Grimy-Agony — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.5%

Resolved

Trades

124

lifetime

Volume

$9.07K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$73

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 07-23 17:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

42% 100% +$0

Sports

38% 0% $-0

Crypto

12% — —

Politics

4% — —

Pop-Culture

3% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Netanyahu out by April 30?	4	$519	270	270	+0	open	—	03-25 11:18
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	9	$511	270	270	+0	Yes	+$0	03-27 23:38
will atltico madrid reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	2	$277	144	144	+0	open	—	03-12 16:26
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	6	$276	144	144	+0	open	—	04-09 16:06
will jon rahm win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$276	145	145	+0	open	—	03-11 17:35
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	3	$271	149	149	+0	open	—	03-10 12:29
Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?	3	$268	146	146	+0	open	—	03-23 22:13
will tottenham hotspur reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	5	$265	137	137	+0	open	—	03-12 06:05
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	2	$263	136	136	+0	open	—	03-21 03:37
will illinois win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$259	137	137	+0	open	—	03-26 10:22
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$258	133	133	+0	open	—	03-29 09:11
will iowa state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$255	134	134	+0	open	—	03-18 03:25
will arkansas win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$254	130	130	+0	open	—	03-20 19:35
Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$254	131	131	+0	open	—	03-18 22:48
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	2	$252	129	129	+0	open	—	03-17 11:43
will st johns win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$251	129	129	+0	open	—	03-25 05:13
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	2	$251	129	129	+0	open	—	03-25 17:36
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	2	$249	130	130	+0	open	—	03-27 08:04
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$247	128	128	+0	open	—	03-21 16:13
Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$244	126	126	+0	open	—	03-23 00:05
will michigan state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$243	124	124	+0	open	—	03-26 23:48
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	2	$239	123	122	+0	open	—	04-27 02:37
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	5	$204	106	106	+0	open	—	04-10 17:47
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	4	$195	102	102	+0	open	—	04-14 04:45
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	4	$181	93	93	+0	open	—	04-22 17:20
will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$129	68	68	+0	open	—	04-03 12:36
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$129	71	71	+0	open	—	06-14 04:07
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	2	$129	66	66	+0	open	—	04-18 20:30
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	2	$127	67	67	+0	open	—	03-31 12:18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$121	61	61	+0	open	—	05-11 23:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 17:12:48	Will Greg Abbott announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0xfde0e5…
07-23 10:13:03	Will Greg Abbott announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x798107…
06-25 08:15:37	Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	54	97¢	$52	0x3e2b63…
06-25 00:12:58	Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	54	97¢	$52	0x6d7426…
06-14 04:07:27	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	71	90¢	$64	0x8c8277…
06-13 20:06:06	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	71	91¢	$65	0x5d9a90…
05-11 23:40:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	61	98¢	$60	0x3acace…
05-11 18:35:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0x6020ad…
05-09 22:20:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	46	94¢	$43	0xc1c42e…
05-09 17:16:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	46	95¢	$44	0xa13b99…
05-09 11:03:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	53	97¢	$52	0x0a68f7…
05-09 07:02:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	BUY	53	97¢	$52	0xdaa423…
04-27 14:12:42	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	63	94¢	$59	0x66f2b4…
04-27 09:10:32	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	63	95¢	$60	0x31ac4f…
04-27 02:37:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	SELL	122	98¢	$120	0x5d7505…
04-25 07:10:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	123	97¢	$119	0x8d1990…
04-22 17:20:38	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	55	98¢	$54	0x56c8ff…
04-22 10:31:52	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0xd3a7eb…
04-21 23:00:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	SELL	45	96¢	$43	0x033da7…
04-21 11:00:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	BUY	45	97¢	$44	0x3aeca2…
04-18 20:30:20	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	66	97¢	$64	0xa050b3…
04-18 10:24:14	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	66	97¢	$64	0xc0c015…
04-14 04:45:23	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	51	96¢	$49	0xdd5680…
04-13 19:09:39	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	51	96¢	$49	0xcfb7db…
04-13 06:34:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	SELL	56	90¢	$51	0xdaa774…
04-13 02:05:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	57	90¢	$51	0x7560aa…
04-12 20:54:19	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	49	93¢	$45	0x827b62…
04-12 12:51:17	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	49	93¢	$45	0x9a3108…
04-11 03:48:01	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	51	95¢	$49	0x9bd535…
04-10 19:15:11	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	51	95¢	$49	0xa1020b…
04-10 17:47:11	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	62	97¢	$60	0x1def80…
04-10 12:42:37	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	62	97¢	$60	0xcf8ac9…
04-10 03:53:27	will sam burns win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	63	93¢	$59	0xd906e9…
