Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.44K

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

26.5%

Resolved

489

Trades

2,336

lifetime

Volume

$20.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$79

5 positions

First seen

2026-06-10

last 07-25 03:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 86 days

Categories

Other

51% 21% -$675

Politics

25% 23% -$307

Sports

17% 26% -$300

Tech

5% 29% -$98

Crypto

2% 0% -$33

Pop-Culture

1% 0% -$23

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-25).

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Yes	+40	$16	98¢	$39	+$23	07-08 22:06
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	+39	$17	81¢	$32	+$14	06-16 14:16
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	+39	$22	19¢	$7	-$14	07-08 22:15
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	No	+40	$24	2¢	$1	-$24	06-15 06:39
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat?	Yes	+0	$6	66¢	$0	-$6	06-24 18:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	73	$473	482	399	+82	Yes	+$24	06-21 02:02
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	39	$442	542	442	+100	No	+$1	06-21 21:49
will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 19 2026 20260615222831704	23	$409	500	400	+100	Yes	-$19	06-18 00:03
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	14	$299	499	100	+399	Yes	+$11	06-17 17:18
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 21 2026	15	$292	400	300	+100	Yes	-$9	06-14 19:48
Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	19	$258	351	289	+61	No	-$3	06-22 00:27
will msft reach 405 by june 15 2026	24	$243	239	218	+20	No	-$12	06-18 00:09
will spy reach 760 by june 15 2026	13	$206	400	0	+400	No	-$6	06-16 19:28
will spain reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149737	25	$204	227	198	+29	Yes	+$0	07-02 12:58
gpt 5pt6 released by july 7 2026	5	$183	169	169	+0	No	-$42	07-05 04:38
will xauusd dip to 3900 in june 2026	8	$180	152	150	+2	No	-$4	06-23 18:51
will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	11	$172	266	196	+70	No	-$11	06-18 15:59
will there be 5 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750573	16	$164	171	165	+6	Yes	-$6	06-18 18:30
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?	6	$164	150	150	+0	Yes	-$7	06-20 22:58
will neymar jr score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	18	$162	270	64	+206	Yes	$0	06-16 02:57
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?	6	$156	130	130	+0	No	+$0	07-13 10:34
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	3	$154	117	117	+0	No	-$26	07-04 17:44
Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?	6	$152	150	150	+0	No	-$1	06-21 21:49
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?	6	$147	100	100	+0	Yes	-$14	06-21 13:32
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 30?	4	$134	78	78	+0	Yes	$0	06-30 07:28
will jd vance attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204739	14	$130	139	100	+39	No	+$1	06-17 15:25
israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	14	$128	146	113	+33	No	-$5	06-24 16:26
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in June?	12	$127	100	100	+0	Yes	-$16	06-18 17:42
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?	8	$122	118	118	+0	No	-$2	06-24 17:49
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 220m and 240m?	14	$119	120	120	+0	No	$0	06-21 21:49
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	17	$113	250	250	+0	No	-$5	06-18 00:15
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	6	$111	113	113	+0	Yes	+$0	07-04 02:16
Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting?	5	$111	109	109	+0	Yes	-$2	07-04 17:44
Will Czechia be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?	14	$110	186	33	+153	Yes	-$2	06-16 03:02
will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 30 20260615222831705	12	$107	150	150	+0	Yes	-$7	06-17 17:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-25 03:51:42	Will four or more people dissent the July Fed decision?	Yes	SELL	4	5¢	$0	0xd5e18a…
07-23 03:40:13	Will four or more people dissent the July Fed decision?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x7ee711…
07-23 03:40:07	Will four or more people dissent the July Fed decision?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xc502f4…
07-23 03:40:00	Will four or more people dissent the July Fed decision?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x43cd9c…
07-22 16:08:31	will heroic make a roster change before august 20260610155544674	Yes	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x971508…
07-22 16:08:24	Will Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?	Yes	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0x514c66…
07-22 16:08:18	Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0xb9638c…
07-22 16:08:15	Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 special election?	No	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xe66fac…
07-22 16:08:12	Will Philadelphia Waterdogs be named the 2026 Premier League Lacrosse Champion?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x3c6007…
07-22 16:08:09	Will Andy Eads win the 2026 Denton County Judge election?	No	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x9af488…
07-22 16:08:03	Will 0–1 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?	Yes	SELL	30	5¢	$2	0x528cec…
