(anonymous) 0xaf0546…8a33e2 Create alert
bot 24W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$44
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
87.4%
Resolved
1,310
Trades
23,078
lifetime
Volume
$88.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$391
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-18
last 11-13 09:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 116 days
Categories
Other
58% 83% +$50
Politics
28% 78% -$18
Crypto
8% 73% -$3
Tech
4% 72% -$2
Sports
1% 93% +$18
Pop-Culture
1% 75% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 686 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? No +66 $64 97¢ $64 +$0 09-06 04:12
Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +25 $20 80¢ $20 $0 10-29 10:02
Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections? Yes +20 $17 90¢ $18 +$1 10-21 19:46
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? No +15 $13 97¢ $15 +$1 10-25 22:39
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31? No +15 $14 97¢ $15 +$1 11-12 14:01
Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond? No +15 $14 97¢ $14 +$0 10-22 14:32
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +15 $13 92¢ $14 +$1 10-26 00:19
Will Kraken be first to list tokenized stocks in the US? No +15 $14 82¢ $12 -$2 10-24 19:02
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? No +15 $10 81¢ $12 +$2 10-25 14:29
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T? No +15 $12 80¢ $12 +$0 10-27 01:56
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? No +15 $11 76¢ $11 +$1 10-28 20:27
Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +15 $11 76¢ $11 $0 10-17 02:06
Will October be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026? Yes +15 $14 74¢ $11 -$3 10-29 14:13
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027? No +15 $11 74¢ $11 $0 10-25 10:57
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? No +15 $12 70¢ $11 -$1 10-28 20:51
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T? No +13 $11 83¢ $11 -$1 10-08 08:14
Papertrade FDV above $75M one day after launch? Yes +25 $13 42¢ $10 -$2 10-21 19:26
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027? No +11 $9 91¢ $10 +$1 09-23 11:39
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +15 $11 67¢ $10 -$1 10-25 22:40
Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +15 $11 66¢ $10 -$1 09-15 13:58
Makina FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +10 $9 95¢ $9 +$0 10-23 06:52
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +15 $9 61¢ $9 +$1 10-28 20:23
Spain General Election: PP + Vox get 50%+ of Vote? No +15 $8 61¢ $9 +$1 11-02 23:42
Will "Wildwood" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards? No +10 $9 89¢ $9 $0 10-30 07:41
Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +10 $9 89¢ $9 +$0 11-02 17:07
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +10 $9 87¢ $9 $0 10-08 06:20
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? No +10 $9 86¢ $9 $0 10-13 15:10
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? No +15 $14 57¢ $9 -$5 10-20 16:18
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027? No +10 $6 88¢ $8 +$2 10-18 10:04
Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? No +10 $9 84¢ $8 $0 10-22 13:51