Will Elise Stefanik announce a presidential run before 2027?
open
Total volume
$244
$10 in 24h
Trades
68
Unique wallets
26
Liquidity
$7,248
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-03
last 07-27 02:10
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $0 | $27 | $27 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 8 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | $2 | $36 | $34 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 7 | $1 | $34 | $33 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $2 | $18 | $17 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $0 | $9 | $8 |
| Median | 2 | — | $11 | $11 |
| Below median | 8 | $0 | $54 | $54 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| unranked | 4 | $1 | $4 | $3 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 06-03 13:19 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-29 07:01 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-30 04:29 |
| Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | +3 | $0 | $3 | 8 | 07-23 21:27 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +2 | $2 | $15 | 3 | 07-27 02:10 |
| Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $1 | 2 | 07-07 04:06 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 02:10:31 | (anonymous) 0xacbb…4389 | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x8bab5a… |
| 07-27 02:10:31 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x8bab5a… |
| 07-27 01:33:33 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xc539a0… |
| 07-27 01:33:33 | (anonymous) 0x20d0…c257 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xc539a0… |
| 07-26 20:36:49 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x5398a3… |
| 07-26 20:36:49 | Homely-Pennant 0xc4c5…3dd9 | No | SELL | 7 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x5398a3… |
| 07-26 20:32:42 | (anonymous) 0x20d0…c257 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xc087be… |
| 07-26 20:32:42 | (anonymous) 0x5c60…67c1 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xc087be… |
| 07-26 19:07:51 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 2 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x8d36ae… |
| 07-26 19:07:51 | (anonymous) 0xacbb…4389 | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x8d36ae… |
| 07-26 13:35:03 | (anonymous) 0x5c60…67c1 | No | SELL | 7 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x7a160f… |
| 07-26 13:35:03 | Homely-Pennant 0xc4c5…3dd9 | No | BUY | 7 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x7a160f… |
| 07-26 08:25:07 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0x847723… |
| 07-26 08:25:07 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x847723… |
| 07-25 14:08:33 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0xde9aa9… |
| 07-25 14:08:33 | (anonymous) 0xbfdd…87d9 | No | SELL | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0xde9aa9… |
| 07-25 09:48:37 | Keen-Iris 0x82c0…e17e | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xeeb9ce… |
| 07-25 09:48:37 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xeeb9ce… |
| 07-25 06:02:54 | (anonymous) 0x5c60…67c1 | No | SELL | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0xb47bf1… |
| 07-25 06:02:54 | (anonymous) 0xbfdd…87d9 | No | BUY | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0xb47bf1… |
| 07-25 03:47:13 | (anonymous) 0x5c60…67c1 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xe81d95… |
| 07-25 03:47:13 | Keen-Iris 0x82c0…e17e | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xe81d95… |
| 07-24 23:39:04 | (anonymous) 0x3fef…f203 | No | SELL | 8 | 96¢ | $7 | 0xd92a53… |
| 07-24 23:39:04 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 8 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd92a53… |
| 07-24 15:32:54 | (anonymous) 0x5c60…67c1 | No | SELL | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0x4868d8… |
| 07-24 15:32:54 | (anonymous) 0x3fef…f203 | No | BUY | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0x4868d8… |
| 07-24 02:40:25 | (anonymous) 0x1e75…dbfb | No | SELL | 3 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xd81358… |
| 07-24 02:40:25 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd81358… |
| 07-23 21:27:27 | (anonymous) 0x1e75…dbfb | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x37846c… |
| 07-23 21:27:27 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x37846c… |
| 07-23 17:02:01 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xadd64b… |
| 07-23 17:02:01 | (anonymous) 0x5c60…67c1 | No | SELL | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0xadd64b… |
| 07-12 18:39:50 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x25f758… |
| 07-12 18:39:50 | Mortified-Kill 0xca45…6609 | No | SELL | 11 | 97¢ | $11 | 0x25f758… |
| 07-12 11:39:25 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x4ad02a… |
| 07-12 11:39:25 | Mortified-Kill 0xca45…6609 | No | BUY | 11 | 97¢ | $11 | 0x4ad02a… |
| 07-11 06:07:46 | Bland-Conifer 0x9453…9bfc | No | SELL | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0x28904c… |
| 07-11 06:07:46 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x28904c… |
| 07-10 22:34:14 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 0 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x67773a… |
| 07-10 22:34:14 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x67773a… |
| 07-10 22:34:14 | 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | SELL | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x67773a… |
| 07-10 22:02:22 | Bland-Conifer 0x9453…9bfc | No | BUY | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0x570a4b… |
| 07-10 22:02:22 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x570a4b… |
| 07-07 09:03:37 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 7 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x06a05b… |
| 07-07 09:03:37 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 7 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x06a05b… |
| 07-07 04:06:43 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xe54d25… |
| 07-07 04:06:43 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xe54d25… |
| 06-30 04:29:52 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 0 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x6700cf… |
| 06-30 04:29:52 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 0 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x6700cf… |
| 06-29 07:01:19 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xc1ee46… |
| 06-29 07:01:19 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xc1ee46… |
| 06-24 16:52:01 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xef8f50… |
| 06-24 16:52:01 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xef8f50… |
| 06-23 18:47:08 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xc9155e… |
| 06-23 18:47:08 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xc9155e… |
| 06-23 18:45:08 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x91a2cd… |
| 06-23 18:45:08 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 10 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x91a2cd… |
| 06-23 18:43:47 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x811e21… |
| 06-23 18:43:47 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x811e21… |
| 06-22 21:57:10 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xc777d4… |
| 06-22 21:57:10 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xc777d4… |
| 06-22 21:56:20 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xc12f84… |
| 06-22 21:56:20 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xc12f84… |
| 06-22 21:56:20 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xc12f84… |
| 06-03 13:19:39 | Pessimistic-Innervation 0x1d4d…45b6 | No | SELL | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0x3fbb3f… |
| 06-03 13:19:39 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0x3fbb3f… |
| 06-03 06:25:29 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x05b1b6… |
| 06-03 06:25:29 | Pessimistic-Innervation 0x1d4d…45b6 | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x05b1b6… |