Realized P&L
+$18
Unrealized P&L
+$57
Hit rate
84.5%
Resolved
1,871
Trades
3,042
lifetime
Volume
$14.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$394
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-28
last 10-27 23:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 37 days
Categories
Crypto
57% 83% -$65
Other
30% 69% +$36
Politics
12% 80% +$40
Sports
1% 56% +$7
Tech
0% 100% +$0
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
35 active days in 12wk • peak 252 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +39 $25 66¢ $26 +$1 10-15 18:25
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +51 $8 42¢ $21 +$13 10-18 15:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? No +22 $18 96¢ $21 +$2 10-22 10:05
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +30 $20 68¢ $20 +$0 10-27 21:14
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +22 $16 86¢ $19 +$3 10-28 00:14
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +22 $15 79¢ $18 +$2 10-27 16:17
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +17 $15 96¢ $17 +$2 10-27 17:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October? No +17 $14 96¢ $16 +$2 10-20 10:18
will wti dip to 80 in october 2026 No +16 $14 99¢ $15 +$1 10-15 08:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October? No +16 $14 98¢ $15 +$1 10-20 05:54
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +22 $14 68¢ $15 +$1 10-17 06:35
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +23 $14 63¢ $15 +$1 10-20 09:06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October? No +15 $14 98¢ $14 +$0 10-18 22:05
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes +43 $14 32¢ $14 $0 10-17 06:36
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +12 $11 90¢ $11 $0 10-27 20:36
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? Yes +13 $10 78¢ $10 +$0 10-14 13:31
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +15 $10 68¢ $10 +$0 10-27 17:37
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +10 $3 99¢ $10 +$7 10-19 15:19
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +10 $3 99¢ $10 +$7 10-22 17:17
Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +15 $10 65¢ $10 $0 10-26 16:26
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +10 $9 94¢ $10 +$0 10-27 18:34
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +12 $8 78¢ $9 +$1 10-27 16:17
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +12 $8 70¢ $9 +$0 10-26 02:30
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +15 $8 56¢ $9 +$1 10-27 23:55
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +12 $8 70¢ $9 +$0 10-27 03:31
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? No +10 $3 87¢ $8 +$5 10-21 16:24
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +15 $8 56¢ $8 +$0 10-27 23:44
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? Bibi +9 $5 92¢ $8 +$3 10-18 20:15
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat? No +12 $8 64¢ $8 +$0 10-27 10:00
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat? Yes +12 $8 62¢ $8 $0 10-27 10:00