Squeaky-Electrocardiogram — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.97K

Unrealized P&L

+$913

Hit rate

36.4%

Resolved

1,382

Trades

34,033

lifetime

Volume

$302.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$5.08K

30 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 10-27 02:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 159 days

Categories

Politics

52% 47% -$581

Other

38% 36% -$1,950

Tech

7% 35% -$207

Crypto

1% 23% -$123

Sports

1% 47% -$37

Pop-Culture

0% 25% -$68

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 413 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
us x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 20260918	No	+636	$421	70¢	$448	+$27	10-25 21:55
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	+517	$328	84¢	$437	+$109	10-23 20:33
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	+356	$237	94¢	$335	+$98	10-26 00:23
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	+347	$196	90¢	$314	+$118	10-25 22:59
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	+234	$165	97¢	$227	+$62	10-25 14:07
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?	No	+325	$147	67¢	$218	+$71	10-26 17:20
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	+226	$149	92¢	$206	+$58	10-03 03:23
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	+207	$106	98¢	$203	+$97	10-23 19:33
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	+196	$113	96¢	$189	+$76	09-25 20:20
us x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 20260918	Yes	+635	$212	30¢	$187	-$25	10-21 19:48
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	+331	$182	52¢	$170	-$11	10-27 01:20
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	No	+200	$136	84¢	$167	+$31	10-26 12:23
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	+321	$143	48¢	$156	+$13	10-26 19:42
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	+157	$72	99¢	$155	+$84	10-25 19:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	+162	$128	84¢	$135	+$8	10-25 22:10
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	+147	$115	86¢	$126	+$11	10-25 13:46
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+233	$89	54¢	$125	+$36	10-27 03:13
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	+187	$122	66¢	$123	+$1	10-27 01:37
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	+136	$59	87¢	$119	+$60	09-25 20:20
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?	No	+291	$115	40¢	$115	$0	10-26 16:12
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+234	$125	46¢	$108	-$17	10-26 23:25
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+325	$214	33¢	$107	-$106	10-20 15:05
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	No	+106	$43	92¢	$97	+$54	09-26 02:23
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	+111	$59	88¢	$97	+$38	09-25 20:20
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	+114	$54	84¢	$96	+$42	10-26 01:51
next white house press secretary announced by december 31 2026	Yes	+147	$132	60¢	$89	-$42	10-26 16:05
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	+150	$81	58¢	$87	+$6	10-26 22:13
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+102	$79	82¢	$83	+$4	09-25 20:20
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	+128	$69	62¢	$79	+$9	10-25 21:55
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	+125	$70	60¢	$76	+$6	07-05 02:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	528	$8.2K	10,313	7,181	+3,132	No	-$28	05-30 11:05
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	357	$6.5K	6,482	4,176	+2,306	No	-$12	06-30 23:08
will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	302	$5.3K	6,635	3,158	+3,477	Yes	-$63	07-01 21:00
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	236	$5.0K	4,609	3,260	+1,349	No	-$2	07-03 19:38
iran closes its airspace by june 15	430	$4.8K	5,892	3,757	+2,135	Yes	-$40	06-07 21:22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	218	$4.7K	5,187	4,085	+1,103	Yes	-$19	05-30 12:03
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	226	$4.4K	6,123	4,534	+1,589	Yes	+$10	06-15 01:36
Trump renames AI by September 30?	269	$3.8K	4,431	3,000	+1,431	Yes	-$112	09-29 20:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	227	$3.5K	3,954	2,506	+1,448	No	-$17	07-11 22:11
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	261	$3.4K	4,114	2,986	+1,128	No	+$1	05-29 18:09
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	225	$3.2K	3,450	2,481	+968	open	—	10-23 20:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	244	$3.1K	3,839	2,490	+1,348	No	-$73	05-29 18:40
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	129	$3.1K	2,662	1,884	+778	Yes	-$51	07-01 19:28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	221	$3.0K	3,467	2,280	+1,188	No	-$9	06-01 21:37
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	142	$2.8K	3,153	2,085	+1,068	open	—	10-25 23:43
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	229	$2.7K	3,764	1,753	+2,010	No	+$4	07-28 06:06
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	293	$2.7K	3,771	2,941	+830	No	+$17	05-30 00:17
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	259	$2.6K	3,020	2,065	+955	No	-$14	05-18 15:04
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	137	$2.5K	3,556	1,891	+1,665	Yes	-$6	06-14 20:48
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	245	$2.5K	3,166	1,696	+1,470	Yes	-$60	05-30 23:21
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	280	$2.5K	3,296	1,788	+1,507	Yes	-$17	05-19 11:16
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	282	$2.3K	2,402	1,662	+740	No	-$5	06-11 21:45
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	166	$2.1K	2,776	1,422	+1,354	Yes	+$4	06-14 19:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	190	$2.1K	2,634	2,194	+440	No	-$23	05-25 15:23
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	175	$2.0K	1,938	1,546	+392	open	—	09-25 20:20
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	196	$2.0K	2,370	1,600	+771	No	-$32	05-18 07:44
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	147	$1.9K	2,660	1,220	+1,440	No	-$33	07-03 19:32
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	204	$1.9K	1,865	1,133	+732	Yes	-$18	06-20 08:25
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	221	$1.9K	2,204	1,205	+999	No	-$2	08-27 16:07
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	67	$1.9K	1,701	1,208	+493	open	—	10-23 19:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 03:23:23	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x4417ab…
10-27 03:13:36	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x0483cd…
10-27 03:13:35	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xf68df8…
10-27 03:13:35	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xedcec5…
10-27 03:13:35	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x6e7967…
10-27 03:13:35	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x4c3b55…
10-27 03:10:29	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	42	52¢	$22	0xf956aa…
10-27 03:07:29	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Bibi	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x70997e…
10-27 02:56:12	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xf57625…
10-27 02:38:33	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x156d3b…
10-27 02:25:03	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x44f092…
10-27 02:13:06	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x9a52fc…
10-27 02:09:42	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	44¢	$3	0x796e0f…
10-27 01:56:21	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x3645ff…
10-27 01:44:38	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	9	28¢	$2	0x17a2ff…
