Rotten-Cathedral — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.4%

Resolved

Trades

3,136

lifetime

Volume

$32.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-25

last 08-01 15:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

48% 17% $-22

Politics

43% 100% +$24

Sports

5% — —

Crypto

4% — —

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 334 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	15	$2.0K	1,934	1,852	+83	open	—	04-14 17:08
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	14	$1.7K	1,333	1,333	+0	open	—	04-27 19:54
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	129	$1.6K	3,112	0	+3,112	open	—	07-01 02:32
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	56	$1.4K	1,928	0	+1,928	open	—	06-24 02:04
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 90 114	5	$1.1K	718	701	+17	open	—	04-04 16:14
trump declassifies new ufo files by june 15	8	$894	1,047	1,047	+0	open	—	06-12 10:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	11	$804	533	533	+0	open	—	04-24 16:02
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 240 259	28	$693	569	560	+9	open	—	04-09 08:30
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	7	$685	577	577	+0	open	—	05-16 13:33
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	179	$640	1,174	0	+1,174	open	—	07-07 19:29
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	6	$629	841	823	+18	open	—	04-30 18:21
elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 90 114	9	$621	665	628	+38	open	—	04-01 15:49
will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	44	$579	1,149	0	+1,149	open	—	07-03 13:48
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	1	$500	595	0	+595	open	—	04-27 20:02
Will Bob Menery enter the ring against Johnny Manziel?	2	$500	533	525	+8	open	—	04-28 08:07
will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	113	$450	962	0	+962	open	—	07-01 20:46
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	2	$403	637	637	+0	open	—	04-21 16:49
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 300 319	3	$396	493	0	+493	open	—	04-17 12:50
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 90 114	9	$387	724	496	+228	open	—	04-12 21:21
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe - Map 1 Winner	1	$376	1,016	0	+1,016	open	—	05-02 17:27
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	188	$371	893	232	+660	open	—	07-01 05:01
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	13	$364	336	321	+15	open	—	04-25 12:36
elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 65 89	3	$362	553	0	+553	open	—	04-08 07:40
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	11	$322	1,138	189	+949	open	—	04-21 12:29
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	18	$310	311	0	+311	open	—	06-17 18:34
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	4	$301	183	183	+0	open	—	05-14 08:42
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	3	$293	617	82	+536	open	—	05-23 16:01
will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on july 4 20260626160825418	13	$285	426	0	+426	open	—	07-05 23:30
elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 65 89	9	$267	233	223	+9	open	—	04-01 17:14
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	47	$255	672	9	+663	open	—	07-09 13:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-01 15:02:38	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x7dd553…
08-01 15:02:27	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xc01039…
08-01 15:02:26	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xafe698…
08-01 15:02:24	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x62cf3a…
08-01 15:02:15	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x003dee…
08-01 12:41:24	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	BUY	70	45¢	$31	0x1015b8…
08-01 12:40:42	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xe6190f…
08-01 12:39:20	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	BUY	71	33¢	$23	0x649729…
07-30 12:29:38	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	23	84¢	$20	0xa22ec8…
07-30 12:29:24	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	22	82¢	$18	0x16e9ad…
07-30 12:29:23	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xbfe3cd…
07-30 12:29:23	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x23d981…
07-30 12:29:20	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$15	0x8e3c1c…
07-30 12:29:20	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x1dbdbd…
07-30 09:59:15	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	121	1¢	$1	0xc060dc…
07-30 09:51:17	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x054722…
07-30 09:03:48	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	43	6¢	$2	0xf1d45e…
07-30 06:48:50	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x392038…
07-30 02:45:41	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xe5d9c0…
07-30 02:44:45	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x712a30…
07-30 01:52:03	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb6553a…
07-30 01:36:54	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x60b3e9…
07-30 01:34:14	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x606723…
07-29 23:33:38	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0xbbebc2…
07-29 23:13:11	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x9a881a…
07-29 23:13:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xd05fd5…
07-29 23:12:11	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xd7d3b7…
07-29 23:04:35	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xc7de9b…
07-29 22:28:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x7a6d7a…
07-29 22:26:44	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x645880…
07-26 10:22:28	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	79¢	$0	0x8d8b12…
07-20 00:32:49	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x7e4001…
