Realized P&L
-$82
Unrealized P&L
-$88
Hit rate
73.3%
Resolved
15
Trades
2,136
lifetime
Volume
$56.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$26
Open exposure
$503
6 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 06-10 00:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
49% 55% $-88
Politics
46% 50% +$7
Sports
2%
Tech
2%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No -400 $-236 80¢ $-322 $-86 06-09 14:26
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes -99 $-74 76¢ $-76 $-1 05-30 14:09
Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Exam? No +70 $63 80¢ $57 $-7 06-05 20:27
Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam? No +63 $33 60¢ $38 +$5 06-09 06:15
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? No +100 $9 10¢ $10 +$0 05-27 21:38
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 05-28 01:32