Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 16?
Yes won
Total volume
$14,379
Trades
1,452
Unique wallets
317
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-10-16
First seen
2026-10-14
last 10-16 22:48
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-18.7¢
(top1%: 44% YES on $4.7K
vs crowd: 62% YES on $11.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 55 | $2.3K | $2.0K | +$316 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 74 | $2.6K | $1.6K | +$1.0K |
| 🐟 Fish | 102 | $1.8K | $586 | +$1.3K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 86 | $371 | $162 | +$209 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 66 | $2.1K | $2.7K | $608 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 61 | $1.3K | $341 | +$996 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 15 | $216 | $32 | +$184 |
| Median | 20 | $260 | $46 | +$214 |
| Below median | 68 | $439 | $106 | +$333 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 32 | $419 | $71 | +$347 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 25 | $963 | $237 | +$726 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 30 | $1.5K | $836 | +$621 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x2e3e…0f92 | No | +724 | $450 | $450 | 5 | 10-15 20:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xeb1b…87c0 | No | +644 | $396 | $396 | 6 | 10-15 20:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | Yes | +525 | $209 | $209 | 9 | 10-15 21:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x229c…b966 | No | +455 | $54 | $54 | 47 | 10-16 15:01 |
| Spirited-Priest 0xc518…2594 | No | +352 | $119 | $119 | 14 | 10-16 14:33 |
| Natural-Terminal 0x14ad…69f5 | Yes | +345 | $100 | $100 | 4 | 10-14 20:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xb1fe…cafe | Yes | +315 | $154 | $154 | 1 | 10-15 18:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x9711…8ee7 | No | +314 | $182 | $182 | 14 | 10-15 20:00 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | +313 | $198 | $198 | 8 | 10-16 11:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x5bae…ed25 | No | +298 | $204 | $204 | 3 | 10-14 23:02 |
| Wobbly-Hourglass 0x1dda…23bb | Yes | +297 | $297 | $297 | 4 | 10-16 17:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | +292 | $173 | $173 | 13 | 10-16 15:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | +292 | $109 | $109 | 16 | 10-16 15:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x175c…e90b | Yes | +291 | $131 | $131 | 24 | 10-16 10:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | No | +291 | $157 | $157 | 6 | 10-16 06:54 |
| Flamboyant-Afterlife 0xb162…9da7 | Yes | +288 | $288 | $288 | 7 | 10-16 17:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | +272 | $125 | $125 | 17 | 10-16 13:32 |
| Wet-Following 0xcd90…4bfc | Yes | +252 | $140 | $140 | 18 | 10-16 10:46 |
| Stale-Armoire 0xca1f…d282 | Yes | +250 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 10-15 14:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x2e3e…0f92 | Yes | +250 | $92 | $92 | 3 | 10-15 14:21 |
| Giant-Exchange 0xd251…4d37 | No | +250 | $150 | $150 | 5 | 10-15 14:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x9711…8ee7 | Yes | +227 | $85 | $85 | 12 | 10-15 20:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x10b0…9288 | Yes | +217 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 10-16 14:01 |
| Polite-Cooking-Participant 0x29a5…a3c4 | No | +204 | $64 | $92 | 9 | 10-16 13:56 |
| Quizzical-Observation 0xd3ed…159e | Yes | +203 | $201 | $201 | 6 | 10-16 15:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x34c1…1bb0 | Yes | +200 | $198 | $198 | 2 | 10-16 15:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | +198 | $77 | $77 | 29 | 10-16 15:57 |
| Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | No | +195 | $98 | $98 | 43 | 10-16 13:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +193 | $115 | $115 | 25 | 10-16 15:51 |
| Useless-Adaptation 0x3970…f56b | Yes | +171 | $164 | $164 | 3 | 10-16 14:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +169 | $66 | $66 | 26 | 10-16 13:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +166 | $108 | $108 | 26 | 10-16 14:07 |
| Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | +158 | $68 | $68 | 35 | 10-16 12:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x34c1…1bb0 | No | +151 | $41 | $101 | 3 | 10-16 13:57 |
| Worthless-Omega 0x6b4a…3647 | Yes | +150 | $46 | $225 | 16 | 10-16 17:20 |
