Critical-Lox — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$596

Unrealized P&L

-$115

Hit rate

94.7%

Resolved

4,493

Trades

6,745

lifetime

Volume

$156.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

$986

1 position

First seen

2026-01-07

last 11-04 16:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 261 days

Categories

Other

95% 95% -$746

Politics

4% 88% +$164

Sports

1% 86% +$23

Crypto

0% 33% -$38

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No		-1,028	-$872	96¢	$-986	-$115	05-08 05:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	9	$1.3K	1,387	0	+1,387	Yes	+$53	02-07 22:30
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	5	$1.2K	1,214	0	+1,214	No	+$46	02-05 01:51
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	3	$1.1K	168	1,195	-1,028	open	—	05-08 05:01
us strikes iraq by march 7	4	$977	1,673	958	+714	Yes	-$353	03-08 21:22
Will Luis Javier Suárez score the most goals in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga season?	10	$700	704	0	+704	Yes	+$4	05-16 13:12
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?	3	$680	682	0	+682	Yes	+$2	06-14 18:31
us strikes iraq by february 28	11	$677	300,028	208	+299,820	Yes	-$313	03-05 14:12
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	5	$510	511	0	+511	Yes	+$1	06-23 17:52
will portugal record a medal at the 2026 winter olympics 886	2	$510	516	0	+516	No	+$6	02-12 14:19
will mamdani make nyc buses free by march 31	7	$500	459	52	+408	No	+$8	03-08 16:58
will portugal record a gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics 782	1	$500	505	0	+505	No	+$5	02-10 23:23
epl mac ful 2026 02 11 mac	1	$450	450	0	+450	Yes	+$0	02-11 21:04
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	4	$401	204	204	+0	No	+$1	03-11 22:23
will antnio jos seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	1	$400	437	0	+437	Yes	+$37	01-18 20:00
Will France win on 2026-07-18?	6	$395	402	0	+402	No	+$7	07-18 21:56
Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?	2	$300	325	0	+325	open	—	09-19 07:01
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$300	305	0	+305	No	+$5	07-11 12:17
Will Tom Brady announce a presidential run before 2027?	1	$250	285	0	+285	open	—	05-13 08:31
Will Lautaro Martinez be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Serie A season?	4	$250	254	0	+254	Yes	+$4	05-19 10:32
US strike on Mexico by January 31?	4	$246	131	131	+0	No	+$6	01-18 19:58
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	8	$209	1,504	88	+1,416	No	-$35	06-04 00:09
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	2	$201	102	102	+0	Yes	+$1	02-08 19:01
odds trump acquires greenland before 2027 hit 30 by march 31 645	2	$201	101	101	+0	No	+$1	03-11 22:23
will the price of bitcoin be less than 78000 on february 2	1	$200	202	0	+202	No	+$2	02-02 16:31
will trumps greenland tariffs go into effect for sweden by feburary 1	2	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	02-01 18:12
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	2	$194	100	100	+0	No	+$4	01-31 19:14
Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?	11	$173	112	93	+19	No	-$7	05-30 03:03
will trump say n word in february	2	$150	165	0	+165	No	+$15	02-10 22:29
highest temperature in chicago on march 24 2026 54 55f	3	$150	155	0	+155	No	+$5	03-24 22:04
will the us invade iran by march 31	4	$133	77	77	+0	No	+$3	03-27 19:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 16:29:30	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on November 5?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$1	0xeb6213…
11-04 14:43:58	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on November 5?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x840986…
11-04 14:43:49	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on November 5?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xa9dbf5…
11-04 14:36:06	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on November 5?	No	BUY	55	89¢	$49	0x79c364…
11-04 14:28:51	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on November 5?	No	BUY	48	77¢	$37	0xac66e1…
11-04 14:14:37	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on November 5?	No	BUY	17	77¢	$13	0xc0c9ca…
11-04 14:06:04	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on November 5?	No	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x2ca384…
11-04 13:24:37	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on November 4?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x5324c9…
11-04 12:32:13	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on November 4?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x58bdab…
11-04 12:01:57	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 65°F or below on November 4?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x65e10b…
11-04 11:40:15	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on November 4?	No	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x31c2cc…
11-04 10:57:16	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on November 4?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xfe535d…
11-04 10:04:43	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on November 4?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x7c5718…
11-04 09:59:06	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on November 4?	No	BUY	26	80¢	$21	0x63de29…
11-04 09:16:03	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on November 4?	No	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0xd55e41…
11-04 09:00:43	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on November 4?	No	BUY	0	80¢	$0	0xe68669…
11-04 00:18:28	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on November 4?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x45a347…
11-04 00:16:00	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on November 4?	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x5d6755…
11-03 23:16:07	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on November 4?	No	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x170c95…
11-03 22:33:10	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on November 4?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x35b5da…
11-03 21:04:04	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on November 4?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xbb9064…
11-03 19:18:40	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on November 4?	No	BUY	64	48¢	$31	0xfb58ce…
11-03 17:41:30	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on November 4?	No	BUY	105	48¢	$50	0x243b32…
11-03 17:28:22	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on November 4?	No	BUY	34	91¢	$31	0x65a7ed…
11-03 16:40:48	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on November 4?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xaa48b5…
11-03 15:11:37	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on November 4?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x671c8f…
11-03 15:09:45	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 65°F or below on November 3?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x0ba750…
11-03 14:49:39	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on November 4?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x8933fc…
11-03 14:49:37	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on November 4?	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x28bb04…
11-03 14:49:36	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on November 4?	No	BUY	14	48¢	$7	0x689530…
11-03 14:30:15	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on November 4?	No	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0x75e0b8…
11-03 14:30:03	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on November 4?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xb490ee…
11-03 14:13:15	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 4?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x21b624…
11-03 14:12:16	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on November 4?	No	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0xbe5db5…
11-03 14:10:51	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on November 4?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x99c6e7…
