Realized P&L (7d)
+$99
Unrealized P&L
+$26
Hit rate
91.4%
Resolved (7d)
145
Trades (7d)
2,601
22,226 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$9.22K
$85.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$412
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-18
last 11-02 21:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 105 days
Categories
Other
58% 81% +$137
Politics
28% 76% +$23
Crypto
8% 69% -$9
Tech
4% 71% -$5
Sports
1% 92% +$17
Pop-Culture
1% 67% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 686 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? No +66 $64 95¢ $63 -$1 09-06 04:12
Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +25 $20 80¢ $20 $0 10-29 10:02
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31? No +19 $17 94¢ $17 +$0 10-10 12:56
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.0T? No +19 $16 86¢ $16 +$0 10-24 15:03
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? No +15 $13 96¢ $14 +$1 10-25 22:39
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? No +15 $14 92¢ $14 +$0 10-20 18:34
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? No +15 $13 92¢ $14 +$1 10-24 12:40
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? No +15 $13 88¢ $13 +$0 10-26 09:35
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +15 $11 88¢ $13 +$3 10-22 04:45
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? No +15 $11 87¢ $13 +$2 10-29 17:54
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No +15 $13 84¢ $13 $0 10-29 17:42
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? No +15 $10 84¢ $13 +$3 10-25 14:29
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +20 $10 62¢ $12 +$3 10-31 20:36
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +20 $14 61¢ $12 -$2 10-20 18:40
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T? No +15 $12 80¢ $12 $0 10-27 01:56
Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +15 $11 78¢ $12 +$0 10-17 02:06
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? No +15 $12 76¢ $11 -$1 10-18 07:11
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? No +15 $11 76¢ $11 +$1 10-28 20:27
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? No +20 $8 56¢ $11 +$3 10-29 15:54
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? No +15 $12 73¢ $11 -$1 10-28 20:51
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T? No +13 $11 79¢ $10 -$1 10-08 08:14
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat? No +15 $11 66¢ $10 -$1 10-22 10:03
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat? No +15 $10 66¢ $10 $0 10-25 18:42
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? No +10 $8 97¢ $10 +$2 10-26 19:15
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +10 $9 96¢ $10 +$1 10-31 12:07
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? No +10 $9 95¢ $9 +$0 10-23 22:04
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +10 $7 95¢ $9 +$2 10-21 08:01
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? No +10 $2 94¢ $9 +$7 11-02 14:29
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement? No +15 $8 62¢ $9 +$1 10-31 18:52
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? No +10 $6 93¢ $9 +$3 10-24 06:28