Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$89

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

65.9%

Resolved

515

Trades

1,050

lifetime

Volume

$6.90K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-06-08

last 10-31 17:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 73 days

Categories

Other

64% 69% -$66

Politics

22% 65% +$8

Sports

8% 74% +$61

Crypto

5% 35% -$93

Tech

1% 57% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes		+5	$5	88¢	$4	$0	10-06 20:46
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No		+5	$4	88¢	$4	+$0	09-19 00:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?	2	$90	146	146	+0	No	+$20	06-26 03:30
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	8	$84	89	71	+18	No	-$13	06-26 02:08
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	4	$74	41	41	+0	open	—	10-23 17:23
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	5	$62	31	31	+0	Yes	+$0	06-23 17:38
atp torre basilas 2026 07 20	2	$62	36	36	+0	Tiago Torres	+$2	07-20 11:24
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	2	$62	35	35	+0	open	—	07-19 09:58
atp rinderk tsitsip 2026 07 17	2	$60	35	35	+0	Stefanos Tsitsipas	$0	07-17 16:42
wta udvardy badosa 2026 07 17	2	$59	35	35	+0	Paula Badosa	-$1	07-17 16:42
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	4	$50	122	122	+0	open	—	06-25 21:20
lol mkoi gam 2026 07 15 game1	2	$49	36	36	+0	Movistar KOI	-$11	07-15 14:35
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	5	$45	25	25	+0	open	—	10-11 13:41
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	6	$44	33	33	+0	open	—	10-12 04:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 17:55 UTC	1	$43	229	0	+229	Up	-$43	06-08 17:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	6	$40	36	36	+0	No	+$1	07-08 13:50
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	2	$40	33	33	+0	Yes	$0	10-23 06:19
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	4	$40	22	22	+0	open	—	10-23 17:24
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	4	$39	22	22	+0	open	—	06-25 21:21
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?	4	$38	36	8	+27	Yes	-$10	09-30 14:36
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?	4	$38	58	58	+0	No	$0	06-26 02:05
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	8	$37	22	22	+0	open	—	09-10 20:04
israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 31	2	$35	21	21	+0	open	—	10-23 17:23
Will France win on 2026-06-26?	5	$34	35	35	+0	Yes	-$1	06-26 19:40
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?	2	$33	19	19	+0	Yes	+$3	06-26 19:40
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	3	$33	21	16	+5	No	+$0	10-04 21:34
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	2	$32	18	18	+0	Yes	$0	10-04 21:06
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$31	19	19	+0	Yes	-$2	10-23 17:24
dota2 pr1 bald 2026 06 26	3	$31	29	24	+5	Power Rangers	-$4	06-26 18:45
LoL: Solary vs Saigon Warriors (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group D	2	$30	16	16	+0	Solary	+$0	09-23 06:26
israel closes its airspace by july 31	2	$30	17	17	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:36
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?	3	$30	218	14	+204	No	-$3	06-26 20:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 17:40:21	Will USC be a top 4 seed in the 2027 College Football Playoffs?	No	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x6ba704…
10-28 14:35:10	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x6930f7…
10-23 17:40:32	Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in October 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0xd0bfd3…
10-23 17:40:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	21	11¢	$2	0x4fc502…
10-23 17:40:14	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?	Yes	SELL	19	13¢	$3	0xc7fd6d…
10-23 17:40:05	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0xd157ff…
10-23 17:39:56	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	SELL	7	57¢	$4	0x5b4663…
10-23 17:39:50	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x519919…
10-23 17:39:44	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x8cfa89…
10-23 17:39:35	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x85a2c9…
10-23 17:39:30	Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x825ad5…
10-23 17:39:24	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x528b1c…
10-23 17:39:18	Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?	No	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x5a433a…
10-23 17:39:12	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x0bb136…
10-23 17:39:05	Will Seamus Power win the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship?	No	SELL	5	89¢	$5	0x004df8…
10-23 17:38:56	Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x6186d7…
10-23 17:38:50	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x07fa8a…
10-23 17:38:44	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x1e46b4…
10-23 17:38:36	Will Bijan Robinson finish as a top-12 RB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x07219f…
10-23 17:38:24	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x9e1b8e…
10-23 17:27:18	Will Hyperliquid reach $200 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xaaa7a0…
10-23 17:27:05	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	No	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x0c7f44…
10-23 17:26:47	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xc1db1c…
10-23 17:26:35	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	SELL	6	92¢	$6	0x30f843…
10-23 17:26:21	Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xc665da…
10-23 17:26:08	Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	7	91¢	$7	0x2a580e…
10-23 17:25:51	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	86¢	$7	0x98490e…
10-23 17:25:33	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	96¢	$6	0x8225c5…
10-23 17:25:23	Will the Democrats win the Colorado governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	96¢	$9	0x6d92a4…
10-23 17:25:11	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	78¢	$7	0x3fe1ce…
10-23 17:24:59	Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	No	SELL	13	77¢	$10	0x47bb25…
