Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$52

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

99.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$24.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$288

Open exposure

$13

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 07-24 23:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 100% +$50

Other

0% 69% +$2

Politics

0% 57% -$4

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Sports

0% 50% +$3

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-24).

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	+5	$5	97¢	$5	+$0	05-15 06:17
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	No	-4	-$3	97¢	$-4	-$1	06-27 22:25
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?	No	-4	-$4	100¢	$-4	$0	06-27 22:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 70k on april 20	24	$10.5K	5,039	5,538	-499	Yes	+$30	04-20 12:14
bitcoin above 72k on april 20	5	$5.5K	4,500	1,000	+3,500	Yes	+$10	04-20 14:25
bitcoin above 68k on april 20	6	$5.0K	2,500	2,499	+1	Yes	+$5	04-20 05:18
bitcoin above 70k on april 21	4	$3.0K	2,500	500	+2,000	Yes	+$4	04-21 05:20
kraken ipo by march 31 2026	3	$13	7	7	+0	No	$0	02-25 01:59
ukraine election called by march 31 2026	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	02-25 18:51
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	2	$8	9	0	+9	No	-$5	03-28 04:15
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$8	5	5	+0	No	+$0	03-02 18:58
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	1	$7	10	0	+10	Yes	+$3	01-27 12:44
Netanyahu out by June 30?	1	$6	0	6	-6	No	$0	06-30 05:32
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	2	$6	4	4	+0	Yes	+$0	02-21 03:18
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	2	$6	5	1	+4	No	+$0	04-17 20:23
bitcoin above 66k on march 27	1	$6	6	0	+6	Yes	+$0	03-26 20:49
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	1	$5	0	5	-5	No	$0	06-30 00:22
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in April?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	04-12 03:15
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	04-18 13:56
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 06:17
Will Databricks not IPO by June 30, 2026?	1	$4	0	4	-4	Yes	$0	06-30 00:22
will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be less than 55	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	02-20 07:53
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?	1	$4	0	4	-4	open	—	06-27 22:26
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	2	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	02-06 19:05
will xrp dip to 1pt2 in march 2026	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	03-25 15:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	05-13 06:44
will bitcoin dip to 69k on march 10	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	03-11 03:02
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	2	$3	2	2	+0	No	+$0	03-03 17:46
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	1	$3	0	4	-4	open	—	06-27 22:25
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?	1	$3	0	3	-3	No	$0	06-30 00:22
will 60 to 89 tornadoes occur in the united states in february 2026	1	$3	4	0	+4	No	+$1	02-21 20:38
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 320 339	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	02-28 23:53
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$3	0	3	-3	No	$0	06-30 00:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-24 23:54:25	Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?	No	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0xe85fc2…
06-30 05:32:28	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x97fa15…
06-30 00:22:55	NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x08a837…
06-30 00:22:46	Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xc4b25e…
06-30 00:22:35	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xa0bd00…
06-30 00:22:23	Will Databricks not IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x68577e…
06-30 00:22:13	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6b657c…
06-27 22:26:20	Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?	No	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x143e62…
06-27 22:26:11	Will Disclosure Day get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x3ed7b4…
06-27 22:26:07	Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x781bb8…
06-27 22:25:58	Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	No	SELL	4	83¢	$3	0x9934fe…
05-15 06:17:52	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0x12f4f4…
05-13 06:44:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xf3cd63…
04-21 05:20:14	bitcoin above 70k on april 21	Yes	SELL	500	100¢	$500	0x818ae5…
04-21 02:55:04	bitcoin above 70k on april 21	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xad4881…
04-21 02:17:52	bitcoin above 70k on april 21	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$998	0xbae585…
04-21 01:16:56	bitcoin above 70k on april 21	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$998	0xca84a1…
04-20 14:25:32	bitcoin above 72k on april 20	Yes	SELL	1,000	100¢	$999	0x73ccf5…
04-20 14:22:50	bitcoin above 72k on april 20	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$998	0x56ee57…
04-20 14:02:26	bitcoin above 72k on april 20	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xa3b06d…
04-20 13:56:26	bitcoin above 72k on april 20	Yes	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,996	0x5a90fa…
04-20 13:38:54	bitcoin above 72k on april 20	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$996	0x8607ab…
04-20 12:14:48	bitcoin above 70k on april 20	Yes	SELL	4,538	100¢	$4,529	0x4df9a4…
