Soft-Ecosystem — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

90.1%

Resolved

Trades

194

lifetime

Volume

$1.72K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$593

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 07-13 19:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

70% 100% +$0

Politics

27% — —

Sports

2% 80% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	No	+651	$573	89¢	$578	+$5	07-13 19:16
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?	Yes	+15	$10	67¢	$10	+$0	06-22 17:04
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	+50	$5	8¢	$4	$-1	06-16 21:30
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	+1	$1	86¢	$1	+$0	06-16 21:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	5	$573	651	0	+651	open	—	07-13 19:16
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	3	$201	146	146	+0	open	—	06-19 21:30
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?	2	$110	57	57	+0	open	—	06-25 22:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	7	$79	74	74	+0	open	—	06-25 18:55
will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 31 20260622183223872 984	2	$69	40	40	+0	open	—	06-26 15:27
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	7	$68	53	53	+0	open	—	07-05 19:37
starmer out by june 22 2026	2	$50	147	0	+147	open	—	06-21 02:05
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	2	$31	17	17	+0	open	—	05-15 22:53
trump signs housing bill by end of july 20260624145217694	4	$29	19	19	+0	open	—	07-13 04:14
will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	4	$29	29	29	+0	open	—	06-25 04:32
will congress override any veto in 2026 20260624150337322	2	$23	30	0	+30	open	—	06-26 11:49
will australia be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003056	4	$22	71	0	+71	open	—	06-26 01:34
starmer out by june 26 2026	1	$20	38	0	+38	open	—	06-20 17:02
fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 total 4pt5	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	06-16 21:03
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	4	$19	23	23	+0	open	—	06-24 15:44
fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 team total away 0pt5	4	$18	26	13	+13	open	—	06-18 23:40
will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	3	$18	377	279	+98	open	—	06-26 16:42
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171	2	$18	31	0	+31	open	—	07-06 04:30
Will Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	4	$14	36	0	+36	open	—	06-20 02:47
fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 spread home 1pt5	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	06-30 22:55
fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 spread home 1pt5	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	06-19 03:00
Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	3	$10	26	119	-93	open	—	06-26 04:25
israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	06-24 17:09
will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 3 2026	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-03 22:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-14 19:34
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	06-22 17:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	2	$10	38	38	+0	open	—	06-24 17:12
fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 spread home 2pt5	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-23 02:05
will starmer say mrpt speaker 20 times during the next pmq 20260610160650629	2	$9	10	10	+0	open	—	06-24 17:08
fifwc par aus 2026 06 25 total 0pt5	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	06-26 04:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-13 19:16:11	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	No	BUY	22	88¢	$19	0xa5392e…
07-13 04:14:28	trump signs housing bill by end of july 20260624145217694	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xa76150…
07-09 00:34:52	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	51	4¢	$2	0x1157b1…
07-09 00:32:40	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xeea3d8…
07-08 18:01:25	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x774183…
07-08 17:37:38	Will Al Carns be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	SELL	42	8¢	$3	0xf15bfe…
07-06 04:30:50	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x078289…
07-05 23:47:49	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x28df2b…
07-05 22:32:16	trump signs housing bill by end of july 20260624145217694	No	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x7bc0ba…
07-05 19:45:02	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	No	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x0f167f…
07-05 19:37:07	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x7e025c…
07-04 17:59:52	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 team to advance	Canada	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x7ea2fa…
07-03 17:14:08	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	Australia	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x3134b1…
07-03 02:49:14	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171	No	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xd0b839…
07-03 02:48:38	trump signs housing bill by end of july 20260624145217694	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x505132…
06-30 22:55:55	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 spread home 1pt5	France	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xbb8cc5…
06-30 20:54:58	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 spread home 1pt5	France	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x15a585…
06-30 20:54:13	trump signs housing bill by end of july 20260624145217694	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x48c930…
06-29 21:37:56	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x15594a…
06-26 20:18:23	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xfa34b0…
06-26 16:42:13	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	SELL	279	1¢	$4	0xfd7776…
06-26 15:47:58	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	No	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0xe6d177…
06-26 15:27:35	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 31 20260622183223872 984	Yes	SELL	40	93¢	$37	0x13e842…
06-26 11:49:29	will congress override any veto in 2026 20260624150337322	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x8a8546…
06-26 04:25:49	Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	SELL	110	0¢	$0	0xc2f635…
06-26 04:01:04	fifwc par aus 2026 06 25 total 0pt5	Under	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xfed04b…
06-26 03:34:25	fifwc par aus 2026 06 25 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x10005e…
06-26 03:29:34	Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	7	8¢	$1	0x3c4350…
06-26 01:34:53	will australia be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003056	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x004082…
06-25 22:59:29	will australia be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003056	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xa57bc5…
06-25 22:36:59	will australia be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003056	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x2f19c6…
