Realized P&L
-$8.98K
Unrealized P&L
+$126
Hit rate
45.0%
Resolved
3,040
Trades
7,945
lifetime
Volume
$111.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$130
8 positions
First seen
2026-02-03
last 10-16 06:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 197 days
Categories
Other
59% 44% -$7,328
Crypto
15% 51% -$1,022
Sports
14% 52% -$314
Politics
12% 44% -$359
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$55
Tech
0% 40% -$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -526 -$186 12¢ $-66 +$121 08-14 00:03
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +46 $35 88¢ $40 +$6 07-26 15:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +11 $3 90¢ $10 +$6 07-25 21:26
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +8 $5 62¢ $5 +$0 07-08 22:38
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 07-21 20:47
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +8 $3 38¢ $3 $0 07-23 16:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +11 $8 10¢ $1 -$7 07-28 20:54
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $0 2¢ $0 $0 05-23 14:46