07-18 15:28:45	Will Nito Abreu win the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0x3f249a…
07-18 03:27:27	gemini 4pt0 released by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	33	5¢	$2	0x2f7930…
07-17 14:02:19	Will Tyler, The Creator have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	6¢	$2	0x29213a…
07-17 14:02:12	Will Tyler, The Creator have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xa835dc…
07-17 14:00:28	Will Tyler, The Creator have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x9576bf…
07-17 13:55:57	Will Tyler, The Creator have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x2ee257…
07-17 13:53:15	Will Tyler, The Creator have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	No	SELL	51	77¢	$39	0x47f6fd…
07-16 18:12:16	Will Tyler, The Creator have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	No	BUY	51	90¢	$46	0x3126a1…
07-16 18:11:04	Will Tyler, The Creator have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0x855917…
07-16 13:36:19	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by december 31 2026 20260715004553753	Yes	SELL	16	4¢	$1	0xe01edd…
07-16 00:47:14	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by december 31 2026 20260715004553753	Yes	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0x80c240…
07-15 20:22:37	will trump praise zohran mamdani by july 31 20260626214328033	Yes	SELL	6	39¢	$2	0x0b5ce7…
07-15 18:21:01	will the house pass a reconciliation bill by july 30 20260626182353438	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xa699d3…
07-15 10:33:52	will the house pass a reconciliation bill by july 30 20260626182353438	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x5a1cc7…
07-15 07:00:41	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by december 31 2026 20260715004553753	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0xd9ce83…
07-15 06:17:40	will clavicular visit thailand in 2026 20260714153003044	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$1	0x50418a…
07-15 06:17:37	will clavicular visit thailand in 2026 20260714153003044	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xef6b8d…
07-15 04:37:07	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by december 31 2026 20260715004553752	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x18550c…
07-15 04:37:04	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by december 31 2026 20260715004553752	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x21a311…
07-15 04:28:43	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by december 31 2026 20260715004553753	Yes	SELL	53	2¢	$1	0xf6f61f…
07-15 04:27:05	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by december 31 2026 20260715004553753	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x624c20…
07-15 03:22:17	will the house pass a reconciliation bill by july 30 20260626182353438	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xb7c79f…
07-15 02:21:04	Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	No	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0xa57fa3…
07-15 02:20:22	Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x69ce98…
07-13 19:22:04	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 rico hoey	Yes	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0xe3823f…
07-13 19:21:11	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 mackenzie hughes	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xadf4c5…
07-13 19:21:07	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 mackenzie hughes	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x8246da…
07-13 19:19:49	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 davis bryant	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xfb3d41…
07-13 19:15:02	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 davis bryant	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xa64301…
07-13 19:14:59	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 rico hoey	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x54d37c…
07-13 19:14:14	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 davis bryant	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xceaa9c…
07-13 19:14:13	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 rico hoey	Yes	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0xe6591a…
07-13 19:12:29	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 rico hoey	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xb881a2…
07-13 19:12:28	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 davis bryant	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x17cd97…
07-13 15:20:13	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	23	36¢	$8	0x5da135…
07-13 15:20:11	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	30	36¢	$11	0xc7442d…
07-13 15:18:29	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	53	35¢	$18	0xbf1299…
07-13 15:18:17	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	50	67¢	$34	0xcc0768…
07-13 15:18:16	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0x0534e8…
07-13 14:57:13	Will Nasim Nuñez lead the MLB in stolen bases for the 2026 regular season?	Yes	SELL	7	31¢	$2	0x651dc4…
07-13 14:57:11	Will Nasim Nuñez lead the MLB in stolen bases for the 2026 regular season?	No	SELL	8	66¢	$5	0xd45364…
07-13 14:39:08	iran charges hormuz fees by july 31	No	SELL	50	71¢	$36	0x514fc5…
07-13 14:39:04	iran charges hormuz fees by july 31	No	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0xb62c4a…
