Realized P&L (30d)
-$385
Unrealized P&L
+$441
Hit rate
0.5%
Resolved (30d)
2
Trades (30d)
18
18 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$14.2K
$14.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$789
Open exposure
$13.8K
9 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-14 07:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
70% 50% $-385
Other
30%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? No +5,244 $5,000 100¢ $5.2K +$220 05-10 23:38
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? No -3,500 $-3,465 99¢ $-3463 +$2 05-14 06:54
Iran closes its airspace by May 15? No +2,569 $2,502 96¢ $2.5K $-31 05-14 04:36
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? No +2,229 $1,538 72¢ $1.6K +$78 05-10 23:06
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? No +568 $540 100¢ $566 +$26 05-10 23:21
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +300 $252 84¢ $254 +$2 05-14 07:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -614 $-356 32¢ $-193 +$163 05-07 16:37
Epstein suicide note released by May 31? No +31 $15 92¢ $29 +$14 05-08 17:02
Epstein suicide note released by May 8? Yes -453 $32 $-0 $-32 05-08 17:07