Realized P&L
-$44
Unrealized P&L
+$35
Hit rate
1.2%
Resolved
3
Trades
14
lifetime
Volume
$473
lifetime
Avg / trade
$34
Open exposure
$396
8 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-14 00:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
53%
Other
47% 33% $-44
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran closes its airspace by May 15? No +140 $132 97¢ $136 +$4 05-11 14:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? No +100 $84 99¢ $99 +$15 05-10 08:23
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? No +258 $75 26¢ $66 $-9 05-13 10:27
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? Yes -490 $-58 $-33 +$26 05-12 05:56
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? Yes -110 $-25 28¢ $-30 $-5 05-13 05:48
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -73 $-26 21¢ $-15 +$10 05-06 20:06
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +14 $8 64¢ $9 +$0 05-07 06:53
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? No +40 $15 20¢ $8 $-7 05-09 03:24