(anonymous) 0xaf0546…8a33e2 Create alert
bot 24W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$54
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
87.4%
Resolved
1,274
Trades
23,010
lifetime
Volume
$88.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$393
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-18
last 11-10 19:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 113 days
Categories
Other
58% 83% +$57
Politics
28% 78% -$7
Crypto
8% 69% -$9
Tech
4% 71% -$3
Sports
1% 93% +$18
Pop-Culture
1% 75% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 686 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? No +66 $64 98¢ $65 +$1 09-06 04:12
Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +25 $20 82¢ $20 +$0 10-29 10:02
Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections? Yes +20 $17 86¢ $17 +$0 10-21 19:46
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31? No +16 $14 96¢ $15 +$1 11-06 09:46
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? No +15 $13 97¢ $15 +$1 10-25 22:39
Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond? No +15 $14 90¢ $13 -$1 10-22 14:32
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +15 $13 90¢ $13 +$1 10-26 00:19
Will Kraken be first to list tokenized stocks in the US? No +15 $14 83¢ $12 -$2 10-24 19:02
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? No +15 $10 80¢ $12 +$2 10-25 14:29
Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards? No +14 $11 85¢ $12 +$0 11-09 23:23
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? No +15 $12 77¢ $12 $0 10-28 20:51
Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +15 $11 78¢ $12 +$0 10-17 02:06
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? No +15 $11 75¢ $11 +$0 10-28 20:27
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +15 $11 74¢ $11 +$0 10-25 22:40
Will October be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026? Yes +15 $14 72¢ $11 -$3 10-29 14:13
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027? No +11 $9 94¢ $10 +$2 09-23 11:39
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T? No +13 $11 82¢ $10 -$1 10-08 08:14
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T? No +15 $12 68¢ $10 -$2 10-27 01:56
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027? No +15 $11 68¢ $10 -$1 10-25 10:57
Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +15 $11 66¢ $10 -$1 09-15 13:58
Papertrade FDV above $75M one day after launch? Yes +25 $13 40¢ $10 -$3 10-21 19:26
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? No +10 $8 98¢ $10 +$2 10-26 19:15
Makina FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +10 $9 95¢ $9 +$0 10-23 06:52
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? No +15 $14 61¢ $9 -$5 10-20 16:18
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? No +10 $6 90¢ $9 +$3 11-02 10:09
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? No +10 $9 90¢ $9 +$0 09-30 23:41
Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +10 $9 89¢ $9 +$0 11-02 17:07
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? No +10 $9 87¢ $9 $0 10-13 15:10
Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026? No +10 $9 87¢ $9 $0 10-31 06:33
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027? No +10 $6 89¢ $9 +$3 10-18 10:04