Soft-Ecosystem — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

+$71

Hit rate

68.6%

Resolved

156

Trades

338

lifetime

Volume

$2.51K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$712

9 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 10-24 04:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Other

58% 50% +$20

Politics

39% 72% -$4

Sports

2% 31% -$34

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	No	+651	$573	97¢	$634	+$61	07-13 19:16
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+33	$20	74¢	$24	+$4	07-04 15:41
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+30	$10	44¢	$13	+$3	09-07 12:01
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+20	$10	66¢	$13	+$3	08-24 19:57
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?	Yes	+15	$10	77¢	$11	+$1	06-22 17:04
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+16	$10	68¢	$11	+$1	08-24 19:57
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	+50	$5	4¢	$2	-$3	06-16 21:30
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	+1	$1	94¢	$1	+$0	06-16 21:28
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+3	$1	26¢	$1	$0	06-22 21:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	7	$577	653	2	+651	open	—	07-13 19:16
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	3	$201	146	146	+0	No	+$77	06-19 21:30
Will Pauline Hanson be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?	4	$129	187	0	+187	open	—	06-23 17:55
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?	2	$110	57	57	+0	Yes	+$3	06-25 22:23
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	3	$82	45	45	+0	Yes	+$0	07-04 15:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	7	$79	74	74	+0	No	-$1	06-25 18:55
will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 31 20260622183223872 984	2	$69	40	40	+0	Yes	+$6	06-26 15:27
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	7	$68	53	53	+0	No	+$22	07-05 19:37
Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	7	$51	119	119	+0	No	-$40	06-26 04:25
starmer out by june 22 2026	2	$50	147	0	+147	Yes	-$50	06-21 02:05
will the next uk election be called by december 31 2026	1	$42	50	0	+50	open	—	08-17 04:34
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?	2	$37	21	21	+0	Yes	+$1	05-14 19:34
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	3	$37	40	26	+14	Yes	+$5	06-18 18:03
Will Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	7	$36	66	0	+66	No	-$36	06-20 02:47
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	6	$34	48	48	+0	open	—	09-29 15:49
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	2	$31	17	17	+0	Yes	+$1	05-15 22:53
Will Jess Wilson be the next Premier of Victoria?	5	$30	50	0	+50	open	—	08-31 15:17
trump signs housing bill by end of july 20260624145217694	4	$29	19	19	+0	No	+$8	07-13 04:14
will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	4	$29	29	29	+0	No	+$16	06-25 04:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	4	$27	68	68	+0	open	—	09-06 23:20
Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?	4	$26	56	0	+56	Yes	+$30	06-26 03:54
will congress override any veto in 2026 20260624150337322	2	$23	30	0	+30	open	—	06-26 11:49
will australia be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003056	4	$22	71	0	+71	No	-$22	06-26 01:34
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	1	$20	33	0	+33	open	—	07-04 15:41
starmer out by june 26 2026	1	$20	38	0	+38	Yes	-$20	06-20 17:02
fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 total 4pt5	1	$20	21	0	+21	Under	+$1	06-16 21:03
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	4	$19	23	23	+0	No	-$1	06-24 15:44
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	2	$19	50	50	+0	open	—	09-06 23:20
fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 team total away 0pt5	4	$18	26	13	+13	Under	+$1	06-18 23:40
will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	3	$18	377	279	+98	No	-$10	06-26 16:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 04:32:06	Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	No	BUY	46	11¢	$5	0xfcbb4f…
10-22 21:28:21	Greta Thunberg arrested by December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0xf95869…
10-18 01:20:12	Will Anthony Albanese be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?	Yes	SELL	12	38¢	$4	0x6a0b0a…
10-13 12:40:13	Greta Thunberg arrested by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xc4073e…
09-29 15:49:08	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	24	30¢	$7	0xd175f5…
09-07 12:01:19	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0xd01aa6…
09-06 23:20:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	30	25¢	$8	0x959549…
09-06 23:20:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0xd66a6e…
08-31 15:17:31	Will Jess Wilson be the next Premier of Victoria?	Yes	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x3f1e47…
08-31 15:12:03	Will Jess Wilson be the next Premier of Victoria?	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x9274d9…
08-31 15:11:42	Will Jess Wilson be the next Premier of Victoria?	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x45a6e1…
08-31 15:11:40	Will Jess Wilson be the next Premier of Victoria?	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xcbe041…
08-31 15:11:24	Will Jess Wilson be the next Premier of Victoria?	Yes	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xc475da…
08-28 14:47:57	will tropical storm lowell strengthen to a hurricane	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x1ef8f5…
08-26 17:01:16	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x1536d7…
08-24 19:57:34	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xdc97e1…
08-24 19:57:21	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xdfeb89…
08-21 18:37:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0x33b532…
08-17 04:34:00	will the next uk election be called by december 31 2026	No	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0x8018cc…
07-29 19:05:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x4845c5…
07-13 19:16:11	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	No	BUY	22	88¢	$19	0xa5392e…
07-13 04:14:28	trump signs housing bill by end of july 20260624145217694	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xa76150…
07-09 00:34:52	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	51	4¢	$2	0x1157b1…
07-09 00:32:40	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xeea3d8…
07-08 18:01:25	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x774183…
07-08 17:38:28	Will Dan Barker win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x3e1e9a…
07-08 17:37:38	Will Al Carns be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	SELL	42	8¢	$3	0xf15bfe…
07-06 04:30:50	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x078289…
07-05 23:47:49	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x28df2b…
07-05 22:32:16	trump signs housing bill by end of july 20260624145217694	No	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x7bc0ba…
07-05 19:45:02	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	No	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x0f167f…
