Realized P&L
-$82
Unrealized P&L
+$1.05K
Hit rate
73.3%
Resolved
15
Trades
3,335
lifetime
Volume
$116.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$35
Open exposure
$687
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 06-30 11:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
51% 55% $-88
Politics
45% 50% +$7
Tech
3%
Sports
1%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 124 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +500 $368 75¢ $375 +$7 06-27 16:06
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? No +100 $84 100¢ $100 +$16 06-29 17:22
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? No +568 $44 10¢ $57 +$13 06-22 02:31
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +210 $52 23¢ $48 $-4 06-26 01:19
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -25 $-538 100¢ $-25 +$513 06-24 23:11
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes -99 $-74 25¢ $-25 +$50 05-30 14:09
Weed rescheduled by December 31? Yes +110 $28 22¢ $24 $-4 06-23 22:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +3,578 $-484 $16 +$500 06-28 21:58
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -21 $-15 72¢ $-15 $-0 06-25 21:17
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? Yes +130 $35 $2 $-34 06-24 18:01
Weed rescheduled by June 30? Yes -22 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-29 10:18
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No -90 $11 $-0 $-11 06-19 22:33