:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	595	84¢	$500	0x056cc3…
08-09 11:11:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0x15208d…
08-09 10:56:48	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	18	84¢	$15	0x26ae29…
08-08 22:42:40	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	No	SELL	152	96¢	$146	0xd324e3…
08-08 17:52:10	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	No	SELL	24	94¢	$22	0x908ee9…
08-08 17:41:07	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	No	SELL	174	94¢	$163	0x3d7cc0…
08-08 16:42:16	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x1fd419…
08-08 13:50:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	46	84¢	$38	0x5efae4…
08-08 13:50:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	954	84¢	$802	0xe0cc5a…
08-08 13:19:42	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	SELL	845	97¢	$822	0x8ddcb6…
08-08 13:16:13	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	SELL	771	97¢	$750	0x3ace61…
08-08 12:47:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	1,912	99¢	$1,899	0x16704c…
08-08 12:42:54	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	108	99¢	$107	0x9236b6…
08-08 11:49:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	3,980	99¢	$3,952	0x281b48…
08-08 11:06:21	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xd40e8a…
08-08 05:00:01	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	500	77¢	$385	0xb2591c…
08-08 01:09:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1,504	84¢	$1,264	0x4a18f7…
08-08 01:03:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x757f25…
08-08 01:01:13	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x5a06de…
08-08 00:55:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xfbc59a…
08-08 00:54:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xe19f7e…
08-08 00:51:49	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	12	84¢	$10	0x68ef77…
08-08 00:50:31	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x72e8c3…
08-08 00:42:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x0e726e…
08-08 00:39:46	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0x3496e7…
08-08 00:37:48	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xf04e7b…
08-08 00:37:48	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xbc7353…
08-08 00:35:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	507	84¢	$426	0x9b483d…
08-08 00:24:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0xdb9ec9…
08-08 00:23:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x2aea3c…
08-08 00:00:46	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x35a113…
08-07 23:33:48	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x8f0f3e…
08-07 23:30:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0x85f3ec…
08-07 23:29:46	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0x97275a…
08-07 23:28:52	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2	84¢	$1	0xd6c0ce…
08-07 23:25:51	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0x3e2598…
08-07 23:23:33	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	500	84¢	$420	0x2e39ed…
08-07 23:23:10	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	SELL	1,000	97¢	$973	0x068ad4…
08-07 23:20:01	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0x866426…
08-07 23:13:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0x012100…
08-07 23:03:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0xa9e989…
08-07 22:58:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0xd5405a…
08-07 22:57:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	82	84¢	$69	0x1f7f6e…
08-07 22:48:06	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x394745…
08-07 22:24:54	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	No	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x38f040…
08-07 22:17:40	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	179	84¢	$150	0x1546a0…
08-07 22:03:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	12	84¢	$10	0x438c38…
08-07 22:02:13	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	29	84¢	$24	0xe2a966…
08-07 22:00:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	74	84¢	$62	0xc17f20…
08-07 21:56:06	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	No	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0x5e6ef1…
08-07 21:41:25	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	No	BUY	162	57¢	$93	0x6a57ba…
08-07 21:29:24	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	No	BUY	173	58¢	$101	0x4dda29…
08-07 20:59:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1,000	83¢	$830	0x63076d…
08-07 19:20:36	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	47¢	$470	0x51f634…
08-07 19:16:12	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	823	46¢	$379	0x5d45b0…
08-07 16:31:39	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0xf2db55…
08-07 16:28:13	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x1ac44a…
08-07 15:22:37	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xd3b79b…
08-07 12:58:49	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	SELL	350	97¢	$341	0xebf0e3…
08-07 04:34:18	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x9c5a65…
08-07 02:12:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x49a4c1…
08-07 02:09:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	556	99¢	$551	0x5ae689…
08-07 01:55:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	325	99¢	$322	0xe26cb6…
08-07 00:50:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x5d6a69…
08-07 00:50:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x464196…
08-07 00:50:32	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xea2b81…
08-07 00:50:32	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	21	99¢	$20	0x3e96b7…
08-07 00:50:32	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x0cb352…
08-07 00:37:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	2,000	87¢	$1,740	0x9cf55b…
08-07 00:16:51	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	3,000	81¢	$2,430	0x9a72ae…
08-06 22:01:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	3,000	82¢	$2,460	0xba74a9…
08-06 21:49:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x50d5cd…
08-06 21:42:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	304	82¢	$250	0x6664e8…
08-06 21:32:29	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	627	82¢	$514	0xb0f050…
08-06 21:31:41	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xe59193…
08-06 21:12:38	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	213	82¢	$174	0x921ff3…
08-06 18:06:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	3,000	83¢	$2,490	0xeb2034…
08-06 17:46:44	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x600489…
08-06 16:37:51	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x82033b…
08-06 15:57:50	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x245e1e…
08-06 10:34:12	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	SELL	60	97¢	$58	0x339943…
08-06 10:25:23	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	SELL	50	97¢	$49	0x08e459…