Quizzical-Observation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$785

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.0%

Resolved

2,127

Trades

5,413

lifetime

Volume

$311.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$58

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-07

last 10-27 06:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 142 days

Categories

Other

100% 93% +$793

Sports

0% 50% -$7

Crypto

0% 67% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 155 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 20?	2	$1.9K	970	970	+0	Yes	+$9	08-20 14:03
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on August 4?	8	$1.8K	916	916	-0	Yes	+$11	08-04 15:51
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on August 17?	7	$1.7K	885	885	+0	Yes	+$18	08-17 22:42
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 12?	5	$1.7K	852	852	+0	Yes	+$9	08-12 13:21
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 6?	3	$1.7K	841	841	+0	No	+$8	10-06 14:27
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on September 26?	6	$1.5K	775	775	+0	Yes	+$8	09-26 18:57
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 17?	3	$1.3K	1,312	0	+1,312	No	+$13	08-17 22:44
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C or higher on October 26?	23	$1.3K	1,307	0	+1,307	Yes	+$27	10-26 21:27
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on October 11?	8	$1.2K	1,195	0	+1,195	Yes	+$18	10-11 13:57
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 9?	3	$1.2K	1,197	0	+1,197	Yes	+$26	09-09 16:45
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 12?	3	$1.2K	584	584	-0	No	+$1	08-12 13:03
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 5?	12	$1.1K	1,159	0	+1,159	No	+$25	10-05 06:41
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on September 7?	4	$1.1K	1,135	0	+1,135	No	+$11	09-07 13:44
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on September 28?	6	$1.1K	1,131	0	+1,131	No	+$12	09-28 18:48
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on September 25?	8	$1.1K	1,096	0	+1,096	Yes	+$15	09-25 14:31
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 4?	5	$1.1K	542	542	+0	Yes	+$10	08-04 22:40
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 6?	9	$1.0K	1,065	0	+1,065	Yes	+$19	08-06 12:56
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on August 14?	4	$1.0K	523	523	+0	No	+$5	08-14 21:09
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 7?	2	$1.0K	515	515	+0	Yes	+$10	09-07 20:32
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on October 3?	7	$1.0K	1,019	0	+1,019	No	+$11	10-03 13:33
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on October 4?	3	$989	997	0	+997	Yes	+$8	10-04 20:24
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on September 5?	9	$983	1,006	0	+1,006	Yes	+$23	09-05 14:32
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 15?	4	$949	477	477	+0	Yes	+$4	08-15 16:40
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 6?	4	$934	944	0	+944	Yes	+$10	09-06 15:19
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 9?	2	$928	465	465	+0	Yes	+$0	10-09 14:48
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 5?	3	$917	928	0	+928	Yes	+$12	08-05 13:56
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on September 21?	2	$903	454	454	+0	Yes	+$4	09-21 20:54
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on September 8?	2	$901	910	0	+910	No	-$901	09-08 22:37
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 21?	4	$899	910	0	+910	No	+$11	08-21 08:42
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 31?	6	$893	450	450	+0	Yes	+$6	07-31 18:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 06:16:05	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf081b0…
10-27 06:16:05	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xdc46c6…
10-27 06:15:38	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	26	99¢	$25	0xa5b9d4…
10-27 06:15:09	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0xa05aa9…
10-27 06:15:02	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xf5e426…
10-27 06:14:57	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	65	99¢	$64	0x62bf21…
10-27 05:44:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x454efb…
10-27 05:43:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xf8fd20…
10-27 05:43:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	169	99¢	$167	0x483038…
10-27 05:11:12	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	64	98¢	$63	0xa6b6ab…
10-27 05:10:45	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x09c23d…
10-27 05:10:20	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	90	98¢	$88	0x0aae50…
10-27 05:10:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	90	98¢	$88	0x57b0a0…
10-27 05:09:50	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 27?	No	BUY	70	98¢	$68	0xcd6210…
10-27 05:09:44	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 27?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$13	0x3cbcf2…
10-27 05:09:26	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 27?	No	BUY	87	97¢	$84	0x6d8de5…
10-27 05:09:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 27?	No	BUY	19	97¢	$19	0x66bf1d…
10-27 05:09:11	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	45	97¢	$44	0x3814a7…
10-26 23:01:35	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0xfbef02…
10-26 23:00:30	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 26?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x886a1a…
10-26 23:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0xfb5dc8…
10-26 23:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x222941…
10-26 23:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 26?	No	BUY	56	99¢	$55	0xfb3532…
10-26 22:59:54	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb80c5b…
10-26 22:59:50	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4713bb…
10-26 22:59:47	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x96af34…
10-26 22:59:44	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x55dbef…
10-26 21:27:32	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C or higher on October 26?	Yes	BUY	62	99¢	$61	0xe82eef…
10-26 21:26:36	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C or higher on October 26?	Yes	BUY	80	98¢	$78	0x8bf0da…
10-26 21:09:51	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C or higher on October 26?	Yes	BUY	145	99¢	$143	0x814a74…
10-26 21:09:35	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C or higher on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x24cba3…
10-26 21:09:27	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C or higher on October 26?	Yes	BUY	133	99¢	$131	0x13db31…
10-26 21:09:23	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C or higher on October 26?	Yes	BUY	133	99¢	$131	0xe34a3f…
10-26 21:09:09	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	414	100¢	$412	0x5819e9…
10-26 21:07:56	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C or higher on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x6115eb…
