Will HSBC fail by end of 2026? open
← all wallets
Total volume
$996
$156 in 24h
Trades
106
Unique wallets
34
Liquidity
$5,621
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-01
last 07-28 13:27
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
Tier Wallets YES buy NO buy Net bias
🐋 Whale 2 — $59 $59
🐬 Dolphin 11 $6 $265 $259
🐟 Fish 6 $1 $205 $203
🦐 Shrimp 15 $11 $13 $2
By P&L percentile
Tier Wallets YES buy NO buy Net bias
🏆 Top 5% 4 $1 $25 $24
✅ Top 10% 2 — $29 $29
Median 11 $1 $205 $204
Below median 8 $3 $135 $132
⚠️ Bottom 10% 2 $2 — +$2
🔻 Bottom 5% 2 $3 — +$3
💀 Bottom 1% 1 — $40 $40
unranked 4 $9 $109 $100
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
Wallet Side Net shares Cost basis Volume Trades Last activity
Ornery-Fail 0x128b…7c4f No +110 $109 $109 1 07-01 20:13
(anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 Yes +60 $2 $2 1 07-11 12:40
(anonymous) 0x22e0…3adb Yes +59 $1 $1 1 07-21 05:22
(anonymous) 0xaddf…2a28 Yes +56 $2 $2 1 06-30 23:32
Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f Yes +50 $1 $1 1 06-04 01:33
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091 Yes +17 $0 $3 6 07-21 05:22
Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 Yes +2 $-0 $2 9 07-03 20:18
Black-And-White-Consensus 0x6415…f1ab No +1 $1 $1 1 07-01 16:59