Realized P&L (7d)
-$162
Unrealized P&L
-$1.52K
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved (7d)
2
Trades (7d)
60
4,950 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$170
$499.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$101
Open exposure
$8.62K
25 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-04 23:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 131 days
Categories
Other
63% 48% +$4,717
Politics
33% 55% -$7,089
Sports
3% 63% +$5,081
Crypto
1% 64% -$848
Tech
0% 100% +$52
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$23
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? No -1,689 -$1,504 96¢ $-1613 -$110 05-03 12:54
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No -1,188 -$1,184 99¢ $-1172 +$12 07-28 12:40
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? No +4,000 $2,289 26¢ $1.1K -$1,229 08-23 05:14
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -1,000 -$885 97¢ $-970 -$85 06-14 21:21
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No -872 -$733 88¢ $-772 -$39 06-05 21:59
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No +500 $310 92¢ $458 +$148 05-03 13:01
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -902 -$193 43¢ $-388 -$195 11-02 04:37
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +500 $415 76¢ $382 -$32 08-18 11:57
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -500 -$350 66¢ $-331 +$19 06-06 02:15
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No -264 -$246 99¢ $-261 -$15 05-06 04:30
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +1,000 $130 18¢ $185 +$55 09-16 02:00
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? No -150 -$143 95¢ $-142 +$1 05-09 06:16
Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +49,471 $90 0¢ $124 +$34 11-04 23:52
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No +100 $88 98¢ $98 +$10 04-28 15:27
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No -100 -$93 97¢ $-97 -$4 06-07 13:36
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +100 $55 97¢ $97 +$42 04-28 15:03
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +100 $80 92¢ $92 +$12 04-28 15:41
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? No +100 $70 91¢ $91 +$21 04-30 18:12
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No +100 $40 90¢ $90 +$50 04-29 03:53
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +3,200 $195 2¢ $62 -$133 07-21 11:26
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +2,000 $70 3¢ $51 -$19 07-23 05:37
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No -50 -$71 88¢ $-44 +$27 07-07 18:09
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? No -25 -$23 98¢ $-25 -$2 06-04 01:45
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? Yes +200 $105 10¢ $20 -$85 05-02 07:13
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? No +0 $5 98¢ $0 -$5 05-05 01:03