Sparkling-Skating 0x606ed7…b96b3a
whale 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$436
Unrealized P&L
-$146
Hit rate
76.4%
Resolved
9
Trades
2,788
lifetime
Volume
$281.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$101
Open exposure
$5.28K
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-13
last 07-22 02:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
74% 67% $-436
Other
26% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 147 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,360 $1,020 72¢ $979 $-42 07-21 13:39
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No -1,210 $-786 78¢ $-950 $-163 06-04 22:43
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,059 $818 90¢ $948 +$130 07-18 03:04
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +707 $330 54¢ $378 +$48 07-21 15:11
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +400 $356 92¢ $366 +$10 07-03 20:01
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +400 $356 90¢ $358 +$2 07-19 00:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +492 $447 54¢ $263 $-184 07-09 11:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +270 $155 82¢ $223 +$68 06-18 19:20
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +261 $232 74¢ $192 $-40 06-25 20:04
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +212 $185 89¢ $188 +$3 07-04 22:59
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +120 $106 88¢ $106 +$1 07-03 20:16
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No +104 $93 89¢ $92 $-1 07-19 19:54
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +355 $100 16¢ $57 $-43 07-21 23:18
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +50 $21 96¢ $48 +$27 07-03 19:58
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No +180 $28 26¢ $47 +$19 07-21 04:04
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +30 $20 88¢ $27 +$7 07-18 08:10
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes -100 $-32 26¢ $-26 +$6 07-08 11:36
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +27 $12 64¢ $18 +$6 07-21 21:06
Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? Yes -90 $-13 15¢ $-13 $-0 06-14 16:11
Trump out as President before 2027? No -6 $-6 92¢ $-6 $-0 07-02 18:24