Realized P&L (30d)
-$6
Unrealized P&L
+$102
Hit rate
8.5%
Resolved (30d)
17
Trades (30d)
17
7,945 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$1.73K
$111.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$157
10 positions
First seen
2026-02-03
last 10-16 06:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 195 days
Categories
Other
59% 45% -$7,326
Crypto
15% 51% -$1,022
Sports
14% 52% -$314
Politics
12% 47% -$355
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$55
Tech
0% 40% -$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -526 -$186 16¢ $-87 +$100 08-14 00:03
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +46 $35 84¢ $38 +$4 07-26 15:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +11 $3 88¢ $10 +$6 07-25 21:26
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31 No +8 $4 100¢ $8 +$4 07-14 18:13
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +8 $5 62¢ $5 +$0 07-08 22:38
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 07-21 20:47
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +8 $3 38¢ $3 $0 07-23 16:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +11 $8 12¢ $1 -$7 07-28 20:54
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $0 4¢ $0 $0 05-23 14:46
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31 Yes +8 $6 0¢ $0 -$6 07-22 03:21