| Worthless-Omega 0x6b4a…3647 | No | +150 | $75 | $75 | 7 | 10-16 07:57 |
| Glorious-Median 0xb3b4…48b2 | Yes | +144 | $88 | $167 | 5 | 10-16 13:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xe1b9…c40b | Yes | +141 | $141 | $141 | 2 | 10-16 15:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xce0b…b974 | No | +136 | $62 | $62 | 9 | 10-16 12:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xfb65…2dfc | Yes | +131 | $46 | $46 | 8 | 10-15 14:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x3f1d…56a3 | No | +125 | $76 | $76 | 6 | 10-15 18:58 |
| Elderly-Reveal 0x6bee…7e78 | Yes | +124 | -$38 | $347 | 19 | 10-16 14:04 |
| Limping-Baggie-Technique 0xeb68…e362 | Yes | +119 | $80 | $80 | 3 | 10-16 13:56 |
| Low-Carrot 0xe7e9…fb3c | No | +114 | $51 | $51 | 3 | 10-16 13:47 |
| Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | +110 | $4 | $41 | 27 | 10-16 14:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x0cf6…3ed9 | No | +109 | $63 | $63 | 6 | 10-15 20:00 |
| Limping-Baggie-Technique 0xeb68…e362 | No | +108 | $42 | $42 | 9 | 10-16 13:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | +106 | $51 | $51 | 5 | 10-16 08:56 |
| Superb-Numeracy 0xecdb…c3b4 | Yes | +101 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 10-16 14:33 |
| Ready-Visitor 0xaa37…d346 | Yes | +100 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 10-16 16:57 |
| Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9 | Yes | +100 | $49 | $49 | 17 | 10-16 13:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x6c1c…1ac2 | No | +100 | $54 | $90 | 16 | 10-16 00:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x2aa1…4903 | Yes | +90 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 10-16 06:02 |
| Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | Yes | +90 | $90 | $90 | 1 | 10-16 15:28 |
| Classic-Loggia 0x8b8b…2512 | No | +86 | $37 | $37 | 9 | 10-16 13:12 |
| Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon 0x16c7…22cd | No | +81 | $31 | $31 | 6 | 10-16 13:42 |
| Incredible-Clan 0x2b40…ced4 | No | +80 | $14 | $14 | 3 | 10-16 13:59 |
| Knowing-Arthur-Ash 0x3653…ef74 | No | +75 | $30 | $30 | 8 | 10-16 13:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x7d64…07f8 | No | +68 | $47 | $47 | 4 | 10-14 23:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xca84…6f8d | No | +67 | $42 | $42 | 7 | 10-15 22:08 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 22:48:00 | Difficult-Onion 0x6a55…17b1 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xf0075b… |
| 10-16 22:48:00 | (anonymous) 0x048e…233f | Yes | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xf0075b… |
| 10-16 22:16:53 | (anonymous) 0x0c09…28e6 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xfdf04e… |
| 10-16 22:16:53 | Difficult-Onion 0x6a55…17b1 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xfdf04e… |
| 10-16 21:08:45 | Our-Size 0xc824…5e0b | Yes | SELL | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x756960… |
| 10-16 21:08:45 | Difficult-Onion 0x6a55…17b1 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x756960… |
| 10-16 18:34:24 | Difficult-Onion 0x6a55…17b1 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x97f497… |
| 10-16 18:34:24 | Mindless-Overload 0xc0a5…1958 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x97f497… |
| 10-16 18:00:03 | Difficult-Onion 0x6a55…17b1 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x265a63… |
| 10-16 18:00:03 | United-Dandelion 0x3f0b…d571 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x265a63… |
| 10-16 17:47:14 | (anonymous) 0x533b…aca9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x3c547e… |
| 10-16 17:47:14 | Difficult-Onion 0x6a55…17b1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x3c547e… |
| 10-16 17:30:06 | Flamboyant-Afterlife 0xb162…9da7 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0xc42c3c… |
| 10-16 17:30:06 | Jaded-Pressurization 0x3738…ed32 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0xc42c3c… |
| 10-16 17:30:03 | (anonymous) 0x0172…4e84 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x8a70e6… |
| 10-16 17:30:03 | Flamboyant-Afterlife 0xb162…9da7 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x8a70e6… |
| 10-16 17:28:42 | Unhappy-Dollop 0xba09…ea86 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x777df5… |
| 10-16 17:28:42 | Flamboyant-Afterlife 0xb162…9da7 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x777df5… |
