Realized P&L (30d)
Unrealized P&L
-$17
Hit rate
Resolved (30d)
0
Trades (30d)
8
8 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$1.79K
$1.79K lifetime
Avg / trade
$223
Open exposure
$1.72K
7 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-06 12:52
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
64%
Other
36%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026? No +1,018 $580 74¢ $748 +$168 05-05 18:42
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? Yes +829 $423 52¢ $427 +$4 05-06 12:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +824 $363 46¢ $383 +$21 05-06 12:17
Iran closes its airspace by May 8? Yes +2,000 $360 $96 $-264 05-05 16:02
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? Yes +2,880 $-12 $50 +$62 05-06 00:29
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? Yes +565 $25 $16 $-9 05-05 20:39
Iran closes its airspace by May 15? Yes -4 $-1 15¢ $-1 +$1 05-05 17:37