Realized P&L
+$64.2K
Unrealized P&L
+$10.7K
Hit rate
75.3%
Resolved
1,553
Trades
53,300
lifetime
Volume
$13.4M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$251
Open exposure
$93.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 07:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 257 days
Categories
Politics
70% 74% +$37,209
Other
25% 57% +$19,582
Crypto
2% 46% +$5,536
Tech
1% 67% +$1,315
Sports
1% 74% +$774
Pop-Culture
0% 52% -$250
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 757 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
will indiana enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2027 No +14,936 $11,634 84¢ $12.5K +$837 10-26 17:17
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +14,673 $8,696 72¢ $10.5K +$1,795 10-27 00:13
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +10,064 $9,345 96¢ $9.7K +$367 10-27 08:19
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +10,264 $9,024 94¢ $9.6K +$573 10-26 16:36
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +10,336 $8,968 92¢ $9.6K +$592 10-26 20:55
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? No +8,136 $7,617 99¢ $8.1K +$458 10-22 14:53
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +7,634 $4,980 64¢ $4.9K -$105 10-27 05:12
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +6,402 $4,049 70¢ $4.5K +$433 10-27 08:16
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +6,188 $4,300 70¢ $4.4K +$63 10-27 06:59
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +12,540 $3,441 29¢ $3.6K +$133 10-26 16:55
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? Yes +2,737 $875 100¢ $2.7K +$1,862 10-26 01:31
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +2,000 $921 96¢ $1.9K +$1,009 10-24 20:16
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +4,848 $1,311 29¢ $1.4K +$71 10-27 04:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +10,000 $1,724 12¢ $1.2K -$574 10-23 23:54
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? No +1,147 $532 90¢ $1.0K +$495 10-22 08:14
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,500 $990 66¢ $997 +$8 10-24 00:23
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +12,804 $3,302 8¢ $960 -$2,341 10-27 05:06
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +1,200 $187 72¢ $858 +$671 10-10 11:38
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +10,264 $10,681 6¢ $667 -$10,014 10-26 17:18
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +994 $651 65¢ $650 -$2 10-25 23:30
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +1,000 $346 61¢ $610 +$264 10-19 17:23
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? No +542 $550 98¢ $534 -$15 10-26 20:23
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +543 $166 94¢ $507 +$341 10-23 23:54
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +682 $506 72¢ $488 -$19 10-27 01:15
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? No +3,274 -$1,047 12¢ $409 +$1,456 10-27 07:25
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +1,000 $538 39¢ $390 -$148 10-16 20:45
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,200 $314 29¢ $342 +$28 09-13 21:34
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? No +361 $85 84¢ $302 +$216 10-12 08:29
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +294 $92 98¢ $289 +$197 10-24 01:49
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +263 -$11,819 94¢ $248 +$12,066 10-26 14:47