Will Greg Abbott announce a presidential run before 2027?
open
Total volume
$1,800
Trades
118
Unique wallets
40
Liquidity
$9,423
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-04
last 08-05 04:22
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-8.1¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $647
vs crowd: 8% YES on $1.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $34 | $682 | $649 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 7 | $52 | $4 | +$48 |
| 🐟 Fish | 10 | $6 | $404 | $398 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 19 | $12 | $83 | $71 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $647 | $647 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $16 | $4 | +$12 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $6 | $29 | $22 |
| Median | 4 | $3 | $14 | $11 |
| Below median | 11 | $29 | $57 | $28 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $374 | $374 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $15 | — | +$15 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $22 | $7 | +$15 |
| unranked | 13 | $12 | $41 | $29 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Common-Nitrogen 0x68c2…1711 | No | +688 | $647 | $647 | 2 | 07-22 04:29 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +343 | $22 | $22 | 2 | 07-22 04:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +167 | $10 | $12 | 8 | 08-05 04:22 |
| Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | +100 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 07-22 04:29 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +50 | $3 | $12 | 8 | 07-27 11:22 |
| Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | +50 | $5 | $5 | 4 | 07-01 14:43 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +8 | $7 | $50 | 7 | 08-05 04:22 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +8 | $0 | $1 | 3 | 07-27 17:24 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 08-03 15:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 08-04 14:45 |
| Content-Lunchroom 0xb1c4…293d | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 08-03 15:26 |
| Vengeful-Rhythm 0x8a2e…d3ca | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-06 04:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-21 18:26 |
| Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | +3 | $-9 | $758 | 24 | 07-27 00:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x59ad…a2df | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-02 12:29 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 04:22:30 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 22 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x6be7eb… |
| 08-05 04:22:30 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 22 | 95¢ | $21 | 0x6be7eb… |
| 08-04 14:45:38 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xa062f3… |
| 08-04 14:45:38 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xa062f3… |
| 08-03 15:27:30 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 8 | 94¢ | $7 | 0xced9e7… |
| 08-03 15:27:30 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | No | SELL | 8 | 94¢ | $7 | 0xced9e7… |
| 08-03 15:26:23 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | No | BUY | 8 | 94¢ | $7 | 0xd9f3d7… |
| 08-03 15:26:23 | Content-Lunchroom 0xb1c4…293d | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xd9f3d7… |
| 08-03 15:26:23 | (anonymous) 0xa9b9…92b3 | No | SELL | 12 | 94¢ | $12 | 0xd9f3d7… |
| 07-27 17:24:48 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 3 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x58f029… |
| 07-27 17:24:48 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 4 | 95¢ | $3 | 0x58f029… |
| 07-27 17:24:48 | (anonymous) 0x6383…85e7 | No | SELL | 7 | 95¢ | $7 | 0x58f029… |
| 07-27 13:01:00 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 8 | 95¢ | $7 | 0xef7695… |
| 07-27 13:01:00 | Paltry-Problem 0x25ce…77a1 | No | SELL | 8 | 95¢ | $7 | 0xef7695… |
| 07-27 11:22:42 | (anonymous) 0x6383…85e7 | No | BUY | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0x55dea8… |
| 07-27 11:22:42 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x55dea8… |
| 07-27 09:42:55 | Bland-Rainmaker 0x6a96…f7cd | No | SELL | 4 | 95¢ | $4 | 0x66acee… |
| 07-27 09:42:55 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 4 | 95¢ | $4 | 0x66acee… |
| 07-27 08:56:19 | Paltry-Problem 0x25ce…77a1 | No | BUY | 8 | 97¢ | $7 | 0xc05d1a… |
| 07-27 08:56:19 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xc05d1a… |
| 07-27 07:05:03 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 3 | 95¢ | $3 | 0x4b263a… |
| 07-27 07:05:03 | (anonymous) 0x8234…57f6 | No | SELL | 3 | 95¢ | $3 | 0x4b263a… |
| 07-27 04:13:06 | Loathsome-Refreshments 0xcd9e…9585 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $4 | 0xdd384b… |
| 07-27 04:13:06 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $4 | 0xdd384b… |
| 07-27 04:10:49 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 7 | 95¢ | $7 | 0xe98278… |
| 07-27 04:10:49 | (anonymous) 0x3682…3d7c | No | SELL | 7 | 95¢ | $7 | 0xe98278… |
| 07-27 02:40:30 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 4 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xa72562… |
| 07-27 02:40:30 | Bland-Rainmaker 0x6a96…f7cd | No | BUY | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0xa72562… |
| 07-27 00:12:16 | Loathsome-Refreshments 0xcd9e…9585 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x7e4c57… |
| 07-27 00:12:16 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x7e4c57… |
| 07-26 23:58:33 | (anonymous) 0x8234…57f6 | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x95c085… |
| 07-26 23:58:33 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x95c085… |
| 07-26 23:06:37 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | SELL | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0xc1a01f… |
| 07-26 23:06:37 | (anonymous) 0x3682…3d7c | No | BUY | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0xc1a01f… |
| 07-26 22:09:42 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | BUY | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0x610286… |
| 07-26 22:09:42 | Untimely-Suffocation 0x80e3…de80 | No | SELL | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0x610286… |
| 07-26 18:20:33 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x71fee8… |
| 07-26 18:20:33 | (anonymous) 0x1982…09f6 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x71fee8… |
