Realized P&L
+$2
Unrealized P&L
-$51
Hit rate
80.4%
Resolved
7
Trades
3,105
lifetime
Volume
$32.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$313
12 positions
First seen
2026-03-25
last 07-20 00:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
48% 17% $-22
Politics
43% 100% +$24
Sports
5%
Crypto
4%
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 334 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +281 $244 70¢ $198 $-46 07-18 12:39
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Yes -83 $-52 70¢ $-59 $-7 06-17 06:43
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +19 $18 90¢ $17 $-0 06-21 21:19
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +14 $12 86¢ $12 +$1 07-01 20:45
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +80 $8 11¢ $8 +$0 07-20 00:32
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +6 $5 74¢ $4 $-1 06-26 04:40
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? Yes +32 $4 11¢ $4 $-1 06-22 16:20
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +14 $2 26¢ $3 +$1 06-29 08:38
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +3 $1 78¢ $3 +$2 06-17 11:19
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +8 $1 30¢ $2 +$1 07-15 16:27
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +2 $2 66¢ $1 $-0 06-18 05:47
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? Yes +9 $1 $0 $-1 06-18 01:11