Squeaky-Electrocardiogram — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

-$6

Unrealized P&L

+$954

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

270

34,125 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$1.59K

$303.0K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$5.13K

30 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 10-27 12:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 160 days

Categories

Politics

52% 47% -$582

Other

38% 36% -$1,955

Tech

7% 35% -$207

Crypto

1% 23% -$123

Sports

1% 47% -$37

Pop-Culture

0% 25% -$68

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 413 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	+636	$421	70¢	$448	+$27	10-25 21:55
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	+517	$328	84¢	$437	+$109	10-23 20:33
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	+356	$237	96¢	$342	+$105	10-26 00:23
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	+347	$196	94¢	$324	+$128	10-25 22:59
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	+234	$165	96¢	$226	+$61	10-25 14:07
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?	No	+325	$147	66¢	$216	+$69	10-26 17:20
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	+226	$149	92¢	$206	+$58	10-03 03:23
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	+207	$106	98¢	$203	+$97	10-23 19:33
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	+196	$113	96¢	$188	+$75	09-25 20:20
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	+635	$212	30¢	$187	-$25	10-21 19:48
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	+322	$177	55¢	$175	-$2	10-27 08:37
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	No	+200	$136	84¢	$169	+$33	10-26 12:23
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+234	$89	68¢	$158	+$69	10-27 04:04
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	+157	$72	98¢	$154	+$82	10-25 19:16
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	+321	$143	46¢	$146	+$3	10-26 19:42
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	+162	$128	84¢	$137	+$9	10-25 22:10
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?	No	+280	$156	48¢	$135	-$21	10-27 04:20
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	+147	$115	86¢	$127	+$11	10-25 13:46
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	+187	$122	64¢	$121	-$1	10-27 01:37
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	+136	$59	86¢	$118	+$59	09-25 20:20
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+325	$214	34¢	$109	-$105	10-20 15:05
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?	No	+291	$115	36¢	$103	-$12	10-26 16:12
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	+106	$43	93¢	$99	+$55	09-26 02:23
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	+111	$59	88¢	$97	+$38	09-25 20:20
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+147	$132	64¢	$95	-$37	10-26 16:05
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	+100	$42	88¢	$88	+$46	10-27 07:01
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+102	$79	83¢	$84	+$5	09-25 20:20
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	+150	$81	55¢	$81	+$0	10-26 22:13
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	+128	$69	60¢	$77	+$8	10-25 21:55
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	+125	$70	62¢	$77	+$7	07-05 02:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	528	$8.2K	10,313	7,181	+3,132	No	-$28	05-30 11:05
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	357	$6.5K	6,482	4,176	+2,306	No	-$12	06-30 23:08
will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	302	$5.3K	6,635	3,158	+3,477	Yes	-$63	07-01 21:00
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	236	$5.0K	4,609	3,260	+1,349	No	-$2	07-03 19:38
iran closes its airspace by june 15	430	$4.8K	5,892	3,757	+2,135	Yes	-$40	06-07 21:22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	218	$4.7K	5,187	4,085	+1,103	Yes	-$19	05-30 12:03
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	226	$4.4K	6,123	4,534	+1,589	Yes	+$10	06-15 01:36
Trump renames AI by September 30?	269	$3.8K	4,431	3,000	+1,431	Yes	-$112	09-29 20:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	227	$3.5K	3,954	2,506	+1,448	No	-$17	07-11 22:11
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	261	$3.4K	4,114	2,986	+1,128	No	+$1	05-29 18:09
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	225	$3.2K	3,450	2,481	+968	open	—	10-23 20:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	244	$3.1K	3,839	2,490	+1,348	No	-$73	05-29 18:40
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	129	$3.1K	2,662	1,884	+778	Yes	-$51	07-01 19:28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	221	$3.0K	3,467	2,280	+1,188	No	-$9	06-01 21:37
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	142	$2.8K	3,153	2,085	+1,068	open	—	10-25 23:43
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	229	$2.7K	3,764	1,753	+2,010	No	+$4	07-28 06:06
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	293	$2.7K	3,771	2,941	+830	No	+$17	05-30 00:17
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	259	$2.6K	3,020	2,065	+955	No	-$14	05-18 15:04
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	137	$2.5K	3,556	1,891	+1,665	Yes	-$6	06-14 20:48
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	245	$2.5K	3,166	1,696	+1,470	Yes	-$60	05-30 23:21
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	280	$2.5K	3,296	1,788	+1,507	Yes	-$17	05-19 11:16
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	282	$2.3K	2,402	1,662	+740	No	-$5	06-11 21:45
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	166	$2.1K	2,776	1,422	+1,354	Yes	+$4	06-14 19:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	190	$2.1K	2,634	2,194	+440	No	-$23	05-25 15:23
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	175	$2.0K	1,938	1,546	+392	open	—	09-25 20:20
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	196	$2.0K	2,370	1,600	+771	No	-$32	05-18 07:44
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	147	$1.9K	2,660	1,220	+1,440	No	-$33	07-03 19:32
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	204	$1.9K	1,865	1,133	+732	Yes	-$18	06-20 08:25
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	221	$1.9K	2,204	1,205	+999	No	-$2	08-27 16:07
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	67	$1.9K	1,701	1,208	+493	open	—	10-23 19:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 13:28:27	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x584e8e…
10-27 13:28:27	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	54¢	$0	0x3bcf75…
10-27 13:26:11	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0xee36c9…
10-27 13:22:14	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x596adf…
10-27 13:12:45	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Bibi	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x840a5a…
10-27 13:10:36	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0xfdb1f0…
10-27 13:10:36	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0xc73c77…
10-27 12:54:53	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0xe9f607…
10-27 12:35:51	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x592d2a…
10-27 12:10:17	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	75¢	$16	0x51f906…
10-27 11:53:18	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	37¢	$3	0x952247…
10-27 11:49:21	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Bibi	SELL	6	44¢	$3	0xa06eb8…
10-27 11:12:29	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	29¢	$3	0x236ff8…
10-27 11:07:08	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?	No	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x7a277d…
