Realized P&L
+$64.2K
Unrealized P&L
+$10.7K
Hit rate
75.3%
Resolved
1,553
Trades
53,300
lifetime
Volume
$13.4M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$251
Open exposure
$93.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 07:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 257 days
Categories
Politics
70%
74%
+$37,209
Other
25%
57%
+$19,582
Crypto
2%
46%
+$5,536
Tech
1%
67%
+$1,315
Sports
1%
74%
+$774
Pop-Culture
0%
52%
-$250
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk
• peak 757 trades/day
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 797 | $347.3K | 414,735 | 331,815 | +82,920 | Yes | +$4,869 | 10-26 01:54 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | 992 | $339.7K | 316,300 | 301,876 | +14,424 | Yes | +$6,030 | 06-17 22:27 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | 666 | $335.2K | 379,600 | 379,073 | +527 | open | — | 10-27 00:14 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | 1,158 | $295.8K | 459,717 | 379,754 | +79,962 | No | -$11,700 | 05-28 15:29 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | 329 | $295.4K | 178,487 | 161,505 | +16,982 | Yes | +$489 | 10-25 23:39 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | 702 | $284.8K | 313,110 | 289,971 | +23,140 | open | — | 10-27 05:06 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | 329 | $274.4K | 158,386 | 142,196 | +16,190 | Yes | +$686 | 09-21 06:37 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 458 | $253.4K | 232,865 | 231,540 | +1,325 | No | -$408 | 10-24 22:25 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 854 | $248.1K | 234,987 | 223,761 | +11,227 | Yes | +$171 | 04-08 00:34 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | 571 | $238.9K | 215,904 | 188,691 | +27,213 | open | — | 10-27 00:13 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | 459 | $238.1K | 246,472 | 225,944 | +20,528 | open | — | 10-26 17:18 |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31? | 288 | $184.8K | 102,335 | 102,335 | +0 | No | +$598 | 08-30 19:27 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28 | 390 | $182.7K | 156,381 | 147,723 | +8,657 | Yes | +$2,073 | 03-01 01:44 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | 539 | $178.8K | 182,940 | 178,058 | +4,882 | No | +$1,419 | 09-16 17:48 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | 470 | $173.0K | 221,476 | 149,623 | +71,853 | No | +$4,166 | 06-04 00:35 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | 946 | $169.7K | 135,384 | 135,195 | +189 | open | — | 10-26 04:22 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? | 198 | $148.7K | 99,946 | 94,472 | +5,474 | open | — | 10-26 01:31 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | 440 | $138.0K | 109,544 | 104,128 | +5,417 | Yes | +$72 | 09-16 17:45 |
| Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | 410 | $130.5K | 109,966 | 109,966 | +0 | Yes | +$355 | 10-26 03:16 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | 368 | $129.1K | 138,656 | 138,416 | +240 | open | — | 10-03 03:33 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 7 | 302 | $128.3K | 98,135 | 94,639 | +3,496 | Yes | +$1,938 | 04-09 02:57 |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | 323 | $127.1K | 76,707 | 62,326 | +14,381 | No | +$684 | 06-24 13:15 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | 362 | $124.8K | 122,309 | 116,309 | +6,000 | No | +$772 | 08-21 20:55 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? | 97 | $122.7K | 92,211 | 87,725 | +4,486 | Yes | -$294 | 10-12 19:49 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | 357 | $117.2K | 133,052 | 120,575 | +12,477 | No | -$3,148 | 05-25 12:54 |
| us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519 | 422 | $102.2K | 98,586 | 92,680 | +5,906 | No | +$1,966 | 04-01 14:00 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | 242 | $101.2K | 59,607 | 59,407 | +200 | No | +$974 | 06-19 04:00 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | 80 | $98.3K | 85,142 | 75,142 | +10,000 | open | — | 10-23 23:54 |
| US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? | 147 | $98.1K | 132,185 | 128,911 | +3,274 | open | — | 10-27 07:25 |
| us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026 | 481 | $97.2K | 151,029 | 139,739 | +11,290 | No | -$51 | 04-21 16:10 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||