Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$40

Unrealized P&L

+$36

Hit rate

89.8%

Resolved

190

Trades

311

lifetime

Volume

$20.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$64

Open exposure

$667

5 positions

First seen

2026-06-30

last 10-24 13:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 58 days

Categories

Other

68% 89% +$143

Politics

22% 87% -$310

Sports

6% 100% +$127

Tech

3% 100% +$80

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+2,560	$397	17¢	$424	+$26	09-07 00:22
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	No	+179	$155	86¢	$154	-$1	10-24 13:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	+50	$40	98¢	$49	+$9	07-20 11:12
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	+22	$20	97¢	$21	+$1	08-01 10:05
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	+21	$19	94¢	$20	+$1	08-01 15:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will MrBeast's next video get between 32 and 33 million views on day 5?	2	$2.3K	1,176	1,176	+0	No	+$1	07-30 14:33
Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	2	$1.3K	673	673	+0	Yes	+$37	07-13 13:18
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	11	$1.1K	1,187	26	+1,161	Yes	+$138	07-27 04:27
nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	10	$1000	1,140	893	+248	No	-$260	08-24 16:36
president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	4	$846	905	0	+905	Yes	+$59	07-18 06:31
lindsay clancy convicted of murder	4	$681	1,732	1,732	+0	open	—	09-05 07:22
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	3	$640	326	326	+0	No	+$9	08-08 16:35
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	5	$559	318	318	+0	Yes	+$74	08-27 07:37
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	4	$539	1,029	500	+529	No	+$10	07-31 02:53
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	5	$444	246	246	+0	No	+$10	08-19 06:19
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	5	$415	267	267	+0	open	—	08-04 16:42
Will Andrew Tate attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	2	$400	204	204	+0	No	+$0	06-30 17:13
Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	2	$400	426	0	+426	Yes	+$26	06-30 10:45
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 27?	3	$398	403	0	+403	Yes	+$5	08-27 08:47
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	3	$397	2,560	0	+2,560	open	—	09-07 00:22
Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	2	$396	400	0	+400	Yes	+$4	07-13 10:03
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	1	$383	384	0	+384	No	+$1	08-30 03:01
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 28?	2	$366	383	0	+383	Yes	+$16	08-28 11:10
foreign intervention in gaza by august 31	5	$299	231	100	+131	No	+$26	08-11 11:00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	5	$260	220	159	+61	No	-$22	09-08 16:05
us x iran ceasefire continues through august 25	2	$234	122	122	+0	Yes	+$8	08-27 07:37
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	3	$221	158	158	+0	open	—	08-17 00:11
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	2	$219	217	217	+0	cancelled	$0	07-02 12:58
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	3	$215	120	120	+0	No	+$2	07-27 04:26
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	2	$210	114	114	+0	No	+$16	07-02 09:37
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	3	$205	110	110	+0	open	—	07-18 06:28
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	2	$202	110	110	+0	open	—	08-07 00:13
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	4	$200	102	102	+0	Yes	+$1	08-04 12:41
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622191733845	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	06-30 17:18
israel closes its airspace by august 15	3	$182	103	103	+0	No	+$23	08-15 15:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 13:55:53	Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	No	BUY	101	86¢	$87	0xd5d6fc…
10-21 06:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x83870f…
10-21 06:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x1f822a…
10-20 16:47:32	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xf1058f…
10-20 07:00:49	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xc7eda8…
10-20 07:00:29	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	21	93¢	$20	0xd889bd…
10-19 16:34:06	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 14°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	13	98¢	$12	0x738f14…
10-19 16:04:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x43d50f…
10-19 07:03:41	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xaec0fc…
10-19 07:01:44	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x0129cb…
10-19 06:02:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x5989bd…
10-18 07:57:30	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x2aa651…
10-18 07:00:11	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x22aaef…
10-18 06:01:59	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x113f7f…
10-17 07:02:02	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x70108d…
10-17 07:02:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x5d7f26…
10-17 06:02:20	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xdfbebe…
10-17 06:01:56	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xfcb322…
10-16 14:01:40	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x12a4d2…
10-16 13:23:55	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x9ca5b1…
10-16 07:56:25	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x830c3e…
10-16 07:00:49	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x10eb63…
10-16 06:01:51	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xb060a9…
10-15 07:01:41	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x9c0b7b…
10-15 07:01:07	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x99aec9…
