Sparkling-Skating — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$436

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.4%

Resolved

Trades

2,960

lifetime

Volume

$300.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$102

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 08-12 04:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Politics

72% 67% $-436

Other

27% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 147 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	44	$9.4K	6,647	6,647	+0	open	—	04-07 22:24
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	28	$8.4K	4,765	4,208	+556	open	—	08-02 02:47
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	24	$7.5K	3,490	4,291	-802	open	—	06-15 01:26
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	22	$6.8K	3,702	3,702	+0	open	—	05-20 12:45
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	60	$6.2K	4,521	4,769	-248	open	—	04-07 21:27
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	46	$6.1K	5,256	2,906	+2,350	open	—	05-25 23:14
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	24	$5.6K	2,978	2,978	+0	open	—	05-25 02:08
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	33	$5.5K	4,245	4,245	+0	open	—	04-07 22:31
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	21	$5.2K	2,729	2,729	+0	open	—	04-28 23:36
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	22	$5.2K	2,745	2,841	-97	open	—	05-22 21:40
Iran leadership change by May 31?	23	$4.9K	2,661	2,661	+0	open	—	05-22 23:23
will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	25	$4.8K	2,891	3,121	-230	open	—	06-14 23:29
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	34	$4.5K	2,378	2,453	-75	open	—	05-01 01:16
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	24	$4.2K	2,286	2,286	+0	open	—	02-03 03:07
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	22	$4.1K	2,174	2,170	+5	open	—	05-25 22:54
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	40	$4.0K	2,515	2,532	-17	No	+$19	05-07 18:03
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	29	$3.9K	2,038	2,038	+0	open	—	04-14 14:28
Iran leadership change by June 30?	16	$3.7K	1,405	2,425	-1,020	open	—	06-25 20:01
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	17	$3.6K	2,525	2,374	+152	open	—	06-14 23:10
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	21	$3.6K	2,099	2,099	+0	open	—	04-17 15:24
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	17	$3.4K	2,190	2,045	+145	open	—	08-06 16:04
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	33	$3.3K	1,812	1,911	-99	open	—	05-31 18:37
will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	29	$3.3K	1,796	2,280	-484	open	—	06-15 10:39
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	24	$3.3K	1,886	1,886	+0	open	—	05-01 03:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	20	$3.3K	1,873	1,564	+309	No	+$57	05-08 20:09
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	21	$3.1K	2,150	1,411	+739	open	—	08-02 01:04
iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	11	$3.1K	1,635	1,635	+0	open	—	07-22 18:53
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	34	$3.0K	1,738	1,592	+146	open	—	05-21 11:36
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	14	$2.9K	1,543	1,543	+0	open	—	04-13 15:29
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?	44	$2.9K	1,795	1,795	+0	open	—	04-15 11:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 04:08:31	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	261	28¢	$73	0x2e69e8…
08-11 14:00:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	No	SELL	110	19¢	$20	0x56b2fe…
08-11 13:59:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	SELL	170	56¢	$95	0xfa28d1…
08-10 18:25:55	will russia capture lyman by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	583	7¢	$41	0xebbc35…
08-10 08:12:13	european country agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	No	BUY	89	87¢	$78	0xac9cd3…
08-09 17:59:30	european country agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	No	BUY	26	87¢	$23	0xbfea9d…
08-08 03:04:51	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	185	52¢	$96	0x01864b…
08-08 02:30:15	iran leadership change by october 31	No	BUY	200	87¢	$174	0xbcf0d4…
08-08 02:29:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	54	99¢	$53	0xaed1d1…
08-07 10:27:12	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	120	75¢	$90	0x1a3dad…
08-07 06:51:21	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0xb0dbcb…
08-07 03:44:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xdffa35…
08-07 03:43:24	will russia capture vodianske by december 31 20260724162613572	Yes	BUY	30	59¢	$18	0x70ca26…
08-06 16:04:05	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	300	84¢	$252	0xc6fc14…
08-06 15:48:32	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	17	70¢	$12	0x4101ca…
08-06 15:48:15	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489	No	BUY	110	3¢	$4	0xf078e4…
08-06 13:54:06	european country agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x447f34…
08-05 23:22:05	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	Yes	SELL	493	96¢	$473	0x83d14b…
08-05 21:50:51	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	Yes	BUY	150	91¢	$136	0x1fc34c…
08-05 16:13:54	will iran target a arab country on august 5 2026 20260801004719122	Yes	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0x5769a7…
08-05 16:12:09	will iran target a arab country on august 5 2026 20260801004719122	Yes	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0x6f50df…
08-05 06:39:42	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	Yes	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0xfa9a80…
08-05 00:30:08	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	Yes	BUY	57	96¢	$54	0xe080b6…
08-04 21:52:09	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	Yes	BUY	87	96¢	$83	0xff5897…
08-04 17:28:53	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	36	57¢	$20	0x47a28d…
08-04 17:27:38	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	28	32¢	$9	0xe3de48…
08-04 17:24:23	total internet blackout in iran by august 31 2026 20260720155238428	No	SELL	33	91¢	$30	0xde618f…
08-04 11:44:50	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	30	73¢	$22	0xa7ca97…
08-04 07:39:20	total internet blackout in iran by august 31 2026 20260720155238428	No	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0xe6c3a9…
08-03 23:41:30	total internet blackout in iran by august 31 2026 20260720155238428	No	SELL	59	91¢	$54	0x2a89c9…
08-03 21:16:00	will russia capture vodianske by december 31 20260724162613572	Yes	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xee56af…
08-03 21:14:35	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	77¢	$9	0x7ca356…
