Realized P&L (90d)
-$0
Unrealized P&L
+$13
Hit rate
86.8%
Resolved (90d)
812
Trades (90d)
13,484
21,953 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$49.0K
$83.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$414
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-18
last 11-05 22:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 108 days
Categories
Other
58% 83% +$75
Politics
28% 78% +$7
Crypto
8% 69% -$9
Tech
4% 71% -$5
Sports
1% 92% +$17
Pop-Culture
1% 75% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 686 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? No +66 $64 96¢ $64 $0 09-06 04:12
Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +25 $20 78¢ $19 -$1 10-29 10:02
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31? No +19 $17 95¢ $18 +$1 10-10 12:56
Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections? Yes — +20 $17 88¢ $18 +$1 10-21 19:46
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.0T? No +19 $16 86¢ $16 +$0 10-24 15:03
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? No +15 $13 98¢ $15 +$1 10-25 22:39
Will October be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026? Yes — +15 $14 90¢ $13 $0 10-29 14:13
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +15 $13 90¢ $13 +$1 10-26 00:19
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? No +20 $8 66¢ $13 +$5 10-29 15:54
Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond? No +15 $14 87¢ $13 -$1 10-22 14:32
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? No +15 $14 84¢ $13 -$1 10-20 16:18
Will Taylor Swift be the second most streamed artist for 2026? No +15 $13 84¢ $13 $0 10-29 20:04
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? No +15 $10 82¢ $12 +$2 10-25 14:29
Another GTA VI trailer released by November 30? No +15 $13 82¢ $12 $0 10-24 00:03
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T? No +15 $12 81¢ $12 +$0 10-27 01:56
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +20 $10 58¢ $12 +$2 10-31 20:36
Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +15 $11 76¢ $11 +$0 10-17 02:06
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? No +15 $12 72¢ $11 -$1 10-28 20:51
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? No +20 $14 53¢ $11 -$3 11-02 23:08
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027? No +11 $9 95¢ $10 +$2 09-23 11:39
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T? No +13 $11 83¢ $10 -$1 10-08 08:14
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? No +15 $11 69¢ $10 $0 10-28 20:27
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? No +11 $10 92¢ $10 +$0 11-04 09:18
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? No +10 $8 98¢ $10 +$2 10-26 19:15
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +15 $9 65¢ $10 +$1 10-28 22:42
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027? No +10 $8 92¢ $9 +$1 09-19 12:33
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? No +10 $9 90¢ $9 +$0 10-13 15:10
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027? Yes +15 $6 59¢ $9 +$3 10-22 10:57
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? No +10 $9 88¢ $9 +$0 09-30 23:41
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? Yes +10 $8 88¢ $9 +$0 10-31 08:58