(anonymous) 0xaf0546…8a33e2 Create alert
bot 24W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
+$37
Unrealized P&L
+$9
Hit rate
88.9%
Resolved (30d)
524
Trades (30d)
7,757
22,771 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$27.9K
$87.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$371
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-18
last 11-05 07:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 108 days
Categories
Other
58% 83% +$101
Politics
28% 78% +$6
Crypto
8% 69% -$9
Tech
4% 71% -$5
Sports
1% 92% +$17
Pop-Culture
1% 75% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 686 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? No +66 $64 96¢ $63 -$1 09-06 04:12
Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +25 $20 78¢ $19 -$1 10-29 10:02
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31? No +19 $17 95¢ $18 +$1 10-10 12:56
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.0T? No +19 $16 86¢ $16 +$0 10-24 15:03
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? No +15 $13 98¢ $15 +$1 10-25 22:39
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T? No +15 $12 81¢ $12 +$0 10-27 01:56
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? No +15 $10 76¢ $11 +$2 10-25 14:29
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? No +15 $12 75¢ $11 $0 10-28 20:51
Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +15 $11 76¢ $11 $0 10-17 02:06
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? No +20 $8 54¢ $11 +$2 10-29 15:54
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? No +15 $11 70¢ $11 $0 10-28 20:27
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027? No +11 $9 95¢ $10 +$2 09-23 11:39
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +20 $10 52¢ $10 +$0 10-31 20:36
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? No +11 $10 92¢ $10 +$0 11-04 09:18
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T? No +13 $11 81¢ $10 -$1 10-08 08:14
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +15 $9 66¢ $10 +$1 10-28 22:42
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? No +20 $14 49¢ $10 -$4 11-02 23:08
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? No +10 $8 98¢ $10 +$2 10-26 19:15
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027? No +10 $8 92¢ $9 +$1 09-19 12:33
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? No +10 $9 90¢ $9 +$0 10-13 15:10
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? Yes +10 $8 88¢ $9 +$1 10-31 08:58
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? No +10 $9 88¢ $9 +$0 09-30 23:41
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +10 $9 85¢ $9 -$1 10-08 06:20
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? No +10 $9 84¢ $8 $0 10-25 13:10
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? Yes +10 $8 82¢ $8 $0 10-23 05:26
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? Yes +10 $8 81¢ $8 +$0 10-27 07:41
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +10 $5 81¢ $8 +$3 10-27 16:10
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? Yes +10 $8 81¢ $8 $0 10-27 00:25
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +10 $8 80¢ $8 $0 10-28 20:25
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? No +10 $8 78¢ $8 $0 11-04 08:36