08-03 21:14:29	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	76¢	$22	0x6ed72d…
08-03 18:13:36	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	50	41¢	$20	0xc556b2…
08-03 14:21:33	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	55¢	$20	0x575ec5…
08-03 13:43:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	400	56¢	$224	0x965129…
08-03 03:24:48	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	No	SELL	600	94¢	$564	0x28d3f6…
08-02 22:08:14	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0x7153ec…
08-02 16:31:53	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	98	83¢	$81	0x48b4b1…
08-02 13:04:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	40	78¢	$31	0x11fb64…
08-02 11:49:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	28	78¢	$22	0xe3ad77…
08-02 10:23:18	kharg island no longer under iranian control by december 31 20260730004337418	No	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0xbb2a45…
08-02 07:28:15	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	30	73¢	$22	0xb517aa…
08-02 02:48:14	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	900	80¢	$720	0xc27d56…
08-02 02:48:05	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	15	80¢	$12	0x9d77cf…
08-02 02:47:27	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	1,000	96¢	$965	0x928fc8…
08-02 01:09:32	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x11f480…
08-02 01:04:39	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	94¢	$281	0x489658…
08-01 23:31:38	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x20b8f3…
08-01 16:14:44	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	0	76¢	$0	0x311d63…
08-01 16:14:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	10	76¢	$7	0xfeffb4…
08-01 16:14:14	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x629f6e…
08-01 15:05:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	BUY	70	70¢	$49	0x52e3f7…
08-01 15:04:21	kharg island no longer under iranian control by december 31 20260730004337418	No	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x208799…
08-01 15:04:00	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	400	96¢	$384	0x7223c5…
08-01 14:58:47	us agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	No	SELL	47	90¢	$42	0x901a60…
08-01 03:19:41	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x4dd015…
08-01 02:05:05	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x678026…
07-31 22:33:21	total internet blackout in iran by august 31 2026 20260720155238428	No	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x44eab0…
07-31 21:43:30	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	600	95¢	$571	0x0d8ca9…
07-31 21:19:17	iran leadership change by august 31	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5a4781…
07-31 21:17:45	iran leadership change by august 31	No	BUY	99	95¢	$94	0x99110a…
07-31 20:58:29	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163	No	BUY	500	90¢	$450	0x59702d…
07-31 19:25:06	us agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0xf08682…
07-31 12:03:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	79	91¢	$72	0x90a656…
07-31 10:28:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x5bbae1…
07-31 08:43:54	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	100	91¢	$91	0xc652da…
07-31 05:24:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	7	91¢	$6	0x63e6f6…
07-31 04:16:47	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x5ef7b2…
07-31 01:48:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0x51ee24…
07-31 01:47:24	us agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	No	SELL	24	91¢	$22	0x27db44…
07-31 01:46:56	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	SELL	163	88¢	$143	0x8c7ba4…
07-31 01:46:53	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	SELL	530	23¢	$122	0x260a3a…
07-30 21:04:05	will russia enter oleksiievo druzhkivka by december 31 20260706175201731	Yes	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0xd78ef5…
07-30 19:12:36	will russia enter oleksiievo druzhkivka by september 30 20260706175201730	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x61d914…
07-30 19:03:27	will russia enter oleksiievo druzhkivka by september 30 20260706175201730	Yes	BUY	224	98¢	$219	0xe83426…
07-30 12:30:21	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x6461ae…
07-30 12:29:53	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	163	38¢	$62	0x19a8db…
07-30 12:29:11	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	76¢	$18	0xb01b97…
07-30 01:22:45	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	118	78¢	$92	0x46e9d0…
07-30 01:21:41	iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674	Yes	BUY	98	32¢	$31	0x224bfb…
07-30 01:21:02	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	200	78¢	$156	0xfa2e4a…
07-30 01:06:44	will russia enter oleksiievo druzhkivka by december 31 20260706175201731	Yes	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xa6447d…
07-30 01:06:26	will russia enter oleksiievo druzhkivka by december 31 20260706175201731	Yes	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x68ea9b…
07-30 01:06:21	will russia enter oleksiievo druzhkivka by december 31 20260706175201731	Yes	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xaddfe9…
07-30 00:29:57	will russia enter oleksiievo druzhkivka by december 31 20260706175201731	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x62a7a1…
07-29 23:33:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	80	86¢	$69	0x21b969…
07-29 23:31:03	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	SELL	316	94¢	$296	0xd2aec8…
07-29 23:28:38	european country agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	No	SELL	110	89¢	$97	0x0b7716…
07-29 18:04:08	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	200	94¢	$187	0x6b161a…
07-29 17:11:18	iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674	Yes	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0xc82995…
07-29 15:08:30	will russia enter oleksiievo druzhkivka by december 31 20260706175201731	Yes	SELL	134	92¢	$123	0x022bf8…
07-29 13:07:24	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x4286bf…
07-29 12:23:11	iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xf75c08…
07-29 12:22:26	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0x0c244c…
07-29 12:20:27	iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674	Yes	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0x63e6ca…
07-28 22:51:11	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	65	93¢	$60	0xa0759c…
07-28 22:47:41	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	500	94¢	$470	0x19a3d8…
07-28 22:23:47	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	18	77¢	$14	0x8f54fe…
07-28 22:23:04	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	SELL	156	78¢	$122	0x7cb80d…