07-13 13:32:25	will meta dip to 640 by july 13 2026	No	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0x192f97…
07-13 13:32:22	will meta dip to 640 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x88bb45…
07-13 13:31:28	will rklb reach 88 by july 13 2026	Yes	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0xbe4be7…
07-13 13:31:23	will rklb reach 88 by july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0xf9a8d4…
07-13 10:34:10	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	28¢	$8	0x7633b7…
07-13 10:34:08	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	28¢	$8	0xdfdb30…
07-13 08:33:17	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	50	70¢	$35	0x498ccf…
07-13 08:33:16	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x63466f…
07-13 04:33:13	will elon post president on x this week 20260710173822736	No	SELL	14	55¢	$8	0x640b4e…
07-13 04:33:08	will elon post president on x this week 20260710173822736	No	SELL	16	56¢	$9	0x0d7975…
07-13 04:33:04	will elon post president on x this week 20260710173822736	No	BUY	30	63¢	$19	0xa1157e…
07-12 20:43:16	Will Nasim Nuñez lead the MLB in stolen bases for the 2026 regular season?	Yes	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x232ea1…
07-12 20:42:20	Will Nasim Nuñez lead the MLB in stolen bases for the 2026 regular season?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x47ebea…
07-12 14:28:49	Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 27 be between 86 and 89?	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x7ea598…
07-12 14:28:46	Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 27 be between 86 and 89?	No	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x3d470f…
07-12 14:16:31	Will Nasim Nuñez lead the MLB in stolen bases for the 2026 regular season?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x2815f7…
07-12 14:08:38	Will “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series?	No	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xc2fb18…
07-12 14:08:34	Will “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series?	No	SELL	0	59¢	$0	0x730076…
07-12 14:08:31	Will “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xffe721…
07-12 12:31:53	Will fewer than 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?	No	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xade24f…
07-12 12:31:50	Will fewer than 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xe0b29a…
07-12 08:49:17	Will there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?	No	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xce333b…
07-12 08:49:14	Will there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?	No	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x4009bb…
07-12 04:27:16	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	50	69¢	$34	0xbd9fc1…
07-12 04:27:07	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0x71550e…
07-12 04:08:22	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	13¢	$6	0x46f994…
07-12 04:08:02	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0x71e493…
07-12 03:15:31	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	16	18¢	$3	0x435489…
07-12 03:14:58	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	15	80¢	$12	0x1ce8c3…
07-12 03:14:43	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	16	20¢	$3	0xa5c414…
07-12 03:13:28	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	35	79¢	$28	0x89a8fb…
07-12 03:13:19	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x843583…
07-11 21:09:25	Will there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?	No	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x95b6e3…
07-11 21:09:20	Will there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?	No	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xe6d70d…
07-11 20:11:43	Will four or more people dissent the July Fed decision?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x060fac…
07-11 20:11:31	Will four or more people dissent the July Fed decision?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x6ebd67…
07-11 19:52:32	Will four or more people dissent the July Fed decision?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x37ec54…
07-11 19:36:53	Will four or more people dissent the July Fed decision?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x3ab7f8…
07-11 19:36:34	Will four or more people dissent the July Fed decision?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x5d52f3…
07-11 19:35:29	Will four or more people dissent the July Fed decision?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xe3b454…
07-11 19:33:46	Will four or more people dissent the July Fed decision?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x10481e…
07-11 19:33:40	Will four or more people dissent the July Fed decision?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xe3aaff…
07-11 19:33:32	Will four or more people dissent the July Fed decision?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x0608a8…
07-11 19:33:28	Will four or more people dissent the July Fed decision?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x019704…
07-11 19:33:26	Will four or more people dissent the July Fed decision?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x0c4481…
07-11 19:33:25	Will four or more people dissent the July Fed decision?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x9b6bcf…