Realized P&L
-$15.6K
Unrealized P&L
+$137
Hit rate
74.9%
Resolved
168
Trades
3,594
lifetime
Volume
$1.43M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$399
Open exposure
$1.55K
6 positions
First seen
2026-01-20
last 06-20 05:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 66 days
Categories
Politics
86%
64%
-$18,522
Other
14%
60%
+$3,131
Crypto
0%
67%
-$97
Sports
0%
0%
-$98
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-20).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | -1,000 | -$820 | 94¢ | $-945 | -$125 | 05-25 23:14 | |
| Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | No | -416 | -$349 | 85¢ | $-354 | -$5 | 05-26 12:10 | |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | -100 | -$94 | 97¢ | $-97 | -$4 | 05-14 06:53 | |
| Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | No | -100 | -$88 | 93¢ | $-93 | -$5 | 05-26 12:11 | |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | -62 | -$53 | 97¢ | $-60 | -$7 | 05-26 12:14 | |
| Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | No | -350 | -$289 | 2¢ | $-6 | +$283 | 05-28 12:13 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| us x iran ceasefire by april 7 | 126 | $151.1K | 89,998 | 89,998 | +0 | Yes | +$3,711 | 04-09 07:30 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | 82 | $73.5K | 45,069 | 45,512 | -443 | Yes | -$492 | 05-09 19:09 |
| us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895 | 40 | $62.9K | 33,118 | 32,259 | +859 | No | -$366 | 04-13 06:54 |
| will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365 | 80 | $55.1K | 37,790 | 24,710 | +13,080 | No | +$46 | 04-22 06:15 |
| trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659 | 20 | $45.4K | 33,324 | 13,189 | +20,135 | No | +$387 | 04-08 06:16 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | 4 | $42.9K | 21,689 | 21,689 | +0 | Yes | +$402 | 05-25 15:37 |
| Clavicular pregnancy in 2026? | 169 | $39.9K | 41,175 | 1,349 | +39,826 | Yes | +$1,417 | 04-30 20:57 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346 | 118 | $39.5K | 24,187 | 24,786 | -598 | Yes | -$1,066 | 04-21 11:13 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? | 46 | $39.2K | 29,286 | 11,199 | +18,087 | No | +$284 | 05-22 22:37 |
| israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026 | 123 | $38.8K | 35,645 | 13,552 | +22,093 | No | +$98 | 04-16 03:49 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026? | 258 | $35.6K | 33,749 | 14,155 | +19,594 | No | +$1,366 | 04-22 13:47 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25? | 88 | $32.3K | 31,540 | 1,900 | +29,640 | No | -$29,685 | 05-25 22:59 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? | 20 | $31.8K | 29,988 | 2,123 | +27,865 | No | +$22 | 05-23 03:22 |
| israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026 | 31 | $28.5K | 24,633 | 4,633 | +20,000 | Yes | +$768 | 04-20 20:36 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | 40 | $28.2K | 62,669 | 43,371 | +19,298 | No | -$2,889 | 05-26 15:09 |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? | 65 | $25.9K | 22,921 | 4,185 | +18,736 | Yes | -$64 | 04-11 17:20 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27? | 16 | $25.7K | 20,619 | 5,823 | +14,797 | No | +$452 | 05-27 22:37 |
| will the iranian regime fall by march 31 | 11 | $25.0K | 12,865 | 12,865 | +0 | No | +$691 | 03-31 01:06 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25? | 16 | $24.5K | 19,483 | 5,807 | +13,676 | No | +$635 | 05-25 23:45 |
| will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165 | 4 | $23.4K | 11,731 | 11,731 | +0 | No | +$84 | 04-05 02:22 |
| trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677 | 29 | $21.5K | 14,226 | 9,096 | +5,130 | No | +$157 | 04-15 20:15 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24? | 47 | $21.2K | 17,370 | 7,637 | +9,733 | No | +$521 | 05-25 05:13 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | 14 | $20.6K | 10,521 | 10,521 | +0 | No | +$311 | 05-23 03:49 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982 | 61 | $20.0K | 13,006 | 13,256 | -250 | Yes | -$2,076 | 04-21 05:38 |
| trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st | 19 | $20.0K | 10,231 | 10,231 | +0 | No | +$454 | 04-22 03:28 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | 8 | $19.7K | 15,250 | 5,010 | +10,239 | No | +$544 | 05-15 21:08 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | 44 | $17.2K | 8,811 | 8,811 | +0 | No | +$241 | 04-29 18:22 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23? | 46 | $15.1K | 15,321 | 0 | +15,321 | Yes | +$234 | 05-24 03:36 |
| trump announces hormuz deadline extension today | 27 | $15.1K | 16,597 | 200 | +16,397 | Yes | +$1,575 | 04-07 23:33 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 15? | 40 | $14.7K | 14,506 | 1,518 | +12,988 | No | +$831 | 05-14 23:20 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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