11-03 14:10:51	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on November 4?	No	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0x931e6e…
11-03 14:02:28	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on November 4?	No	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0xe5c400…
11-03 14:02:18	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on November 4?	No	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0xa5a59b…
11-03 14:01:31	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on November 4?	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x73ee80…
11-03 14:01:24	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on November 4?	No	BUY	67	68¢	$46	0x6035d8…
11-03 12:22:42	Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x39eae5…
11-03 09:20:27	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on November 3?	No	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0xfe97ef…
11-03 07:12:24	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on November 3?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$16	0x7eddd1…
11-03 06:51:04	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on November 3?	No	BUY	46	99¢	$45	0xf57152…
11-02 21:53:21	Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x4557fe…
11-02 21:25:21	Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xb0c630…
11-02 21:25:18	Will Sporting CP win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x96de17…
11-02 21:25:15	Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xd544b4…
11-02 18:33:00	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on November 2?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xa44243…
11-02 18:10:33	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on November 2?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x699942…
11-02 17:20:09	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on November 2?	No	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0x5b80cf…
11-02 17:18:51	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on November 2?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb2188b…
11-02 17:06:27	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on November 3?	No	BUY	25	83¢	$21	0xc8ddf7…
11-02 16:49:40	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on November 3?	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xfa9336…
11-02 16:01:04	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on November 3?	No	BUY	35	83¢	$29	0x90e186…
11-02 15:25:58	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on November 3?	No	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x8103f0…
11-02 15:01:22	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on November 3?	No	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0xa37d14…
11-02 15:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on November 3?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5454a5…
11-02 14:25:03	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on November 2?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xbb9247…
11-02 14:14:00	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on November 3?	No	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x873eaf…
11-02 14:07:25	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on November 3?	No	BUY	28	91¢	$25	0xdca046…
11-02 10:48:00	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C or higher on November 2?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x11cfa7…
11-02 10:36:31	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on November 2?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x1c69fc…
11-02 10:14:48	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on November 2?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x376221…
11-02 09:18:04	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on November 2?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x5f421b…
11-02 09:02:42	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on November 2?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x7328f0…
11-02 09:02:39	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on November 2?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x278640…
11-02 07:18:09	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on November 2?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x78227c…
11-02 05:23:10	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on November 2?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xff2297…
11-01 23:23:34	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on November 2?	No	BUY	26	84¢	$22	0x2bf0d0…
11-01 23:22:57	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on November 2?	No	BUY	33	84¢	$28	0x1e94c5…
11-01 22:12:25	Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	SELL	12	84¢	$10	0xfe1738…
11-01 18:55:48	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on November 2?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xf89c3d…
11-01 18:30:48	Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xa90714…
11-01 18:23:55	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on November 1?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x21ed83…
11-01 14:03:18	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on November 2?	No	BUY	43	94¢	$41	0xf3611f…
11-01 14:02:51	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on November 2?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x3d4d59…
11-01 12:19:04	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on November 1?	No	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0xceb807…
10-31 22:38:03	Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x47fcf4…
10-31 19:52:04	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 31?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xf0b0ee…
10-31 19:32:03	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on November 1?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6d4435…
10-31 19:32:03	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on November 1?	No	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0x19dcd3…
10-31 19:29:36	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on November 1?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$13	0x4caef8…
10-31 19:15:37	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 1?	No	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x48592c…
10-31 18:51:04	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 1?	No	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x50655f…
10-31 18:36:03	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 1?	No	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0xd5294e…
10-31 18:21:03	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 1?	No	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0xbfe8fe…
10-31 18:06:03	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 1?	No	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x180198…
10-31 17:58:31	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdc411d…
10-31 17:58:31	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 31?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x9279d5…
10-31 17:57:31	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdfa3b2…
10-31 17:57:31	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x652573…
10-31 17:56:31	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 31?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x4bd141…
10-31 17:55:49	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xed5590…
10-31 17:55:49	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 31?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x4293ff…
10-31 17:55:46	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 31?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x3590c2…
10-31 17:51:06	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 1?	No	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0xb17fd2…
10-31 17:46:43	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 1?	No	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x6751b9…
10-31 17:36:07	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 1?	No	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0xaee1b3…
10-31 17:13:58	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 31?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xd531be…