10-27 10:49:03	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	Yes	SELL	6	41¢	$2	0x9e0353…
10-27 10:24:23	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	51¢	$0	0xf95bd0…
10-27 10:24:21	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x114f15…
10-27 10:21:38	Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xcb78a2…
10-27 09:22:06	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x44cd38…
10-27 09:21:59	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	41¢	$3	0x13e4cf…
10-27 09:19:59	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xfe5155…
10-27 09:16:26	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x5f6268…
10-27 09:14:08	Will GTA VI break the 24-hour sales record?	Yes	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x4ad298…
10-27 09:03:35	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	27¢	$1	0x082e07…
10-27 08:39:00	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	SELL	33	43¢	$14	0x65d9ed…
10-27 08:37:53	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	SELL	9	52¢	$5	0x24fefb…
10-27 08:37:42	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Bibi	SELL	13	49¢	$6	0x7ded9b…
10-27 08:37:42	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Opp.	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x7ded9b…
10-27 08:36:36	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Bibi	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x6487fb…
10-27 08:26:15	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	9	28¢	$3	0xf14979…
10-27 08:26:15	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x3c2965…
10-27 08:22:54	Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	13	64¢	$8	0x4f9001…
10-27 08:22:54	Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0x35f406…
10-27 08:18:44	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Bibi	BUY	25	47¢	$12	0x621917…
10-27 08:09:12	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	Yes	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0xb363aa…
10-27 07:58:45	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	7	83¢	$6	0x0377e7…
10-27 07:54:33	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	27¢	$3	0x299131…
10-27 07:53:29	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	BUY	109	45¢	$49	0xc53f6f…
10-27 07:27:29	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0xd7e0f6…
10-27 07:15:44	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0xc5a334…
10-27 07:01:41	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	SELL	7	87¢	$6	0x685cb9…
10-27 06:46:24	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Bibi	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x6a4c76…
10-27 06:43:05	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Opp.	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x0bf47a…
10-27 06:41:51	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0x05b7f5…
10-27 06:41:51	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0x05b7f5…
10-27 06:35:42	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	SELL	7	86¢	$6	0x0645ed…
10-27 06:32:53	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	BUY	29	61¢	$18	0xe385c7…
10-27 06:27:41	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0x79aebf…
10-27 06:24:41	Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x9877ca…
10-27 06:23:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	SELL	4	34¢	$2	0xda2a54…
10-27 06:23:20	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0xb082e8…
10-27 06:22:02	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x2157fb…
10-27 06:11:38	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xc84c43…
10-27 05:43:47	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xfbfb97…
10-27 05:43:23	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0x20c168…
10-27 05:42:57	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x235be9…
10-27 05:29:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xc9516b…
10-27 05:23:21	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0xf54fc3…
10-27 05:18:45	Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?	Yes	SELL	25	11¢	$3	0x65c244…
10-27 05:09:21	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x8a43bd…
10-27 05:06:56	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0xd58fc9…
10-27 04:59:33	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0x88afb1…
10-27 04:23:21	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x55fe77…
10-27 04:20:45	Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	81¢	$9	0xafcb04…
10-27 04:20:09	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	101	51¢	$52	0xbfb28c…
10-27 04:17:08	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Bibi	SELL	13	51¢	$7	0x7c755f…
10-27 04:17:08	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Opp.	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x7c755f…
10-27 04:08:51	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	41	47¢	$19	0x6dd967…
10-27 04:08:50	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	9	36¢	$3	0x8d7bac…
10-27 04:07:47	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0xf6aaf5…
10-27 04:06:29	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x69d765…
10-27 04:06:29	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	4	46¢	$2	0x611ac7…
10-27 04:06:06	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x2271db…
10-27 04:06:05	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	SELL	10	66¢	$6	0x1ce0a5…
10-27 04:04:59	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	7	55¢	$4	0x716aea…
10-27 04:04:47	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	17	54¢	$9	0xb5c73d…
10-27 04:00:51	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x1e795c…
10-27 03:58:06	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xcc4ef3…
10-27 03:56:23	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x55853f…
10-27 03:55:47	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	21	54¢	$11	0x036c06…
10-27 03:49:59	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x4178fb…
10-27 03:47:23	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x20fa95…
10-27 03:46:45	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x465994…
10-27 03:45:56	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	26	53¢	$14	0x1d89a3…
10-27 03:23:23	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x4417ab…
10-27 03:13:36	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x0483cd…
10-27 03:13:35	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xf68df8…
10-27 03:13:35	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xedcec5…
10-27 03:13:35	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x6e7967…
10-27 03:13:35	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x4c3b55…
10-27 03:10:29	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	42	52¢	$22	0xf956aa…
10-27 03:07:29	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Bibi	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x70997e…
10-27 02:56:12	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xf57625…
10-27 02:38:33	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x156d3b…
10-27 02:25:03	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x44f092…
10-27 02:13:06	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x9a52fc…
10-27 02:09:42	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	44¢	$3	0x796e0f…
10-27 01:56:21	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x3645ff…
10-27 01:44:38	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	9	28¢	$2	0x17a2ff…
10-27 01:37:21	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	13	66¢	$8	0xf119fe…