10-27 01:37:21	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	13	66¢	$8	0xf119fe…
10-27 01:37:03	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0x2089e2…
10-27 01:33:48	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	55¢	$1	0x8eec93…
10-27 01:21:05	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	22	41¢	$9	0x1f3228…
10-27 01:20:17	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	SELL	16	51¢	$8	0xcd1009…
10-27 01:15:24	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x02cd84…
10-27 01:15:00	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xec288e…
10-27 01:13:02	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	29	50¢	$14	0xc82d31…
10-27 01:04:33	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x3218c3…
10-27 01:00:05	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x61f8fa…
10-27 00:59:09	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xe53402…
10-27 00:43:02	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?	Yes	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0x0ab5d6…
10-27 00:23:21	Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0x1eb7f3…
10-27 00:13:33	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	18	77¢	$14	0xd1497d…
10-27 00:06:20	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Bibi	BUY	8	43¢	$3	0xc7d7f1…
10-27 00:04:00	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x14e6fa…
10-26 23:45:06	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?	Yes	SELL	15	51¢	$8	0x6b87e4…
10-26 23:43:21	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x0d51df…
10-26 23:43:09	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?	Yes	BUY	11	86¢	$9	0xb5d536…
10-26 23:37:54	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	SELL	5	49¢	$3	0xafe998…
10-26 23:25:11	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	14	45¢	$6	0x04557d…
10-26 23:23:27	Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x4776a8…
10-26 23:23:27	Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	70¢	$9	0x4776a8…
10-26 23:10:30	Turek flips Hinson for Iowa Senate by November 2?	Yes	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0x0c504b…
10-26 23:01:27	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x645f5a…
10-26 23:00:59	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xd87a05…
10-26 22:25:30	US Gov confirms PHP2Shell exploited by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x15aa9f…
10-26 22:23:21	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0x3fe67c…
10-26 22:18:26	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x5d4734…
10-26 22:13:08	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	38	58¢	$22	0xb08516…
10-26 22:13:05	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x21e38a…
10-26 22:11:59	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Bibi	SELL	13	44¢	$6	0x3970da…
10-26 22:10:14	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0xa69212…
10-26 22:06:35	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	54¢	$7	0x0ceaaf…
10-26 21:54:06	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Bibi	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0xf08009…
10-26 21:45:18	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	Yes	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0xcc40c8…
10-26 21:42:05	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Bibi	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x5e4037…
10-26 21:35:06	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xe47c27…
10-26 21:33:38	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	58¢	$7	0xf8de0d…
10-26 21:30:03	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	12	45¢	$6	0x6ad531…
10-26 21:29:56	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	7	82¢	$6	0xbcd26d…
10-26 21:22:11	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xf2b137…
10-26 21:21:11	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	9	45¢	$4	0x08b469…
10-26 21:13:33	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x7a1883…
10-26 21:10:11	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x3c7c9e…
10-26 20:59:33	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0x15d510…
10-26 20:56:39	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x8e2096…
10-26 20:55:20	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	41¢	$3	0x30e466…
10-26 20:51:09	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x019205…
10-26 20:50:44	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0x1006d5…
10-26 20:50:11	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x7e0648…
10-26 20:44:17	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x0db21e…
10-26 20:36:05	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 28, 2026?	No	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xb6c57c…
10-26 20:27:30	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Bibi	SELL	13	48¢	$6	0x282053…
10-26 20:23:17	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	44¢	$2	0xeb506b…
10-26 20:23:00	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	8	57¢	$4	0x315b9a…
10-26 20:23:00	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	15	43¢	$6	0x315b9a…
10-26 20:16:35	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xa46450…
10-26 20:11:42	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x0216ed…
10-26 20:07:12	Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x5fa637…
10-26 20:04:08	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0xe50bff…
10-26 19:57:03	Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	67¢	$18	0xe6a37b…
10-26 19:49:11	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	BUY	29	64¢	$19	0x276abc…
10-26 19:48:26	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0x97887c…
10-26 19:42:03	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xdbde54…
10-26 19:42:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	26	52¢	$14	0x25844f…
10-26 19:42:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	SELL	12	48¢	$6	0x25844f…
10-26 19:19:54	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0x2ee279…
10-26 19:15:20	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	12	77¢	$9	0xa2a613…
10-26 19:12:08	Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?	No	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x707145…
10-26 19:07:56	Will Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x9a3d84…
10-26 19:02:50	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x4515bf…
10-26 19:02:50	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$10	0x4515bf…
10-26 19:02:50	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	31	52¢	$16	0x13bd55…
10-26 19:01:35	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x56d8e9…
10-26 18:59:08	Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?	No	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x3bfd64…
10-26 18:46:03	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x1b254e…
10-26 18:42:20	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?	No	SELL	31	64¢	$20	0xeb04f8…
10-26 18:23:17	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x503e02…
10-26 18:13:41	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Bibi	BUY	12	46¢	$5	0x1959d3…
10-26 18:07:29	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Bibi	BUY	14	47¢	$7	0xd700bc…
10-26 18:06:33	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x8e7408…
10-26 18:06:02	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	Yes	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xadab1a…
10-26 18:02:18	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x640324…
10-26 18:01:00	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	Yes	BUY	17	44¢	$7	0x6fff7c…