07-18 23:17:37	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0x77ac80…
07-18 21:47:37	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x4611a2…
07-18 19:36:37	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x0837ea…
07-18 16:51:19	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0xcce845…
07-18 12:39:03	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x8b049a…
07-18 09:24:25	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x5ee22b…
07-18 09:01:49	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x47e7c7…
07-18 03:45:25	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xafed23…
07-18 03:42:27	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x480065…
07-18 03:42:25	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xfaf35e…
07-18 03:26:10	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	No	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0xf67daf…
07-17 15:42:57	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xa93373…
07-17 07:24:03	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xb3bb32…
07-16 13:20:13	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x946166…
07-16 03:46:32	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x7184da…
07-16 03:43:17	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x7c2c2a…
07-16 03:42:11	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x068d6b…
07-16 03:26:07	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0xe657fc…
07-16 03:25:44	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xe413d6…
07-16 03:25:43	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0x241f7e…
07-15 22:45:01	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0xa1f8c8…
07-15 22:41:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x828349…
07-15 22:36:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xbc7894…
07-15 22:14:13	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xa66f6d…
07-15 20:42:07	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	22	79¢	$17	0x11aafc…
07-15 19:33:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x8275e7…
07-15 16:27:46	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0x0213d7…
07-15 15:51:13	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x9628f0…
07-15 15:40:04	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x485847…
07-15 07:30:02	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0xecc82e…
07-15 07:26:19	israel closes its airspace by august 31	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x5456ca…
07-15 04:34:07	israel closes its airspace by august 31	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x88a044…
07-15 04:09:11	israel closes its airspace by august 31	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x851f83…
07-15 03:20:25	israel closes its airspace by august 31	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x98c45d…
07-15 02:53:16	israel closes its airspace by august 31	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xa2f675…
07-15 00:37:32	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x3eabc5…
07-15 00:30:08	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xe1f3ba…
07-14 22:33:38	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x1f2a8b…
07-14 21:51:16	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	23	36¢	$8	0xe77e6d…
07-14 18:55:59	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x742f15…
07-14 17:52:49	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xbf446a…
07-14 15:06:17	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xd03089…
07-13 22:06:25	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x01fbb0…
07-13 20:19:34	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x6ec7f2…
07-13 20:19:11	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x9111e1…
07-13 19:55:59	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x51450c…
07-13 19:42:20	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2275ea…
07-12 22:01:26	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	4	86¢	$3	0x61630d…
07-12 18:10:08	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x3be1ce…
07-12 08:54:11	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x1cc2ca…
07-12 08:54:10	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xe651da…
07-12 03:40:14	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0xd07963…
07-12 03:40:02	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	64	26¢	$17	0x16fcfb…
07-12 03:39:56	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	66	27¢	$18	0xfb59b2…
07-12 03:36:28	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	21	29¢	$6	0xc8e02b…
07-12 03:36:28	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	21	29¢	$6	0x986b61…
07-12 02:53:52	will argentina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149745	Yes	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xcfbcb6…
07-12 02:51:22	will argentina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149745	Yes	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0x4a12d0…
07-12 02:50:56	will argentina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149745	Yes	BUY	16	84¢	$14	0x9038d4…
07-12 02:49:31	ufc pad ben8 2026 07 11	Paddy Pimblett	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x090b19…
07-12 02:28:26	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x2ba04a…
07-11 22:17:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x65a760…
07-11 19:35:31	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x273a9a…
07-11 19:34:34	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x24d075…
07-11 19:33:31	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x787df3…
07-11 19:33:25	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xbf0b28…
07-11 19:32:43	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x4a7725…
07-11 19:32:05	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x21e7a3…