04-20 12:13:28	bitcoin above 70k on april 20	Yes	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xaf3a80…
04-20 12:13:10	bitcoin above 70k on april 20	Yes	SELL	473	100¢	$472	0x0777bc…
04-20 10:42:28	bitcoin above 70k on april 20	Yes	SELL	500	100¢	$498	0x31f766…
04-20 10:32:34	bitcoin above 70k on april 20	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0x5f4e9b…
04-20 10:21:00	bitcoin above 70k on april 20	Yes	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0xd9b9c6…
04-20 09:29:52	bitcoin above 70k on april 20	Yes	BUY	500	99¢	$497	0x7552f1…
04-20 06:07:14	bitcoin above 70k on april 20	Yes	BUY	83	99¢	$82	0x99b5cb…
04-20 06:00:36	bitcoin above 70k on april 20	Yes	BUY	417	99¢	$412	0xf40016…
04-20 05:30:52	bitcoin above 70k on april 20	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbb1be5…
04-20 05:30:40	bitcoin above 70k on april 20	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xd7daad…
04-20 05:27:32	bitcoin above 70k on april 20	Yes	BUY	324	99¢	$321	0xdd8585…
04-20 05:27:24	bitcoin above 70k on april 20	Yes	BUY	170	99¢	$168	0x5cf339…
04-20 05:26:20	bitcoin above 70k on april 20	Yes	BUY	170	99¢	$168	0x2a40bb…
04-20 05:19:58	bitcoin above 70k on april 20	Yes	BUY	500	99¢	$495	0xd52deb…
04-20 05:18:08	bitcoin above 68k on april 20	Yes	SELL	889	100¢	$888	0xa655f8…
04-20 05:17:34	bitcoin above 68k on april 20	Yes	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0x4b2f22…
04-20 05:15:24	bitcoin above 68k on april 20	Yes	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0xfd110c…
04-20 05:13:54	bitcoin above 68k on april 20	Yes	SELL	134	100¢	$134	0x8c8a55…
04-20 05:13:30	bitcoin above 68k on april 20	Yes	SELL	1,294	100¢	$1,293	0x5c66a5…
04-20 02:14:30	bitcoin above 70k on april 20	Yes	BUY	213	99¢	$211	0x4860a6…
04-20 01:56:06	bitcoin above 70k on april 20	Yes	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x8b2c02…
04-20 00:37:36	bitcoin above 70k on april 20	Yes	BUY	787	99¢	$779	0x86d89e…
04-20 00:28:24	bitcoin above 70k on april 20	Yes	BUY	769	99¢	$763	0x7a2f5b…
04-20 00:25:38	bitcoin above 70k on april 20	Yes	BUY	231	99¢	$230	0x4fd337…
04-20 00:21:52	bitcoin above 70k on april 20	Yes	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x3c61c3…
04-20 00:13:42	bitcoin above 70k on april 20	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf72986…
04-20 00:13:42	bitcoin above 70k on april 20	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa1946f…
04-20 00:13:42	bitcoin above 70k on april 20	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x858088…
04-19 23:50:14	bitcoin above 68k on april 20	Yes	BUY	2,500	100¢	$2,492	0x137b01…
04-18 13:56:04	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf2deba…
04-17 20:23:58	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x67ab5d…
04-12 03:15:29	Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in April?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x474824…
04-06 01:02:41	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x92e863…
03-31 07:57:41	unty quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 10 2026 1pt37	Yes	BUY	3	82¢	$2	0x9f4f99…
03-29 22:53:26	bitcoin above 68k on march 30	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xa058fb…
03-28 04:15:27	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	4	97¢	$3	0xd9b2e1…
03-26 20:49:23	bitcoin above 66k on march 27	Yes	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x303aa3…
03-25 15:17:23	will xrp dip to 1pt2 in march 2026	No	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0x02f026…
03-14 12:52:09	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x230f94…
03-12 11:07:05	will train dreams win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x498006…
03-11 03:02:19	will bitcoin dip to 69k on march 10	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x663cf6…
03-09 23:34:11	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x005f2b…
03-07 21:56:53	will bitcoin dip to 64000 on march 7	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xf3adb4…
03-05 23:35:53	will partido socialista obrero espaol psoe win the 2026 castilla y len regional election 415	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xd4c752…
03-03 17:46:13	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x671a31…
03-02 22:54:27	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xeefdd7…
03-02 18:58:27	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0xa88df9…
02-28 23:53:23	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 320 339	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xa08d82…
02-28 08:08:47	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x0827eb…
02-25 18:51:00	ukraine election called by march 31 2026	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x1221c9…
02-25 01:59:56	kraken ipo by march 31 2026	No	SELL	7	87¢	$6	0xf80c5d…
02-23 18:32:02	kraken ipo by march 31 2026	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xe406ff…
02-21 20:38:52	will 60 to 89 tornadoes occur in the united states in february 2026	No	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0xf38e94…
02-21 03:18:26	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	4	91¢	$3	0xe83d15…
02-20 07:53:52	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be less than 55	No	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x76311d…
02-17 16:54:01	kraken ipo by march 31 2026	No	BUY	4	87¢	$3	0xb0bc3e…
02-09 03:28:03	ukraine election called by march 31 2026	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x6b727d…
02-06 19:05:35	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0xf788ab…
02-04 14:20:30	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	2	73¢	$2	0x517a50…
02-01 07:43:38	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x2c7b9f…
01-27 12:44:33	will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xe7ad2a…