04-09 20:59:43	will sam burns win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	63	95¢	$60	0x7f7177…
04-09 16:06:07	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	46	96¢	$44	0xda0a90…
04-09 09:02:33	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	46	96¢	$44	0xf5d126…
04-09 01:01:35	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	56	93¢	$52	0x47ed33…
04-08 16:56:31	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	56	93¢	$52	0x6a2468…
04-07 20:05:41	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	44	97¢	$43	0xaca05b…
04-07 16:07:35	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x22eeb5…
04-07 16:02:25	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	18	97¢	$18	0x538c1b…
04-07 15:49:13	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	45	97¢	$43	0xa55338…
04-07 10:47:45	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	45	97¢	$43	0xd0f805…
04-07 10:39:25	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	55	97¢	$53	0xb41a92…
04-07 02:38:01	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0x742758…
04-06 19:11:37	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	43	94¢	$40	0x6e339a…
04-06 13:11:13	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	43	95¢	$40	0x3a9236…
04-05 01:20:59	Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	38	98¢	$37	0x6c7b4f…
04-04 20:50:37	Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x157e26…
04-04 20:46:09	Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1463d6…
04-04 19:56:57	Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0xd6a1f3…
04-04 19:20:17	Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x4731f1…
04-04 12:48:29	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	59	95¢	$56	0x57dd38…
04-04 08:36:09	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	59	95¢	$56	0x3c8c2f…
04-04 01:12:57	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	53	93¢	$49	0x46c74d…
04-03 21:08:15	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	53	93¢	$49	0x402c7a…
04-03 20:52:31	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	56	98¢	$54	0x63626e…
04-03 12:45:11	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	56	98¢	$54	0x539695…
04-03 12:36:35	will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	68	95¢	$65	0xeace7f…
04-03 07:29:57	will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	68	95¢	$65	0x77e08a…
04-02 09:54:15	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	38	97¢	$37	0x9a21b3…
04-02 02:25:17	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0x855357…
04-01 05:44:05	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	39	97¢	$38	0x342349…
03-31 21:29:51	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	39	97¢	$38	0x280ad0…
03-31 20:35:53	will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	49	95¢	$46	0x5032f2…
03-31 15:03:11	will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	49	96¢	$46	0x21884f…
03-31 12:18:57	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	SELL	67	96¢	$64	0x07e3a4…
03-31 04:32:51	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	BUY	67	95¢	$63	0x0106cf…
03-30 19:28:39	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	48	98¢	$47	0xb50c4c…
03-30 15:16:31	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0x149ce0…
03-29 09:11:46	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	133	96¢	$129	0x40372a…
03-29 01:04:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	133	97¢	$129	0x31b190…
03-27 23:38:31	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	126	95¢	$119	0xdd6118…
03-27 15:31:23	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	116	95¢	$110	0x10d0b4…
03-27 15:29:45	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0xdd3a48…
03-27 08:04:59	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	SELL	130	95¢	$123	0xa07ce1…
03-27 00:03:17	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	BUY	130	97¢	$125	0x892bcf…
03-26 23:48:21	will michigan state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	124	98¢	$121	0x2c565a…
03-26 18:38:13	will michigan state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	124	98¢	$122	0xdc6af9…
03-26 10:22:19	will illinois win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	137	94¢	$130	0xb4a814…
03-26 02:09:35	will illinois win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	137	94¢	$130	0x798620…
03-25 17:36:11	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	129	98¢	$125	0x1c0f6e…
03-25 11:33:29	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	129	98¢	$126	0x2b9ccb…
03-25 11:18:37	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	131	96¢	$126	0x801a47…
03-25 05:16:45	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	131	96¢	$126	0xdd82b5…
03-25 05:13:25	will st johns win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	129	98¢	$125	0xd2cad1…
03-24 22:01:45	will st johns win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	129	98¢	$126	0x8e889c…
03-24 13:21:17	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	139	96¢	$134	0xb96da4…
03-24 09:08:45	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	139	96¢	$133	0x720e5a…
03-23 22:13:39	Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	146	92¢	$134	0x15aa28…
03-23 18:14:03	Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0x31ffe7…
03-23 14:56:29	Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	121	92¢	$111	0x812c73…
03-23 00:05:33	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	126	97¢	$122	0x4aeb99…
03-22 18:30:35	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	126	97¢	$122	0xca0948…
03-21 16:13:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	128	96¢	$123	0x2a8be2…
03-21 11:13:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	128	96¢	$124	0x522875…
03-21 03:37:17	will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	No	SELL	136	96¢	$131	0x2f0a98…
03-20 20:16:57	will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	No	BUY	136	97¢	$132	0x3e438b…
03-20 19:35:49	will arkansas win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	130	97¢	$127	0xd4f8b9…
03-20 12:38:31	will arkansas win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	130	98¢	$128	0xb44bb4…