Noted-Pumpkinseed — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.09K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.7%

Resolved

3,034

Trades

11,406

lifetime

Volume

$955.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$84

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-16 18:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 248 days

Categories

Other

91% 98% +$1,116

Politics

8% 50% -$193

Crypto

1% 61% +$195

Sports

0% 55% -$31

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 98 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	18	$47.0K	28,114	28,114	+0	Yes	+$237	02-28 03:35
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	4	$24.0K	21,075	21,075	+0	Yes	-$423	02-26 09:51
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 19?	38	$13.8K	6,895	6,895	+0	No	+$11	06-19 10:33
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 28?	11	$5.6K	2,815	2,815	+0	No	+$17	06-28 10:30
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on June 30?	13	$3.7K	1,878	1,878	+0	No	+$2	06-30 19:37
highest temperature in seoul on april 17 2026 18corhigher	4	$3.7K	3,712	0	+3,712	No	+$13	04-17 08:53
highest temperature in ankara on march 29 2026 13c	6	$3.2K	3,213	0	+3,213	No	+$7	03-29 11:46
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 16?	7	$2.7K	1,425	1,324	+101	No	+$13	06-16 07:55
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on April 30?	12	$2.6K	2,602	102	+2,500	No	+$1	04-30 10:46
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 4?	5	$2.3K	1,160	1,160	+0	No	+$10	07-04 18:35
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 15?	12	$2.2K	1,107	1,107	+0	No	+$2	06-15 21:19
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 19?	13	$2.1K	1,152	1,002	+150	No	+$2	06-19 08:58
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 30?	14	$2.1K	1,073	1,071	+1	No	+$1	06-30 18:57
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 1?	7	$2.1K	1,051	1,051	+0	No	+$2	07-01 06:16
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 1?	6	$2.1K	1,045	1,045	+0	No	+$1	07-01 06:22
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 20?	19	$2.1K	1,064	1,009	+55	No	+$1	06-20 15:00
highest temperature in london on march 30 2026 12c	1	$2.0K	2,043	0	+2,043	Yes	+$2	03-30 19:18
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 19?	23	$2.0K	1,078	953	+125	No	+$1	06-19 14:45
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 24?	2	$2.0K	1,010	1,010	+0	No	+$9	07-24 15:18
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 12?	2	$2.0K	1,010	1,010	+0	No	+$9	07-12 22:06
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 16?	2	$2.0K	1,010	1,010	+0	No	+$9	06-16 11:08
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 11?	2	$2.0K	1,010	1,010	+0	No	+$9	07-11 15:09
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C or below on June 10?	8	$2.0K	1,010	1,010	+0	No	+$9	06-10 08:45
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on June 8?	6	$2.0K	1,010	1,010	+0	No	+$9	06-08 15:14
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 14?	2	$2.0K	1,010	1,010	+0	No	+$9	07-14 16:04
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 7?	6	$2.0K	1,010	1,010	-0	No	+$9	06-07 19:20
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on June 8?	13	$2.0K	1,010	1,010	-0	No	+$9	06-08 15:35
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on June 27?	9	$2.0K	1,010	1,010	+0	No	+$9	06-27 23:04
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on June 24?	16	$2.0K	1,010	1,010	+0	No	+$9	06-24 16:30
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 6?	7	$2.0K	1,010	1,010	+0	No	+$9	07-06 14:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-16 18:28:30	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 16?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xbf1e4a…
10-16 17:08:40	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 16?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x4adbb2…
10-16 16:49:03	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on October 16?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xf41f2b…
10-16 16:35:04	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on October 16?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x6500e0…
10-16 16:22:06	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xfc1cd2…
10-16 15:51:00	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x4818a3…
10-16 15:41:15	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xf0688a…
10-16 15:36:13	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xb80448…
10-16 08:11:49	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 16?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x28e768…
10-16 08:11:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 16?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xbd9201…
10-16 07:34:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 16?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xe56a77…
10-16 06:50:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xb418b6…
10-16 06:50:22	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x1cee3f…
10-15 23:10:21	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x9ce78a…
10-15 22:43:06	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x5f4e82…
10-15 19:23:01	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on October 15?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x883b54…
10-15 19:18:50	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on October 15?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x50de55…
10-15 19:07:29	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on October 15?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf1d3ba…
10-15 19:07:05	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on October 15?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd27b3d…
10-15 16:17:25	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xc9870f…
10-15 15:59:34	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x5db36f…
10-15 15:57:04	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xb97e90…
10-15 12:28:05	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x8ef616…
10-15 11:31:13	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x8d32b6…
10-15 11:31:03	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x40a773…
10-15 10:32:53	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x4c7865…
10-15 10:08:02	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xe28902…
10-15 09:02:16	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on October 14?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xc3e74e…
10-15 08:40:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x896f4c…
10-15 08:40:47	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on October 14?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x415d00…
10-15 06:45:44	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on October 14?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xdc30c2…
