Sparkling-Skating 0x606ed7…b96b3a
whale 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$436
Unrealized P&L
+$186
Hit rate
76.4%
Resolved
9
Trades
2,624
lifetime
Volume
$261.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$100
Open exposure
$8.47K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-13
last 06-30 19:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
76% 67% $-436
Other
24% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 147 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? No -2,926 $-2,903 100¢ $-2923 $-20 06-14 12:55
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,300 $1,070 84¢ $1.1K +$16 06-23 20:47
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +1,000 $939 95¢ $952 +$12 06-15 17:07
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,090 $848 86¢ $943 +$95 06-10 23:22
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No -1,210 $-786 74¢ $-901 $-115 06-04 22:43
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,017 $507 64¢ $656 +$149 06-26 11:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +300 $264 80¢ $242 $-22 06-20 13:40
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +261 $232 84¢ $218 $-14 06-25 20:04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +270 $155 76¢ $204 +$49 06-18 19:20
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +100 $77 100¢ $100 +$23 06-08 16:48
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +360 $101 26¢ $92 $-9 06-17 12:51
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +85 $70 100¢ $85 +$14 06-14 16:10
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +62 $18 44¢ $27 +$9 06-07 13:01
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $28 27¢ $27 $-1 06-26 09:10
Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? Yes -90 $-13 16¢ $-14 $-0 06-14 16:11