Realized P&L
-$26
Unrealized P&L
+$156
Hit rate
1.7%
Resolved
2
Trades
5,814
lifetime
Volume
$62.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$3.14K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-29
last 06-10 06:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
75% 100% +$17
Other
18% 0% $-43
Crypto
4%
Tech
3%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
43 active days in 12wk • peak 846 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +561 $410 80¢ $451 +$41 06-09 17:23
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +532 $165 62¢ $330 +$165 06-08 09:41
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +335 $247 76¢ $255 +$8 06-09 21:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +346 $148 70¢ $244 +$97 06-10 00:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +290 $191 84¢ $242 +$51 05-30 12:03
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes +489 $336 38¢ $186 $-150 05-29 19:22
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +172 $140 88¢ $152 +$12 06-09 16:31
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +150 $48 100¢ $150 +$102 06-02 23:39
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +140 $123 90¢ $125 +$2 06-09 17:24
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +502 $144 20¢ $98 $-46 06-09 16:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +316 $193 30¢ $93 $-100 05-29 22:18
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? No +99 $79 88¢ $88 +$9 06-02 10:10
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +86 $63 76¢ $65 +$1 06-09 22:49
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +57 $53 96¢ $55 +$2 06-08 10:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +319 $114 16¢ $53 $-61 05-30 12:02
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +213 $55 24¢ $51 $-3 06-09 19:38
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +55 $48 88¢ $48 +$0 06-08 07:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +53 $40 90¢ $48 +$8 06-07 04:32
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? No +69 $40 66¢ $45 +$6 06-10 04:59
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +59 $43 75¢ $44 +$0 06-09 18:20
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No +49 $31 78¢ $38 +$7 06-10 02:00
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +53 $38 72¢ $38 +$0 06-08 04:37
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? Yes +40 $28 94¢ $37 +$10 05-28 13:55
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? Yes +35 $31 100¢ $35 +$4 06-06 11:22
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? No +57 $31 60¢ $34 +$3 06-10 02:20
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? No +52 $34 64¢ $33 $-1 06-10 00:23
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +34 $29 82¢ $28 $-0 06-07 00:41
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Yes +42 $26 60¢ $25 $-1 06-10 02:32
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +200 $28 12¢ $25 $-3 05-31 06:02
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Yes +71 $31 34¢ $24 $-7 06-10 02:33