06-25 22:23:01	Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?	Yes	SELL	57	99¢	$57	0x8d64a0…
06-25 18:57:08	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0x292a8f…
06-25 18:55:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0xc1ca5d…
06-25 18:52:53	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	15	56¢	$8	0x1456a3…
06-25 06:34:11	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x0d82b2…
06-25 05:15:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x03b867…
06-25 05:08:28	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x022749…
06-25 05:07:32	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x26a609…
06-25 05:06:40	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x732728…
06-25 04:57:05	burnham unopposed in 2026 labour leadership contest 20260622161338971	No	BUY	13	5¢	$1	0x9583fc…
06-25 04:32:56	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	SELL	29	77¢	$22	0x28d59b…
06-24 21:12:58	Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x4d6d2a…
06-24 21:12:34	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	4	68¢	$3	0xa6d088…
06-24 21:12:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	17	53¢	$9	0x2ecb1b…
06-24 17:12:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	38	13¢	$5	0x566313…
06-24 17:10:16	burnham unopposed in 2026 labour leadership contest 20260622161338971	No	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xa2d8e2…
06-24 17:09:53	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	SELL	6	94¢	$5	0x81390f…
06-24 17:08:46	will starmer say mrpt speaker 20 times during the next pmq 20260610160650629	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x02c634…
06-24 15:47:43	will angela rayner be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533198	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x743b20…
06-24 15:47:29	will wes streeting be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533199	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x9c992b…
06-24 15:47:25	will john healey be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533224	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xc389e7…
06-24 15:44:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	16	27¢	$4	0x359da3…
06-24 15:41:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0xb8ed2c…
06-24 04:51:52	Will Al Carns be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	BUY	26	8¢	$2	0x6c67bd…
06-24 01:36:22	fifwc col cdr 2026 06 23 spread home 3pt5	DR Congo	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe6c7e8…
06-23 17:53:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	47	53¢	$25	0xb7f210…
06-23 16:53:14	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xcebc60…
06-23 16:51:55	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x8388e4…
06-23 06:54:38	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 31 20260622183223872	Yes	BUY	40	78¢	$31	0x30ba0c…
06-23 06:52:13	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xf681ac…
06-23 03:56:50	will starmer say mrpt speaker 20 times during the next pmq 20260610160650629	Yes	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x4240ad…
06-23 03:52:52	burnham unopposed in 2026 labour leadership contest 20260622161338971	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xdd6e47…
06-23 03:52:13	Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?	Yes	BUY	57	93¢	$53	0x457fcf…
06-23 03:51:20	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0x276ba1…
06-23 03:51:10	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x9c5cc3…
06-23 02:36:11	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	No	BUY	568	88¢	$500	0x6d605d…
06-23 02:05:10	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 spread home 2pt5	Senegal	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x740a93…
06-23 01:14:23	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 spread home 2pt5	Senegal	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x0aa5f7…
06-22 21:11:31	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x34a0b2…
06-22 21:02:47	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x08a169…
06-22 21:02:32	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xddc8db…
06-22 18:14:10	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 spread home 1pt5	Uzbekistan	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x291e98…
06-22 18:02:10	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	106	4¢	$4	0x50f617…
06-22 17:53:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xbc696b…
06-22 17:53:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x57727a…
06-22 17:53:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x8b6f66…
06-22 17:44:17	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 spread home 1pt5	Austria	SELL	1	51¢	$1	0x61f476…
06-22 17:25:40	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 spread home 1pt5	Austria	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x8130ee…
06-22 17:06:02	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x1ec171…
06-22 17:05:52	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x01d8bc…
06-22 17:05:44	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	271	4¢	$10	0x82deff…
06-22 17:04:43	Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x26b03b…
06-21 17:57:16	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xc7692f…
06-21 16:29:40	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 btts	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xe4cc40…
06-21 16:29:34	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x927b5d…
06-21 02:05:23	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	129	35¢	$45	0x83e968…
06-20 22:11:38	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0x70de85…
06-20 22:06:38	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 spread home 2pt5	Côte d'Ivoire	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc0553a…
06-20 22:06:35	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 spread home 1pt5	Côte d'Ivoire	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa4fc91…
06-20 22:06:31	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 btts	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x66f760…
06-20 20:04:58	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 btts	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xcf4701…
06-20 20:03:41	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 spread home 1pt5	Côte d'Ivoire	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xaafc77…
06-20 17:02:20	starmer out by june 26 2026	No	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x926e98…
06-20 16:56:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xb3b12f…
06-20 16:56:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xc601d3…
06-20 16:55:23	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 spread home 2pt5	Côte d'Ivoire	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x598e47…
06-20 16:54:59	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 spread home 1pt5	Sweden	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x6fc5c5…
06-20 06:00:52	will united states go unbeaten in the 2026 fifa world cup group stage 20260612152622417	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xa68d1f…
06-20 05:50:17	will australia be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003056	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xa8f878…