07-05 19:40:35	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x74cd86…
07-05 19:37:07	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x7e025c…
07-04 17:59:52	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 team to advance	Canada	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x7ea2fa…
07-04 15:41:28	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x639fa3…
07-04 15:38:41	Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	Yes	SELL	45	91¢	$41	0x1f1910…
07-03 17:14:08	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	Australia	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x3134b1…
07-03 02:49:14	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171	No	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xd0b839…
07-03 02:48:38	trump signs housing bill by end of july 20260624145217694	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x505132…
06-30 22:55:55	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 spread home 1pt5	France	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xbb8cc5…
06-30 20:54:58	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 spread home 1pt5	France	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x15a585…
06-30 20:54:13	trump signs housing bill by end of july 20260624145217694	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x48c930…
06-30 20:51:50	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	24	38¢	$9	0x7f3d98…
06-29 21:37:56	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x15594a…
06-26 20:18:23	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xfa34b0…
06-26 16:42:13	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	SELL	279	1¢	$4	0xfd7776…
06-26 15:47:58	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	No	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0xe6d177…
06-26 15:47:25	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x30540c…
06-26 15:45:38	Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	Yes	BUY	44	91¢	$40	0xf5d76a…
06-26 15:44:38	Will Dan Barker win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xdfbea6…
06-26 15:44:38	Will Bev Craig win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	Yes	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x38a7c4…
06-26 15:27:35	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 31 20260622183223872 984	Yes	SELL	40	93¢	$37	0x13e842…
06-26 11:49:29	will congress override any veto in 2026 20260624150337322	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x8a8546…
06-26 04:26:40	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0xce4c46…
06-26 04:25:49	Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	SELL	110	0¢	$0	0xc2f635…
06-26 04:01:20	Paraguay vs. Australia: Neither team to score first?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x7ea0ff…
06-26 04:01:04	fifwc par aus 2026 06 25 total 0pt5	Under	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xfed04b…
06-26 03:54:10	Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x8870b1…
06-26 03:34:25	fifwc par aus 2026 06 25 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x10005e…
06-26 03:29:34	Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	7	8¢	$1	0x3c4350…
06-26 03:15:43	Paraguay vs. Australia: Neither team to score first?	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x89de50…
06-26 02:45:07	Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xe95860…
06-26 01:34:53	will australia be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003056	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x004082…
06-26 01:19:40	Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x6fac0a…
06-26 01:18:16	Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xb725e2…
06-25 23:03:05	Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xdb7ca8…
06-25 23:03:01	Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x26c49e…
06-25 22:59:29	will australia be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003056	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xa57bc5…
06-25 22:38:28	Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x973aa2…
06-25 22:37:41	Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0xa33577…
06-25 22:37:14	Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xd1962c…
06-25 22:36:59	will australia be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003056	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x2f19c6…
06-25 22:23:01	Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?	Yes	SELL	57	99¢	$57	0x8d64a0…
06-25 22:20:31	Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0xdf057d…
06-25 18:57:08	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0x292a8f…
06-25 18:55:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0xc1ca5d…
06-25 18:52:53	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	15	56¢	$8	0x1456a3…
06-25 06:34:11	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x0d82b2…
06-25 05:15:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x03b867…
06-25 05:08:28	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x022749…
06-25 05:07:32	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x26a609…
06-25 05:06:40	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x732728…
06-25 04:57:05	burnham unopposed in 2026 labour leadership contest 20260622161338971	No	BUY	13	5¢	$1	0x9583fc…
06-25 04:55:13	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xc9226e…
06-25 04:32:56	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	SELL	29	77¢	$22	0x28d59b…
06-24 21:16:34	Will Anthony Albanese be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x0185fd…
06-24 21:16:10	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x304680…
06-24 21:12:58	Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x4d6d2a…
06-24 21:12:34	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	4	68¢	$3	0xa6d088…
06-24 21:12:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	17	53¢	$9	0x2ecb1b…
06-24 17:15:13	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	26	37¢	$10	0xb648f5…
06-24 17:12:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	38	13¢	$5	0x566313…
06-24 17:10:16	burnham unopposed in 2026 labour leadership contest 20260622161338971	No	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xa2d8e2…
06-24 17:09:53	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	SELL	6	94¢	$5	0x81390f…
06-24 17:08:46	will starmer say mrpt speaker 20 times during the next pmq 20260610160650629	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x02c634…
06-24 15:47:43	will angela rayner be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533198	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x743b20…
06-24 15:47:29	will wes streeting be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533199	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x9c992b…
06-24 15:47:25	will john healey be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533224	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xc389e7…
06-24 15:44:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	16	27¢	$4	0x359da3…
06-24 15:41:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0xb8ed2c…