10-23 17:24:47	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	19	76¢	$14	0xdb807f…
10-23 17:24:35	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x1f9d65…
10-23 17:24:23	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	17	92¢	$16	0x68bce7…
10-23 17:24:05	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xf2d6ba…
10-23 17:23:54	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	21	83¢	$18	0x0b987f…
10-23 17:23:14	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	22	92¢	$20	0xb47b0d…
10-23 13:59:48	Will Seamus Power win the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x9fc14a…
10-23 11:19:03	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc059be…
10-23 08:15:26	Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	No	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x1b91ee…
10-23 07:54:06	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x9b33d1…
10-23 07:25:44	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	95¢	$6	0x207ed6…
10-23 06:19:24	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	59¢	$20	0x66a005…
10-23 05:59:32	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xe7847f…
10-23 00:44:02	Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0x29b640…
10-23 00:43:54	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0xb7c71a…
10-23 00:43:47	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	92¢	$6	0x656a9e…
10-23 00:13:56	Plague case in US by December 31?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xd9ac86…
10-23 00:13:48	Will Jordan Love have 3,049.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x7ef3b7…
10-23 00:13:41	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x49196d…
10-22 18:42:44	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xd05f37…
10-22 08:38:26	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x94a102…
10-22 07:39:30	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x376ef5…
10-22 03:26:56	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x6cc25f…
10-22 01:13:30	Will the Democrats win the Colorado governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$9	0x3e8005…
10-22 00:52:30	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	82¢	$7	0x24bc0d…
10-22 00:50:41	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	90¢	$8	0xd02539…
10-22 00:40:42	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x8d9504…
10-22 00:40:35	Andy Burnham out as UK PM by December 31?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x3d8f7c…
10-22 00:40:27	Will Juwan Johnson have 374.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x2a9cc1…
10-22 00:10:41	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xcf6e2e…
10-22 00:10:33	Yoon out of custody before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xbda6cc…
10-22 00:10:26	Macron out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x6421fd…
10-21 23:00:18	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x38c182…
10-21 21:36:47	Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x54a655…
10-21 20:10:45	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0xe3db83…
10-21 19:39:30	Real Madrid CF vs. RB Leipzig: Real Madrid CF O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x80d40e…
10-21 19:29:11	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xc2d0b6…
10-21 19:10:03	Will Mike Evans have 1,224.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xc6c7c2…
10-21 19:09:56	Will the Miami Dolphins have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0xe78d81…
10-21 19:09:48	Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x866cf6…
10-21 19:09:24	Macron out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9edce7…
10-21 18:51:44	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xfa25c9…
10-21 18:39:57	Will Jalen Hurts have 12.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x13c904…
10-21 18:39:48	Will Matthew Golden have 449.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x447f0f…
10-21 18:39:39	Will Sam LaPorta have 224.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xb90738…
10-21 18:07:57	Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x144a0e…
10-21 16:38:23	Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x81856b…
10-21 15:23:57	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x01632b…
10-21 05:37:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x943a19…
10-21 04:22:11	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x2bd14f…
10-20 06:37:19	Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x531c47…
10-20 01:31:26	Will Mike Evans have 1,224.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xd8799e…
10-19 22:25:24	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xb9acfb…
10-19 20:58:56	Will Steph Curry's next team be Golden State Warriors?	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x1b7580…
10-19 16:24:53	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x7de829…
10-17 20:09:59	Will Jalen Hurts have 12.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xab2122…
10-17 15:34:00	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xc6917c…
10-17 09:25:17	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	No	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x6694db…
10-17 06:07:44	Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	89¢	$7	0x7b8c8a…
10-17 04:17:29	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0x364ec1…
10-17 04:16:54	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	11	60¢	$7	0xc3399e…
10-16 16:39:00	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x5d2a47…
10-16 15:42:15	Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by October 31?	No	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xf93685…
10-16 09:31:07	Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x59a9c0…
10-16 05:21:10	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x249e25…
10-16 03:56:15	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	Yes	BUY	7	93¢	$6	0xd3f8dc…
10-16 03:12:10	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?	No	BUY	24	90¢	$22	0xca56e5…
10-16 01:22:03	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	Yes	SELL	6	74¢	$4	0x523393…
10-16 01:18:10	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x7e6e6c…