Vicious-Party 0x1bf74d…bc6f57
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$157
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
46.8%
Resolved
185
Trades
5,854
lifetime
Volume
$72.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$165
19 positions
First seen
2026-02-03
last 07-21 18:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 20 days
Categories
Other
50% 43% $-93
Sports
21% 44% $-64
Crypto
20% 50% +$0
Politics
9% 0% —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 162 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +166 $34 28¢ $46 +$12 07-21 19:34
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +21 $19 92¢ $19 $-0 07-21 16:18
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +21 $18 72¢ $15 $-2 07-21 15:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +22 $9 46¢ $10 +$1 07-21 15:57
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +17 $10 52¢ $9 $-1 07-21 10:19
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +6 $6 90¢ $5 $-0 07-21 15:22
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +6 $6 90¢ $5 $-0 07-21 08:09
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +13 $5 40¢ $5 $-0 07-21 05:25
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +6 $5 86¢ $5 +$0 07-20 22:07
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +9 $5 56¢ $5 $-0 07-21 18:46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +6 $5 82¢ $5 $-0 07-20 13:32
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +7 $5 70¢ $5 $-0 07-21 09:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +9 $5 55¢ $5 $-0 07-21 07:45
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 $-0 07-20 20:47
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +10 $6 48¢ $5 $-1 07-21 15:46
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? Yes +5 $5 93¢ $5 $-0 07-21 02:31
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +5 $5 92¢ $5 $-0 07-20 14:54
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? Yes +6 $3 50¢ $3 $-0 07-13 09:49
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? No +6 $3 50¢ $3 $-0 07-13 09:49