Natural-Terminal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.79K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

30.3%

Resolved

1,464

Trades

2,934

lifetime

Volume

$80.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 10-27 10:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 144 days

Categories

Other

100% 32% -$2,788

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	39	$2.9K	3,224	3,224	+0	No	+$14	05-14 14:33
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on June 3?	2	$676	735	1,471	-735	Yes	+$176	06-03 03:55
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 29?	13	$632	861	861	+0	Down	-$86	05-29 09:23
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?	2	$472	309	309	+0	Yes	-$28	05-26 22:53
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 10?	4	$395	403	403	+0	No	-$5	08-09 23:25
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	2	$391	1,083	1,083	+0	DN SOOPers Challengers	-$63	05-28 22:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	2	$384	321	321	+0	No	-$14	05-24 13:44
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 1?	2	$370	278	278	+0	Yes	+$170	09-01 16:37
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 28?	4	$343	385	385	+0	Up	+$4	05-28 00:20
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on August 19?	3	$325	227	227	+0	No	+$125	08-19 20:56
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on August 18?	2	$308	227	227	+0	No	+$108	08-18 21:27
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on July 8?	8	$274	338	338	+0	No	-$3	07-07 01:52
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 2?	8	$259	343	343	+0	Yes	-$33	06-02 05:30
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 29?	12	$241	247	247	+0	Down	-$15	05-29 06:52
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on August 9?	4	$234	263	263	+0	No	-$6	08-08 10:17
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on July 6?	8	$228	331	331	+0	No	-$9	07-05 08:56
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 24?	17	$224	250	250	+0	Yes	+$24	08-24 18:58
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 7?	12	$219	261	261	+0	No	-$2	07-07 00:58
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 11?	4	$216	220	220	+0	Yes	-$4	08-10 12:07
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 2?	2	$213	213	213	+0	Yes	-$4	06-02 09:02
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 3?	3	$211	263	263	+0	Yes	-$29	06-03 08:35
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 30?	4	$209	215	215	+0	No	-$4	07-30 05:55
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	6	$203	346	346	+0	No	+$3	05-14 11:43
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 28?	2	$200	250	250	+0	Yes	+$0	07-28 05:05
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 10?	2	$200	250	250	+0	Yes	+$0	08-09 15:08
wti up or down on june 10 2026	2	$200	208	208	+0	Up	+$0	06-10 04:56
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 27?	2	$200	149	149	+0	No	+$0	07-26 10:24
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 75°F or below on August 9?	2	$199	200	200	+0	Yes	-$1	08-08 20:46
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on July 2?	4	$198	370	370	+0	No	-$2	07-01 16:46
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 4?	2	$198	238	238	+0	Yes	-$2	07-02 19:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 10:10:06	Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0xb54895…
10-27 10:10:06	Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	9	37¢	$3	0x1d537b…
10-27 09:11:26	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 6°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xfe8d96…
10-27 09:11:26	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	24	58¢	$14	0x3146ef…
10-27 09:01:06	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x7f06b8…
10-27 09:01:06	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	204	38¢	$78	0x2af152…
10-27 09:01:06	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	54	38¢	$21	0x12eada…
10-27 06:14:24	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	278	36¢	$100	0x15af7c…
10-26 21:34:53	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xc30f4b…
10-26 14:33:06	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x7a08ea…
10-26 10:37:06	Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 28?	No	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xb80004…
10-26 10:37:06	Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 28?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x7a74e1…
10-26 10:25:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xfb2868…
10-26 10:25:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	21	33¢	$7	0xf3b213…
10-26 10:25:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	44	33¢	$15	0xba43c3…
10-26 10:25:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x0f02ef…
10-26 05:19:08	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0x7c6e33…
10-26 05:12:17	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 27?	No	BUY	230	41¢	$94	0xf0eb8b…
10-26 05:12:17	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 27?	No	BUY	14	41¢	$6	0x6d0a7c…
10-25 21:06:06	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xe3793b…
10-25 21:06:06	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0x9c06f4…
10-25 21:06:06	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	35	33¢	$12	0x87c101…
10-25 21:06:06	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	60	33¢	$20	0x6265fa…
10-25 21:06:06	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x5dc31a…
10-25 21:06:06	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	92	33¢	$30	0x4b9d45…
10-25 21:06:06	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	59	33¢	$19	0x1b4250…
10-25 21:06:06	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x0134b6…
10-25 18:13:26	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xb402f8…
10-25 18:13:26	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	21	32¢	$7	0x2fb67c…
10-25 17:45:20	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0x6c6887…
10-25 17:06:56	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 27?	No	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xf4b2f9…
10-25 17:06:56	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 27?	No	BUY	34	38¢	$13	0xac0edc…
10-25 17:06:56	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 27?	No	BUY	153	38¢	$58	0x5547fd…
10-25 17:06:56	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 27?	No	BUY	63	38¢	$24	0x2a2e32…