| 07-26 18:08:36 | Untimely-Suffocation 0x80e3…de80 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xb9f737… |
| 07-26 18:08:36 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xb9f737… |
| 07-26 14:12:58 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x0988a1… |
| 07-26 14:12:58 | (anonymous) 0x1982…09f6 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x0988a1… |
| 07-26 08:45:10 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x891814… |
| 07-26 08:45:10 | (anonymous) 0xd796…7e6c | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x891814… |
| 07-26 05:42:30 | (anonymous) 0xb514…38bb | No | SELL | 7 | 95¢ | $7 | 0xcb126e… |
| 07-26 05:42:30 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | BUY | 7 | 95¢ | $7 | 0xcb126e… |
| 07-26 02:45:01 | (anonymous) 0xd796…7e6c | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x11005b… |
| 07-26 02:45:01 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x11005b… |
| 07-26 00:38:48 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | SELL | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0x573031… |
| 07-26 00:38:48 | (anonymous) 0xb514…38bb | No | BUY | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0x573031… |
| 07-25 19:46:16 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | BUY | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0x638055… |
| 07-25 19:46:16 | (anonymous) 0x38fa…738e | No | SELL | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0x638055… |
| 07-25 14:45:00 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x883677… |
| 07-25 14:45:00 | (anonymous) 0x38fa…738e | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x883677… |
| 07-23 17:12:48 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | BUY | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0xfde0e5… |
| 07-23 17:12:48 | Grimy-Agony 0xd683…5e66 | No | SELL | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0xfde0e5… |
| 07-23 17:11:28 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | BUY | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0xba869c… |
| 07-23 17:11:28 | (anonymous) 0x9a89…c807 | No | SELL | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0xba869c… |
| 07-23 10:13:03 | Grimy-Agony 0xd683…5e66 | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x798107… |
| 07-23 10:13:03 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x798107… |
| 07-23 08:50:25 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x3ee838… |
| 07-23 08:50:25 | (anonymous) 0x9a89…c807 | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x3ee838… |
| 07-22 18:10:33 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 18 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xf52a5a… |
| 07-22 18:10:33 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xf52a5a… |
| 07-22 04:31:09 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | SELL | 7 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xfcecf4… |
| 07-22 04:31:09 | (anonymous) 0xa9b9…92b3 | No | BUY | 12 | 96¢ | $12 | 0xfcecf4… |
| 07-22 04:31:09 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xfcecf4… |
| 07-22 04:30:21 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | Yes | SELL | 60 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x80366b… |
| 07-22 04:30:21 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | SELL | 60 | 96¢ | $58 | 0x80366b… |
| 07-22 04:30:06 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | SELL | 92 | 96¢ | $88 | 0xac5f06… |
| 07-22 04:30:06 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | Yes | BUY | 60 | 5¢ | $3 | 0xac5f06… |
| 07-22 04:30:06 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | SELL | 152 | 4¢ | $7 | 0xac5f06… |
| 07-22 04:30:03 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 400 | 5¢ | $20 | 0x113ab5… |
| 07-22 04:30:03 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | SELL | 106 | 95¢ | $100 | 0x113ab5… |
| 07-22 04:30:03 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | BUY | 152 | 5¢ | $8 | 0x113ab5… |
| 07-22 04:30:03 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x113ab5… |
| 07-22 04:30:03 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x113ab5… |
| 07-22 04:30:03 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x113ab5… |
| 07-22 04:30:03 | 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | SELL | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0x113ab5… |
| 07-22 04:29:43 | Common-Nitrogen 0x68c2…1711 | No | BUY | 685 | 94¢ | $644 | 0x063b93… |
| 07-22 04:29:43 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x063b93… |
| 07-22 04:29:43 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 400 | 6¢ | $24 | 0x063b93… |
| 07-22 04:29:43 | Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 6¢ | $6 | 0x063b93… |
| 07-22 04:29:43 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 173 | 6¢ | $10 | 0x063b93… |
| 07-17 15:09:09 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xa35810… |
| 07-17 15:09:09 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xa35810… |
| 07-16 13:54:50 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | BUY | 170 | 93¢ | $158 | 0x315a0e… |
| 07-16 13:54:50 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 170 | 7¢ | $12 | 0x315a0e… |
| 07-15 15:01:11 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | SELL | 7 | 92¢ | $6 | 0xd48108… |
| 07-15 15:01:11 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 13 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xd48108… |
| 07-15 15:01:11 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xd48108… |
| 07-12 10:46:59 | (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | SELL | 105 | 8¢ | $8 | 0xf62133… |
| 07-12 10:46:59 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | SELL | 50 | 92¢ | $46 | 0xf62133… |
| 07-08 17:38:52 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | BUY | 3 | 91¢ | $2 | 0x1ae6e7… |
| 07-08 17:38:52 | (anonymous) 0xb892…fd3a | No | SELL | 3 | 91¢ | $2 | 0x1ae6e7… |
| 07-07 10:10:50 | (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | BUY | 105 | 10¢ | $11 | 0xa3de22… |
| 07-07 10:10:50 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | BUY | 60 | 90¢ | $54 | 0xa3de22… |
| 07-07 10:10:50 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 45 | 10¢ | $5 | 0xa3de22… |
| 07-02 12:29:46 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x3b7df0… |
| 07-02 12:29:46 | (anonymous) 0x59ad…a2df | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x3b7df0… |