| 10-16 17:20:54 | Worthless-Omega 0x6b4a…3647 | Yes | SELL | 54 | 100¢ | $54 | 0xec691e… |
| 10-16 17:20:54 | Flamboyant-Afterlife 0xb162…9da7 | Yes | BUY | 54 | 100¢ | $54 | 0xec691e… |
| 10-16 17:17:42 | Flamboyant-Afterlife 0xb162…9da7 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xb2a488… |
| 10-16 17:17:42 | (anonymous) 0xdde0…e894 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xb2a488… |
| 10-16 17:16:45 | Flamboyant-Afterlife 0xb162…9da7 | Yes | BUY | 176 | 100¢ | $176 | 0x58e4be… |
| 10-16 17:16:45 | Flamboyant-Afterlife 0xb162…9da7 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0xa8a503… |
| 10-16 17:16:45 | (anonymous) 0x532b…cccc | Yes | SELL | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0xa8a503… |
| 10-16 17:16:45 | (anonymous) 0xa1a8…140f | Yes | SELL | 176 | 100¢ | $176 | 0x58e4be… |
| 10-16 17:08:40 | Wobbly-Hourglass 0x1dda…23bb | Yes | BUY | 196 | 100¢ | $196 | 0x4adbb2… |
| 10-16 17:08:40 | Noted-Pumpkinseed 0x77ba…9ed8 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x4adbb2… |
| 10-16 17:08:40 | Terrible-Stadium 0xea89…26ab | Yes | SELL | 60 | 100¢ | $60 | 0x4adbb2… |
| 10-16 17:08:40 | (anonymous) 0xa1a8…140f | Yes | SELL | 80 | 100¢ | $80 | 0x4adbb2… |
| 10-16 17:08:40 | (anonymous) 0x1a40…d239 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x4adbb2… |
| 10-16 17:08:40 | Anchored-Inbox 0x3e46…46c4 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x4adbb2… |
| 10-16 17:08:40 | Poised-Convention 0xca48…827e | Yes | SELL | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x4adbb2… |
| 10-16 17:08:40 | (anonymous) 0x3319…977a | Yes | SELL | 0 | 100¢ | $0 | 0x4adbb2… |
| 10-16 17:06:58 | Shabby-Defense-Anteater 0x9dc8…7b89 | Yes | SELL | 93 | 100¢ | $92 | 0x29fdd3… |
| 10-16 17:06:58 | Wobbly-Hourglass 0x1dda…23bb | Yes | BUY | 93 | 100¢ | $92 | 0x29fdd3… |
| 10-16 17:03:49 | (anonymous) 0x59af…437f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xed9bf4… |
| 10-16 17:03:49 | Wobbly-Hourglass 0x1dda…23bb | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xed9bf4… |
| 10-16 16:59:52 | (anonymous) 0x3319…977a | Yes | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xda9b5d… |
| 10-16 16:59:52 | Remarkable-Question 0x32a8…be9b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xda9b5d… |
| 10-16 16:57:13 | (anonymous) 0x407c…90ff | Yes | SELL | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x587d61… |
| 10-16 16:57:13 | (anonymous) 0x3319…977a | Yes | SELL | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0x587d61… |
| 10-16 16:57:13 | Unwitting-Edition 0xc616…dca7 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x587d61… |
| 10-16 16:57:13 | Ready-Visitor 0xaa37…d346 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x587d61… |
| 10-16 16:57:13 | Loving-Fate 0xd50c…3360 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x587d61… |
| 10-16 16:57:12 | (anonymous) 0x4dba…3de8 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x2fcf4a… |
| 10-16 16:57:12 | Wobbly-Hourglass 0x1dda…23bb | Yes | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x2fcf4a… |
| 10-16 16:46:31 | Delectable-Goodwill 0xae5b…ab1b | Yes | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0xb129af… |
| 10-16 16:46:31 | (anonymous) 0x407c…90ff | Yes | SELL | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0xb129af… |
| 10-16 16:30:48 | Disguised-Doe 0x0032…e886 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x622735… |
| 10-16 16:30:48 | Rigid-Jewel 0x0558…2868 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x622735… |
| 10-16 16:30:21 | (anonymous) 0x3cef…23e0 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x94c0c6… |
| 10-16 16:30:21 | Rigid-Jewel 0x0558…2868 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x94c0c6… |
| 10-16 16:29:18 | Disguised-Doe 0x0032…e886 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x3821da… |
| 10-16 16:29:18 | (anonymous) 0x9b04…39a7 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x3821da… |
| 10-16 16:25:54 | (anonymous) 0xd090…2082 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0xe21ee5… |
| 10-16 16:25:54 | Disguised-Doe 0x0032…e886 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0xe21ee5… |
| 10-16 16:06:27 | (anonymous) 0x407c…90ff | Yes | SELL | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0x4bf0a3… |
| 10-16 16:06:27 | Submissive-Obi 0x73e0…e538 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0x4bf0a3… |