10-15 06:42:31	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on October 14?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x83ecd0…
10-14 23:24:09	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on October 14?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x2d6e7e…
10-14 22:30:45	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xa7b585…
10-14 20:30:28	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 14?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xee75a9…
10-14 20:30:10	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xa38219…
10-14 17:17:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 14?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x33f6fa…
10-14 17:13:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on October 14?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xd93336…
10-14 16:35:09	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x54388b…
10-14 15:55:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x0eb4c5…
10-14 09:06:35	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 14?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xff186e…
10-14 08:01:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 14?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x1e660e…
10-14 07:40:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xe51f4f…
10-14 06:59:59	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 14?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc0e842…
10-14 04:19:14	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 14?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x2dbbee…
10-14 03:36:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x4359d6…
10-13 16:48:39	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x388219…
10-13 16:43:19	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on October 13?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xcc782f…
10-13 16:42:57	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on October 13?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xa309a9…
10-13 16:36:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x0947dc…
10-13 15:57:39	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x00d384…
10-13 15:16:19	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x30b9f2…
10-13 14:54:56	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xa4f471…
10-13 14:33:23	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x0c5f90…
10-13 14:22:16	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x6a90e3…
10-13 10:37:55	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0xd6f5da…
10-13 09:09:53	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x38afcf…
10-13 09:09:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x4f590f…
10-13 09:09:47	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xfb3935…
10-13 08:14:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xce3904…
10-13 08:12:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x32f422…
10-13 08:05:26	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xf981b5…
10-13 08:00:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x06318f…
10-13 07:39:41	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xc5c9d1…
10-12 16:13:08	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on October 12?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xfa1714…
10-12 16:07:45	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 12?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xf7005d…
10-12 15:34:35	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x466c78…
10-12 15:33:35	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 12?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x647559…
10-12 14:26:56	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xe28fe8…
10-12 13:55:50	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x2af901…
10-12 11:07:38	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 12?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xb3c1c7…
10-12 10:59:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x94e8c1…
10-12 08:14:59	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 12?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xadaf64…
10-12 08:13:25	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 12?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xac3b8d…
10-12 08:13:22	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 12?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x4924fe…
10-12 07:46:35	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x97be37…
10-12 07:27:10	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xbde481…
10-12 00:07:35	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x747cad…
10-11 22:30:36	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xc95671…
10-11 22:29:59	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x68ac84…
10-11 21:09:11	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x247c6c…
10-11 21:09:07	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1c859e…
10-11 16:46:10	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x4ef758…
10-11 16:35:18	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xca44c9…
10-11 02:46:35	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on October 10?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x4cfcf8…
10-11 02:45:18	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x4c703a…
10-10 20:35:21	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 10?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xde4785…
10-10 20:34:12	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 10?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xdc3617…
10-10 19:28:15	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x8004ef…
10-10 16:58:49	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 10?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xbb073b…
10-10 16:33:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 10?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x5b58cc…
10-10 16:09:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 10?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xac7e99…
10-10 15:36:45	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x88e680…
10-10 14:58:25	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x3b4289…
10-10 14:33:10	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x1430a3…
10-10 14:25:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x28eda5…
10-10 10:22:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 10?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x1e0506…
10-10 10:21:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x384e48…
10-10 08:31:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 10?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xb1fa73…
10-10 07:37:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x559286…