Realized P&L
+$2
Unrealized P&L
+$96
Hit rate
80.4%
Resolved
7
Trades
2,571
lifetime
Volume
$29.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$471
15 positions
First seen
2026-03-25
last 07-01 07:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
51% 17% $-22
Politics
41% 100% +$24
Crypto
5%
Sports
2%
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 334 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +313 $150 97¢ $305 +$155 06-30 17:56
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Yes -83 $-52 78¢ $-64 $-13 06-17 06:43
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30? No +38 $38 98¢ $37 $-0 07-01 21:32
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +19 $18 90¢ $18 $-0 06-21 21:19
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +14 $12 82¢ $12 +$0 07-01 20:45
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +347 $42 $9 $-33 07-01 05:01
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +70 $7 10¢ $7 $-0 06-19 16:48
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +6 $5 84¢ $5 +$0 06-26 04:40
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +4 $4 86¢ $4 $-0 06-19 20:08
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? Yes +32 $4 11¢ $3 $-1 06-22 16:20
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +3 $1 70¢ $2 +$1 06-17 11:19
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +14 $2 16¢ $2 $-0 06-29 08:38
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +2 $2 66¢ $1 $-0 06-18 05:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +147 $12 $1 $-11 06-20 22:21
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? Yes +9 $1 $0 $-1 06-18 01:11