Realized P&L (30d)
+$2.16K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.20K
Hit rate
94.3%
Resolved (30d)
8
Trades (30d)
101
4,990 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$4.22K
$502.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$101
Open exposure
$11.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-15 09:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 133 days
Categories
Other
63% 49% +$5,355
Politics
33% 55% -$7,089
Sports
4% 65% +$6,566
Crypto
1% 64% -$848
Tech
0% 100% +$52
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$23
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? No +4,000 $2,289 42¢ $1.7K -$609 08-23 05:14
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? No -1,689 -$1,504 96¢ $-1615 -$111 05-03 12:54
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No -1,188 -$1,184 98¢ $-1167 +$17 07-28 12:40
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -1,000 -$885 97¢ $-974 -$90 06-14 21:21
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No -872 -$733 94¢ $-815 -$83 06-05 21:59
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No +500 $310 92¢ $458 +$148 05-03 13:01
Will François Ruffin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +499 $312 88¢ $442 +$130 11-15 09:38
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -902 -$193 46¢ $-419 -$226 11-02 04:37
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +500 $415 78¢ $388 -$28 08-18 11:57
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +500 $304 69¢ $345 +$42 06-25 11:31
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +500 $330 68¢ $337 +$7 09-07 21:38
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -500 -$350 63¢ $-315 +$35 06-06 02:15
Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +300 $261 96¢ $288 +$27 07-22 05:52
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No -264 -$246 99¢ $-261 -$16 05-06 04:30
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +1,000 $130 18¢ $185 +$55 09-16 02:00
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -1,004 -$176 16¢ $-160 +$16 11-11 14:03
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? No -150 -$143 97¢ $-146 -$3 05-09 06:16
Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +162 $97 83¢ $134 +$37 07-08 12:08
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No +100 $88 99¢ $99 +$11 04-28 15:27
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +100 $55 98¢ $98 +$43 04-28 15:03
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No -100 -$93 98¢ $-98 -$4 06-07 13:36
Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +500 $206 18¢ $92 -$113 06-21 23:06
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +100 $80 92¢ $92 +$12 04-28 15:41
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No +100 $40 92¢ $92 +$52 04-29 03:53
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? No +100 $70 89¢ $89 +$19 04-30 18:12
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +3,200 $195 2¢ $70 -$125 07-21 11:26
Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +60,181 $100 0¢ $60 -$40 11-06 21:12
Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +377 $147 14¢ $51 -$96 06-09 08:06
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +500 $380 9¢ $45 -$335 07-06 12:09
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No -50 -$71 86¢ $-43 +$28 07-07 18:09