10-26 21:07:27	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C or higher on October 26?	Yes	BUY	185	99¢	$182	0xfd033b…
10-26 21:07:26	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C or higher on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x820457…
10-26 21:07:17	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C or higher on October 26?	Yes	BUY	30	96¢	$28	0x9ff2cd…
10-26 21:07:14	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C or higher on October 26?	Yes	BUY	106	94¢	$99	0xa967f2…
10-26 21:06:48	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on October 26?	No	SELL	333	100¢	$332	0x94d642…
10-26 21:03:57	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C or higher on October 26?	Yes	BUY	98	98¢	$96	0xe7e1c3…
10-26 21:03:35	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C or higher on October 26?	Yes	BUY	135	98¢	$133	0x559b0d…
10-26 21:03:23	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C or higher on October 26?	Yes	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xd69802…
10-26 21:03:20	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C or higher on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xecc636…
10-26 21:03:11	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C or higher on October 26?	Yes	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0xb6bb5c…
10-26 21:03:06	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C or higher on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xaf3a9d…
10-26 21:02:50	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C or higher on October 26?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x8a0037…
10-26 21:02:45	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C or higher on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x9b9ef4…
10-26 21:02:45	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C or higher on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x291c40…
10-26 21:02:36	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C or higher on October 26?	Yes	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x6e0276…
10-26 21:02:33	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C or higher on October 26?	Yes	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x8765dc…
10-26 21:02:30	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C or higher on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x976d2d…
10-26 21:01:33	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	396	100¢	$396	0x938e57…
10-26 21:00:59	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x8435d9…
10-26 21:00:29	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 26?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x0c3929…
10-26 21:00:12	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 26?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd44555…
10-26 21:00:00	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 26?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x3b5256…
10-26 20:59:56	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 26?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf3c16c…
10-26 20:59:47	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 26?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x064180…
10-26 20:59:45	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 26?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7fd50b…
10-26 20:59:36	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 26?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x718ece…
10-26 20:59:29	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	22	98¢	$21	0x13022f…
10-26 20:58:59	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	91	97¢	$88	0xfc5142…
10-26 19:55:15	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0x84729c…
10-26 19:22:06	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0x2e7ff8…
10-26 19:21:50	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	203	97¢	$197	0x186339…
10-26 19:21:41	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	49	97¢	$47	0xe30344…
10-26 19:21:39	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5d7678…
10-26 19:21:36	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x2ae067…
10-26 19:08:35	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x387e23…
10-26 19:07:00	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	324	100¢	$324	0x97e202…
10-26 14:30:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0x53abe3…
10-26 14:30:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x255887…
10-26 14:30:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x2047bd…
10-26 14:19:03	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xba6a83…
10-26 13:08:50	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 26?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x82508c…
10-26 13:08:38	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	109	99¢	$108	0x894acc…
10-26 13:08:35	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$29	0x0d0911…
10-26 13:06:12	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xa016a8…
10-26 13:06:12	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$11	0x98170c…
10-26 13:05:56	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xb231d6…
10-26 12:59:02	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$19	0xeafbb9…
10-26 12:58:57	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	80	99¢	$80	0xa22ab0…
10-26 12:58:33	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	26	99¢	$25	0x5ab523…
10-26 12:58:30	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x1e7772…
10-26 12:44:56	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xa8419c…
10-26 12:28:18	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 26?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x2c83dd…
10-26 12:28:09	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x8ca6e1…
10-26 12:28:08	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	93	99¢	$92	0xb79893…
10-26 12:18:17	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0xa320e5…
10-26 12:13:53	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe8a8a2…
10-26 12:13:39	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xab7fb5…
10-26 12:13:35	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xcc6c6f…
10-26 12:12:38	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x9ced15…
10-26 12:08:33	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 26?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0xe54802…
10-26 12:07:54	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 26?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$10	0x49041c…
10-26 12:07:48	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	114	98¢	$112	0x947b23…
10-26 12:07:42	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0x26740d…
10-26 12:06:50	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcc6d38…
10-26 12:06:05	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0x8cb6fb…