| 10-16 16:01:15 | (anonymous) 0xbf14…4740 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x1c1574… |
| 10-16 16:01:15 | (anonymous) 0x407c…90ff | Yes | SELL | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x1c1574… |
| 10-16 16:01:15 | (anonymous) 0x7ffa…b3c0 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x1c1574… |
| 10-16 15:59:58 | (anonymous) 0xbf14…4740 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x64cf66… |
| 10-16 15:59:58 | (anonymous) 0x72da…a89e | Yes | SELL | 38 | 100¢ | $38 | 0x64cf66… |
| 10-16 15:59:58 | (anonymous) 0x7ffa…b3c0 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0x64cf66… |
| 10-16 15:57:48 | Rigid-Jewel 0x0558…2868 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xd2703a… |
| 10-16 15:57:48 | (anonymous) 0xc84a…8264 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xd2703a… |
| 10-16 15:57:19 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa40c71… |
| 10-16 15:57:19 | Arctic-Performance 0x5647…de1d | Yes | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xa40c71… |
| 10-16 15:57:19 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | BUY | 33 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa40c71… |
| 10-16 15:57:19 | Rigid-Jewel 0x0558…2868 | Yes | BUY | 49 | 100¢ | $49 | 0xa40c71… |
| 10-16 15:51:00 | Anchored-Inbox 0x3e46…46c4 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x4818a3… |
| 10-16 15:51:00 | (anonymous) 0x1a40…d239 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x4818a3… |
| 10-16 15:51:00 | Poised-Convention 0xca48…827e | Yes | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x4818a3… |
| 10-16 15:51:00 | Arctic-Performance 0x5647…de1d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x4818a3… |
| 10-16 15:51:00 | Foolish-Pledge 0xbda1…827f | Yes | SELL | 145 | 99¢ | $144 | 0x4818a3… |
| 10-16 15:51:00 | Noted-Pumpkinseed 0x77ba…9ed8 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x4818a3… |
| 10-16 15:51:00 | (anonymous) 0xab53…b60a | No | SELL | 24 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4818a3… |
| 10-16 15:51:00 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0x4818a3… |
| 10-16 15:51:00 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x4818a3… |
| 10-16 15:28:25 | Unequaled-Ton 0x7c63…93d4 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x11b8f8… |
| 10-16 15:28:25 | (anonymous) 0x72da…a89e | Yes | SELL | 58 | 100¢ | $58 | 0x11b8f8… |
| 10-16 15:28:25 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x11b8f8… |
| 10-16 15:28:25 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | Yes | BUY | 90 | 100¢ | $90 | 0x11b8f8… |
| 10-16 15:28:25 | Arctic-Performance 0x5647…de1d | Yes | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x11b8f8… |
| 10-16 15:27:46 | (anonymous) 0xab53…b60a | No | SELL | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1addab… |
| 10-16 15:27:46 | (anonymous) 0xe28e…dacf | Yes | SELL | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x1addab… |
| 10-16 15:24:43 | (anonymous) 0xab53…b60a | No | SELL | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa3676a… |
| 10-16 15:24:43 | (anonymous) 0xedc4…f352 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xa3676a… |
| 10-16 15:24:33 | Arctic-Performance 0x5647…de1d | Yes | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x03ac18… |
| 10-16 15:24:33 | Unwitting-Edition 0xc616…dca7 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x03ac18… |
| 10-16 15:23:30 | (anonymous) 0xb666…8f47 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xa6bfbf… |
| 10-16 15:23:30 | Arctic-Performance 0x5647…de1d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xa6bfbf… |
| 10-16 15:16:43 | (anonymous) 0x2ebb…35d7 | No | SELL | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9cf48a… |
| 10-16 15:16:43 | (anonymous) 0x1e5e…40fb | Yes | SELL | 76 | 99¢ | $75 | 0x9cf48a… |
| 10-16 15:16:43 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0x9cf48a… |
| 10-16 15:16:43 | (anonymous) 0x3319…977a | Yes | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $49 | 0x9cf48a… |
| 10-16 15:16:43 | Arctic-Performance 0x5647…de1d | Yes | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x9cf48a… |
| 10-16 15:13:33 | (anonymous) 0x0b03…f2c8 | No | SELL | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe770e4… |
| 10-16 15:13:33 | (anonymous) 0x2ebb…35d7 | No | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe770e4… |