Mammoth-Downtown — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

24.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.61K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$49

Open exposure

$183

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 08-28 11:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Other

40% 58% +$1

Crypto

36% 100% +$0

Sports

12% 0% $0

Politics

12% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		-96	-$94	100¢	$-95	-$1	05-15 02:32
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+88	$87	100¢	$88	+$1	08-28 11:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	3	$230	161	73	+88	open	—	08-28 11:22
will baidu have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	2	$192	96	96	+0	No	$0	01-17 05:20
will switzerland win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	2	$191	96	96	+0	No	$0	02-12 02:39
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 160 179	2	$191	96	96	+0	No	$0	02-12 03:04
will edgar javier rodriguez win the 2026 cochabamba mayoral election 372	2	$189	95	95	+0	No	$0	03-11 02:19
will marty supreme win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	2	$188	95	95	+0	No	$0	03-11 02:18
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	2	$106	53	53	+0	No	+$0	05-23 05:52
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	1	$95	95	0	+95	No	+$0	02-12 03:04
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$94	0	96	-96	open	—	05-15 02:32
will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	1	$58	58	0	+58	No	+$0	06-27 12:35
Will John Healey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	2	$24	12	12	+0	No	+$0	07-09 10:45
Will HSBC fail by end of 2026?	2	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	08-28 05:11
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-15 02:36
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 16?	3	$9	15	4	+10	No	-$3	05-15 02:39
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	06-27 12:34
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	06-27 12:34
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be less than 1.0%?	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	05-15 02:41
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on May 16?	1	$3	7	0	+7	Yes	+$4	05-15 02:33
Will France win on 2026-07-09?	1	$3	5	0	+5	Yes	+$2	07-09 10:46
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?	1	$2	6	0	+6	No	-$2	07-09 10:46
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	08-28 05:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-28 11:22:01	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	88	98¢	$87	0x1d8de7…
08-28 05:11:36	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf4aa28…
08-28 05:11:01	Will HSBC fail by end of 2026?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x0b9e8b…
08-28 05:10:49	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	73	98¢	$72	0x81883f…
07-09 10:46:31	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0xbb0d5b…
07-09 10:46:13	Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0xbae9ed…
07-09 10:46:01	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x6f8f97…
07-09 10:45:11	Will John Healey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xbd0f27…
06-27 12:35:58	will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x3f5c9b…
06-27 12:34:56	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x35e49a…
06-27 12:34:35	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb3d5fb…
05-23 05:52:28	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0xc03e67…
05-15 02:41:21	Will HSBC fail by end of 2026?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xc146ce…
05-15 02:41:04	Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be less than 1.0%?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x2a3039…
05-15 02:39:38	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x0932f1…
05-15 02:39:12	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 16?	No	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0x042cca…
05-15 02:38:04	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x23390f…
05-15 02:37:50	Will John Healey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xf013dc…
05-15 02:36:57	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf6a492…
05-15 02:33:17	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 16?	No	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xb86c8b…
05-15 02:33:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on May 16?	Yes	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x79ddd5…
05-15 02:32:29	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	96	98¢	$94	0xc6f2a3…
03-11 02:19:35	will edgar javier rodriguez win the 2026 cochabamba mayoral election 372	No	SELL	95	100¢	$94	0x660ad7…
03-11 02:19:25	will edgar javier rodriguez win the 2026 cochabamba mayoral election 372	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x21c0d0…
03-11 02:18:57	will marty supreme win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	95	99¢	$94	0x5fe307…
03-11 02:18:43	will marty supreme win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0x70ee55…
02-12 03:04:17	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xde2a71…
02-12 03:04:01	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 160 179	No	SELL	96	100¢	$95	0xcae272…
02-12 03:03:35	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 160 179	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x46170f…
02-12 02:39:53	will switzerland win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	No	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0xb88673…
02-12 02:39:35	will switzerland win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x37e831…
01-17 05:20:12	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0xbde6ff…
01-17 05:19:46	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xc31727…