10-25 16:59:09	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 8°C on October 26?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x4a3888…
10-25 16:11:06	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x1b9079…
10-25 13:46:06	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 26?	No	BUY	131	47¢	$62	0xa1d339…
10-25 13:46:06	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 26?	No	BUY	70	47¢	$33	0x5ba87b…
10-25 13:46:06	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 26?	No	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x16a5ee…
10-25 08:19:20	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 25?	No	BUY	345	29¢	$100	0xa9326c…
10-25 07:40:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x502720…
10-25 07:40:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	262	37¢	$97	0x2ae0b5…
10-25 02:24:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	312	32¢	$100	0xbeda01…
10-24 23:10:11	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on October 25?	No	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0xd388f1…
10-24 19:40:18	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0x42473d…
10-24 16:03:15	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	93	58¢	$54	0x58e903…
10-24 16:03:14	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	39	58¢	$23	0xbe9a24…
10-24 16:03:14	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	36	58¢	$21	0xa26100…
10-24 16:03:14	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	4	58¢	$3	0x1d1ce1…
10-24 10:00:38	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	263	38¢	$100	0x5cd639…
10-24 08:27:38	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	150	42¢	$63	0xf6165c…
10-24 08:27:38	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	69	42¢	$29	0xd33e61…
10-24 08:27:38	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xc5e9d1…
10-24 08:27:38	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	14	42¢	$6	0x14a400…
10-24 07:04:03	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	106	40¢	$43	0x2aec11…
10-24 06:56:06	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on October 24?	No	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0xe5ac17…
10-24 06:56:06	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on October 24?	No	BUY	19	56¢	$11	0x827447…
10-24 05:31:03	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 24?	No	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xda4d1c…
10-24 05:31:03	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 24?	No	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0x73426d…
10-24 03:46:12	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0x05811b…
10-24 03:33:42	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on October 24?	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x57ab45…
10-24 01:14:38	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	23	39¢	$9	0xca4fba…
10-24 01:14:38	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xc2a346…
10-24 01:14:38	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	69	39¢	$27	0xa0b476…
10-24 01:14:38	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x4c182a…
10-23 23:18:02	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 25?	No	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0xa71c4f…
10-23 20:21:54	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	21	34¢	$7	0x8f37a9…
10-23 20:21:54	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x6b708a…
10-23 20:21:53	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	31	34¢	$10	0x8fe9c0…
10-23 20:21:53	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0x78508f…
10-23 20:21:53	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	225	34¢	$77	0x5b4ea6…
10-23 14:10:42	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	60	40¢	$24	0xadfc1f…
10-23 14:10:42	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x71f118…
10-23 14:10:42	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x122148…
10-23 13:36:51	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x3c84ca…
10-23 13:36:51	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on October 25?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x28d1c9…
10-23 13:26:38	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	345	29¢	$100	0x4514c8…
10-23 06:13:03	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 23?	No	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x9d5824…
10-23 06:13:03	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 23?	No	BUY	95	36¢	$34	0x87f6ae…
10-23 06:02:09	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xb9c1fe…
10-22 19:55:12	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on October 23?	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x7c9920…
10-22 19:31:21	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xba6467…
10-22 19:31:20	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	16	33¢	$5	0x3c4146…
10-22 18:15:06	Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 23?	No	BUY	40	42¢	$17	0x22c8cc…
10-22 18:11:35	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on October 24?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xf27d3e…
10-22 18:11:35	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on October 24?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x6a3d09…
10-22 18:01:44	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xe8a1dd…
10-22 18:01:42	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	89	32¢	$29	0x852cf5…
10-22 18:01:42	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	21	32¢	$7	0x6082f5…
10-22 18:01:42	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x387d10…
10-22 18:01:42	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	169	32¢	$54	0x1b3665…
10-22 16:00:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0x522108…
10-22 13:52:50	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x16b0cc…
10-22 13:52:48	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	2	29¢	$1	0xe864d5…
10-22 13:52:48	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xa6444c…
10-22 13:52:48	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x75d6ea…
10-22 13:52:48	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x009ba1…
10-22 11:25:42	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x9939dc…
10-22 11:25:42	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x90490d…
10-22 09:54:21	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 23?	Yes	BUY	150	36¢	$54	0xf64b36…