Realized P&L
-$82
Unrealized P&L
+$16
Hit rate
73.3%
Resolved
15
Trades
4,429
lifetime
Volume
$173.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$39
Open exposure
$290
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 07-20 21:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
63% 55% $-88
Politics
31% 50% +$7
Tech
4%
Sports
2%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 124 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +400 $92 20¢ $78 $-14 07-08 21:08
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? No +925 $63 $69 +$7 07-06 17:36
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? No +62 $44 75¢ $46 +$2 07-17 19:03
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026? No +113 $59 37¢ $42 $-17 07-13 19:10
Weed rescheduled by December 31? Yes +110 $28 19¢ $21 $-7 06-23 22:40
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes -99 $-74 18¢ $-17 +$57 05-30 14:09
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -21 $-15 76¢ $-16 $-1 06-25 21:17
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No -90 $11 $-0 $-11 06-19 22:33