10-15 06:02:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x3bcdae…
10-15 06:00:56	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x63a514…
10-14 13:12:05	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x9cce5a…
10-14 07:35:50	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xed3e95…
10-14 07:07:04	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xcd2d3f…
10-14 06:01:49	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xc92f93…
10-13 13:00:19	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xa43626…
10-13 07:01:01	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xf0db0b…
10-13 07:01:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xbb60a4…
10-13 06:44:01	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x6f2bb9…
10-13 06:00:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xae1f4c…
10-12 13:28:35	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x9bf1b1…
10-12 13:21:12	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xcd6f5a…
10-12 07:57:09	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x9e25cb…
10-12 07:03:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x7da5a8…
10-12 07:01:16	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xcb2ef6…
10-11 13:01:00	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xf96ce6…
10-11 07:30:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x1d17cc…
10-11 07:01:56	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xf49ced…
10-11 07:01:54	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xd87ec4…
10-11 06:01:45	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x709146…
10-10 07:06:28	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x29f157…
10-10 07:04:31	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xd328a3…
10-10 07:01:07	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x5661db…
10-10 06:01:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x7c7993…
10-09 20:01:17	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x3a1ef7…
10-09 16:51:31	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xbbc3d0…
10-09 07:00:58	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xf1f6d4…
10-09 07:00:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x8f35ae…
10-09 06:02:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xa8547f…
10-08 07:06:40	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xa47a30…
10-08 07:01:29	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x49d12e…
10-08 06:01:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xf00bdb…
10-08 06:01:22	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x04d138…
10-07 14:01:26	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	21	93¢	$20	0xcdb674…
10-07 13:00:49	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x43a815…
10-07 08:01:27	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x249b31…
10-07 07:01:41	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x37da63…
10-07 06:01:29	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	21	98¢	$20	0x65fbcd…
10-06 07:41:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x1e558f…
10-06 07:06:27	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xcf1f7a…
10-06 07:01:00	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x3c46a6…
10-06 07:00:58	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x9e1a1b…
10-06 06:00:45	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x9cd5fd…
09-08 16:05:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x0d1cb9…
09-08 06:04:21	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xb012fc…
09-07 15:34:07	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x590a6c…
09-07 06:16:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0xc24aca…
09-07 00:22:07	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	304	14¢	$44	0x5332ce…
09-06 15:27:37	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x82a947…
09-06 08:20:46	Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	No	BUY	21	82¢	$17	0xc6ce11…
09-06 07:18:49	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x6cf20d…
09-06 07:18:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x61a186…
09-06 06:10:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x39854e…
09-05 15:34:37	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x868c5b…
09-05 15:27:25	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xa1f370…
09-05 07:23:18	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	1,770	14¢	$253	0x7119e6…
09-05 07:22:22	lindsay clancy convicted of murder	Yes	SELL	1,732	8¢	$131	0x4a2b7f…
09-05 07:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xe10abd…
09-05 07:01:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xe0815e…
09-05 06:01:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xd5705e…
09-05 06:00:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x51a9d8…
09-04 16:28:27	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xbeff8a…
09-04 14:28:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x58a882…
09-04 14:20:00	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xf25867…
09-04 14:00:49	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x0cab1d…
09-04 13:43:01	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xf84763…
09-04 07:22:01	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x24e2e1…
09-04 07:07:25	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xa1fbe6…
09-04 07:06:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x3c27f3…
09-04 07:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xe87865…
09-04 06:26:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x818b7e…
09-03 16:04:39	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xae7128…
09-03 15:07:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xba2e3b…
09-03 14:20:25	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x30359c…